OK, we get it. Talor Gooch is hot this season. Real hot.
So why are his odds so low this week coming off his third victory of the season on the LIV Tour? Well, let’s see if we can find out.
The LIV Tour is in London this week at the Centurion Club for week No. 9.
Last week, Gooch proved his first two victories on LIV were no fluke as he birdied his final two holes to pull out the victory at Real Club in Valderrama. He held off a group of former (and maybe future?) PGA Tour stars Bryson DeChambeau, Brooks Koepka, and Patrick Reed.
The Tour now moves about 1,000 miles north to London for the back-to-back events.
Former PGA Tour stars are certainly taking control of play on the LIV Tour right now. For this season, out of the eight events, all the tournament winners are former PGA players–Gooch, Dustin Johnson, Harold Varner III, Charles Howell III, Danny Lee, and Koepka.
If you’re wondering why there are only six names on that list, remember that Gooch has three wins. Let’s see if the former PGA Tour contingent keeps stealing the spotlight (and the big money) or if a European Tour player can get in the winner’s circle with our LIV Golf London odds and predictions. Odds are courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook.
Odds to Win LIV Golf London
| Player | Caesars Sportsbook |
|---|---|
| Cameron Smith | +850 |
| Dustin Johnson | +1200 |
| Brooks Koepka | +1200 |
| Patrick Reed | +1400 |
| Talor Gooch | +1400 |
| Bryson Dechambeau | +1500 |
| Joaquin Niemann | +1800 |
| Sergio Garcia | +2000 |
| Sebastian Munoz | +2200 |
| Harold Varner | +2500 |
| Branden Grace | +2500 |
| Louis Oosthuizen | +2500 |
| Mito Pereira | +2800 |
| Henrik Stenson | +2800 |
| Thomas Pieters | +3000 |
| Abraham Ancer | +3000 |
| Cameron Tringale | +3000 |
| Marc Leishman | +3000 |
| Peter Uihlein | +3500 |
| Jason Kokrak | +3500 |
We list odds from Caesars, but shop around at other top-rated sportsbooks to find the best prices on your plays.
Ride the Hot Hand & Go With Gooch
Gooch is the No. 1 ranked player on the LIV Tour. If you had put odds on that happening at the start of the year, you would be looking at an impressive payout.
With his three wins in 2023, including last week in Spain, he’s overtaken guys like Johnson, Koepka, and the rest as the face of the LIV Tour. His first two wins, in Australia and Singapore, were in back-to-back events.
Why not follow up his most recent win last week with another victory?
We’ve seen stranger things happen. To put this season into perspective for Gooch, look at the fact that he turned pro in 2014. Since then, he has one PGA Tour win (the 2022 RSM Classic which he won just before jumping to LIV). In his PGA Tour days, he pocketed $9.25 million.
Since joining LIV, with those three victories, his cash total has hit an astounding $14.7 million in 2023 alone. As we’ve said many, many times, always ride the hot golfer.
Like Scottie Scheffler on the PGA Tour in 2022, once a player gets in the winner’s circle it can certainly become contagious.
One thing does give us a little reason to worry. For Gooch, it’s either feast or famine. He has the three wins, but his next best results are a pair of 14th-place finishes.
If he’s near the top of the leaderboard on Sunday, watch out.
Season’s Last Major: Open Championship Odds 2023 & Futures Betting Guide
How About a ‘Hometown’ Longshot?
Just for fun — and because we have a couple of dollars we can afford to lose –we’re going to take a look at Graeme McDowell at +20000.
This is the longest of longshots we’ve ever chosen to back. Now before you think we’re crazy (we’ve been down this road quite a few times, and one or two have even paid off), let’s just take a minute to point out why we are going to defy the odds.
First, McDowell hasn’t had much luck (except bad) since joining the LIV Tour. Looking at the numbers, he’s 39th in the points race with a 13th-place finish in the season-opener as his best.
Despite all the low finishes, he’s still pocketed $1.4 million in nine events or an average of $160,000 per event. Now, add in the money he was paid to jump ship and he’s still making a pretty penny.
All it takes is one week to pocket that $4 million top prize. Will this be the week? It’s a longshot, but playing in front of the home fans will certainly give him a little boost.
Back to Reality
Check out Sebastian Munoz at +2600. He’s coming into this tournament off back-to-back fourth-place finishes, so he’s gaining confidence every time out.
This is his first season with LIV. He’s got victories on three different tours–including the 2020 Sanderson Farms event on the PGA Tour–so why not add a fourth tour this week.
On the PGA Tour, he won almost $10 million since 2017. On LIV, he’s nearly at $6 million this year alone. With back-to-back impressive finishes, he’s getting that much more confident in his game.
We’re betting he wins sooner rather than later.
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