Lions vs Rams Predictions and Odds: Detroit Field Goal Favorites at Home

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The football gods are happy. The Hollywood scriptwriters are happy. And nationwide bettors are salivating over the Los Angeles Rams facing the host Detroit Lions Sunday night in an NFL Wild Card playoff dream matchup.

Two quarterbacks, Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff, were traded for each other. This is the first time both quarterbacks face their former team in a playoff game, marking NFL history.

Check our Lions vs Rams predictions, odds, and props for this matchup, featuring the Lions favored by a field goal. Here are the best available NFL odds for moneyline, spread, and totals across the top sports-betting apps.

 

Lions vs Rams Betting Analysis

This is pretty much universal across the betting landscape. DraftKings offers a slight tweak of -108 on the Under. Otherwise, this is primarily -110 either way.

This is the highest total of any first-round game and is the only one above 50. Click on the odds for the bets you’d like to select.

 

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Lions vs Rams Betting Trends

The bettors lined up early behind the Rams. Los Angeles gained 62% of the FanDuel handle and 52% of the bets. If that spread number gets pushed to 3.5, there will be a bevy of Rams money.

Rams Trends

  • 9-6-2 ATS
  • 10-7 ML
  • 9-8 on the Over
  • 4 straight wins to end regular season (6 against NFC opponents)
  • 6-1 ATS last seven games
  • 3 1-pt ML victories in final eight games

Lions Trends

  • 12-5 both ATS and ML
  • 11-6 on the Over
  • Over total in last four home games
  • Scored first in last four games
  • Last playoff victory: 1991 vs Cowboys (38-6)
  • Last playoff appearance: 2017 vs Seahawks (26-6 loss)

Lions vs Rams: Backstory and Intangibles

Bettors know that the Lions felt Stafford had peaked, and the Rams doubted that Goff would develop when the two were swapped in 2019. Detroit wasn’t a playoff team yet. Thus, the rivalry did not percolate even after Stafford won a Super Bowl ring with the Rams in 2022.

That radically changed this season. The Lions bolted to a 12-5 mark and won a division title for the first time since 1993. The Rams caught a second-half tailwind and surged into the playoffs. On Sunday, they went one step further with an improbable 21-20 triumph over the San Francisco 49ers.

Detroit coach Dan “Casino” Campbell unleashed the most aggressive fourth-down philosophy ever assembled throughout this past season. He called a fake punt from his own 17 in Detroit’s first series of the year. It became a conversion and touchdown in Detroit’s 21-20 victory over the defending Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs.

Campbell tried it again on Thanksgiving Day. But it was stuffed, leading to a 29-22 Green Bay Packers victory.

Campbell was the only NFL coach to play all his starters in Detroit’s season-ending 30-20 triumph over the Minnesota Vikings.

Contrast that with Sean McVay, who rested Stafford last week in favor of Carson Wentz. McVay feels great about resting his players now, as Campbell’s boldness may cost the Lions dearly. It produced the most significant injury news concerning this game.

Lions vs Rams Injury News

 

Campbell’s strategy backfired when star rookie tight end Sam LaPorta suffered an injury and will miss this game. He is a significant part of the Lions offense, bailing the team out of many tight third-down spots. His departure creates a problem.

LaPorta suffered a hyper-extended knee after setting a rookie tight end record for 86 receptions, 889 yards, and 10 touchdowns. In some ways, he became the heart and soul of the Lions’ passing game. LaPorta could run over people.

Detroit doesn’t have that type of player now.

Lions vs Rams Prop Bets

 

Rams

Slowly, throughout the year, this team became loaded. Puka Nacua became a superstar with 1,486 receiving yards and six touchdowns.

Cooper Kupp was injured and had a down year. But he still amassed 737 yards and five scores. DeMarcus Robinson, who was targeted less frequently, led the team with seven touchdowns.

Los Angeles can spread the field with the best teams in the league. Kyren Williams rumbled for 12 touchdowns on the ground. All of these players will gain serious prop money.

Lions

Goff had a stellar season with 30 passing touchdowns. Aman-Ra St. Brown collected 10 of them and notched 1,515. He’s a bit brittle but has blinding speed. Josh Reynolds collected 608 yards and five touchdowns.

The ground game is punishing behind David Montgomery’s 13 touchdowns and Jahmyr Gibbs’ 10. The pair combined for nearly 2,000 rushing yards. The prop gravy train will have all these passengers on board.

Lions vs Rams Predictions

Detroit will have a rowdy crowd on hand for a rare playoff home game. There’s a lot of optimism about how well this team has performed this season. The offense shouldn’t have a problem against a Rams defense that’s average in most areas, including average points allowed (22.2) and only getting 15 total takeaways (4th-worst in the NFL).

Pick: Lions -3

How to Watch Lions vs Rams

  • Game Day: Sunday, Jan. 14
  • Game Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • Game Location: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
  • Television: NBC
About the Author
Dave Bontempo

Dave Bontempo

Writer
Dave Bontempo is an award-winning writer and broadcaster, who has covered the sports industry since the 1970s. He won the Sam Taub Award for Excellence in Boxing Broadcasting by the Boxing Writers Association of America in 1997, and is in the New Jersey and Atlantic City Boxing Halls of Fame. Bontempo has broadcast major fights all over the world. The advent of legalized sports wagering shifted his focus to this exciting new industry in 2018.

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