Raiders vs. Chiefs Odds & Prediction: AFC West Foes Take Center Stage on MNF

The Las Vegas Raiders are set to play Monday night in Kansas City against the Chiefs to close out Week 5 of the 2022 NFL season.

Raiders vs. Chiefs betting odds opened with KC as a 6-point favorite.  As of Monday morning, the number ranges from -7 (-114) at FanDuel to -7.5 (-105) at Caesars and BetMGM. It’s the first time in five years that KC hasn’t been a double-digit choice at home vs. the Raiders.

Let’s take a look at the latest odds as well as our Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction.

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MNF Odds: Point Spread, Moneyline, Total

Rivalry Renwed? Chiefs Swept Raiders a Year Ago

Kansas City (3-1) and Las Vegas (1-3), keen AFC West rivals, are coming off high-scoring victories against teams that had defenses ranked among the best in the league.

The Chiefs walloped the Bucs in Tampa Bay 41-31 last Sunday night, scoring five TDs against a unit that had allowed three total the first three weeks.

The Raiders defeated visiting Denver a day earlier, 32-23, with RB Josh Jacobs rushing for a season-best 144 yards and scoring two touchdowns against a Broncos unit that hasn’t otherwise allowed a ground score all season.

In this series, KC has won three in a row, including a 48-9 romp at Arrowhead last year that was both the Chiefs’ most lopsided victory of 2021 and the Raiders’ worst beating. Yet it was a 41-14 KC win four weeks earlier in Vegas that might have been even more impressive, with QB Patrick Mahomes throwing for five TDs (no INTs) and the Chiefs getting a season-high 516 yards of offense.

That outing was in sharp contrast to the previous time the Raiders visited KC, winning 40-32 as an 11-point underdog and celebrating their triumph soon after when then-coach Jon Gruden had the bus drivers take the team on a victory lap around the stadium.

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Renfrow’s Likely Return Big for Raiders

On the injury front, the Raiders expect to get back WR Hunter Renfrow, who has missed the past two games after suffering a concussion on the last play of the game in Week 2. He tormented KC last year with 20 catches on 25 targets for 163 yards and two TDs. Also expected to play is TE Darren Waller (shoulder, probable).

In KC, kicker Harrison Butker continues wrestling with an ankle injury that’s kept him out of action the past three weeks. But at least his replacement last week, Matt Wright, was 2-for-2 on FG tries and 5-for-5 on PATs.

This game also has the highest over/under number of the week. In Weeks 1-4, there were nine such games, with bettors on the under cashing in six times, with one push.

Also read: Raiders vs. Chiefs props and TD scorer bets

Raiders vs. Chiefs Analysis and MNF Prediction

In last year’s meetings, Vegas and QB Derek Carr abandoned the running game, with 14 carries in the first and only 12 in the second. But after Jacobs’ performance last week, and the extra day to recover from 28 carries, Vegas should give him plenty of work Monday.

Plus the return of Renfrow, who led the Raiders with 103 catches last season, surely can’t help but make life easier for standout WR Davante Adams, who has been hounded by secondaries.

As for KC, its offense hasn’t always been as dynamic as last week. In its opener against Arizona, a 44-21 win, it was. But then came back-to-back games vs. the Chargers and Colts in which the Chiefs got only two offensive touchdowns. And in the loss at Indy, KC’s only TDs came on short fields.

Look for the Raiders to at least keep it close.

Forecast: Chiefs 28, Raiders 26

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