The LIV Golf Tour winds up its inaugural season with the $50 million season-ending Team Championship this week at Trump National Doral in Miami.
The event marks the end of the eight-tournament season that saw seven different golfers pick up victories. And these weren’t ordinary wins as each first-place check was worth $4 million.
This week the stakes go even higher with the $50 million purse. It’s a team event, so each player on the winning team will earn $4 million as the top prize is $16 million. Second place will earn $10 million per team with the third-place team splitting $8 million.
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The team event will feature both match play and stroke play. The top four-ranked teams (in the 12-team tour) will get a first-round bye with the remaining eight teams battling it out on Day 1 to move to Day 2.
The format is different in there will be two singles matches and one alternate-shot two-person team match. Each match winner receives one point. Teams earning two points win and advance. There will be no half-point ties, as matches will continue until there is a winner.
The second day will feature those top-four seeds picking the team they want to go up against of the four first-day winners. Again, win and you move to the Final Four on Sunday. Lose and your season is over.
On Sunday, those last four teams will be strictly stroke play with all four players’ totals counting. Put up the lowest four-man total and you’re the champion.
Now, let’s see which players have the best chance to win the event and help bettors cash a winning ticket.
Odds to Win LIV Team Championship (SuperBook)
| Team (Captain) | SuperBook Odds to Win |
|---|---|
| 4 Aces (Dustin Johnson) | +200 |
| Crushers (Bryson DeChambeau) | +400 |
| Fireballs (Sergio Garcia) | +400 |
| Stinger (Louis Oosthuizen) | +800 |
| Smash (Brooks Koepka) | +900 |
| Punch (Cam Smith) | +1600 |
| Hy Flyers (Phil Mickelson) | +2000 |
| Majesticks (Ian Poulter) | +2000 |
| Torque (Joaquin Niemann) | +2500 |
| Cleeks (Martin Kaymer) | +4000 |
| Niblicks (Bubba Watson, non-playing captain) | +4000 |
| Iron Heads (Kevin Na) | +4000 |
As always, shop around the sports betting industry for the best odds on your plays.
Dustin Johnson’s Team the Clear Favorite
When your team runs away with the points race during the regular season, you’re going to be favored and heavily.
Dustin Johnson’s 4 Aces squad (the betting favorite this week at +200) racked up 152 points during the season to earn the top seed this week.
That point total is miles ahead of second-place finisher, Bryson DeChambeau’s Crushers, with 96 points and the third-place team, Sergio Garcia’s Fireballs, with 93 points.
While the season-long point totals don’t matter during this week’s title run, the fact Johnson’s team–comprised of himself, Patrick Reed, Talor Gooch, and Pat Perez–have shown all season that it’s a force has to put a little fear into the rest of the field.
The 4 Aces won four straight team titles during the regular season and the team is definitely playing well. Don’t look for this week to be any different.
Our feeling is that unless Johnson puts out a lineup that doesn’t mesh well (the two guys in the two-man team portion of the first two days), this might be a runaway.
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Expert Analysis: Looking Down the List for Longshot
Let’s face it: It’s golf and one or two great shots can boost a player and a team that might not be expected to shine.
That’s the vibe we’re searching for when we take a gamble with team Smash, which is on the board at +900 this week.
The team, which is captained by Brooks Koepka, closed the regular season with a bang by winning the season-ending event in Saudi Arabia as Koepka took home his first individual title.
Smash was also second in Chicago a couple of events ago. Add in one more factor, the play of Koepka’s teammate Peter Uihlein, and you’ve got a great 1-2 punch. Koepka won the season-ending finale but had to go to a playoff with Uihlein to win for the first time.
One of the other Smash teammates, Jason Kokrak, is a proven commodity but the final player, Chase Koepka (Brooks’ brother), will be the wildcard if this team is going to win.
And Chase has been riding a roller-coaster this season. His past four events are a perfect example. In the last event in Saudi Arabia, he wound up 14th and helped the team win. But here comes the roller-coaster action: Prior to that he was 33rd, ninth, and 31st.
If we’re going by performances, he’s due for a bad week. We’re hoping he breaks out of this pattern and puts up a solid finish.
That just might help the Koepka-led team slip into the winner’s circle.
Also read: Longshots Who Can Win Majors in 2023 | PGA Tour Bermuda Championship Odds
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