LIV Golf Odds: Two Win Bets for Season Opener at Mayakoba

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LIV Golf odds are available as the Saudi Arabian-based tour begins its second season in Mexico.

While the dust has settled when it comes to players leaving the PGA Tour for LIV (although four more did reportedly depart early this week, but none in the top 25 in the world golf rankings), it’s still a pretty star-studded group.

Thomas Pieters is ranked 34th in the world rankings as the top-rated player leaving for new ventures. With that in mind, let’s take a quick look at LIV and what this tour brings to the table in its second season.

Players like Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, Phil Mickelson, Sergio Garcia, and a few other big names are still driving this tour but very few other big names have jumped ship.

The LIV events typically run Friday through Sunday with shotgun starts. Music and good times are encouraged. Think about the WM Phoenix Open’s 16th hole, but with a little less flair.

The 48 players who tee it up each week are comprised of 12 four-man teams. There is prize money guaranteed for every player as well as team payouts. Now the big one: The winner each week pockets $4 million. Even the last-place player in the tournament will get a nice payday with a $120,000 payout.

Between individual titles and team titles, Johnson, last year’s Player of the Year for LIV, pocketed a little over $35 million. Can Johnson repeat his stellar season? If not, who is the next player who will step up to challenge Johnson for supremacy?

Most important: Will bettors tune in to the CW broadcasts to follow the action? LIV is betting on it but we will see. It all starts this week. The Tour opens Friday with a stop in Mexico for the Mayakoba event being played at the El Camaleon Golf Course.

In case you’ve forgotten, the LIV Tour didn’t get off to a big-name start in 2022. The season started last June with the tournament being held in London. The winner was Charl Schwartzel at -7. He was followed by Hennie De Plessis at -6. Branden Grace and Peter Uihlein were at -5. Not exactly a high-profile podium.

This year, look for different results in the opener as everyone will now have more of an idea of the formats, and the players will be a little more comfortable with the courses that were in play in 2022.

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Odds to Win LIV Mayakoba Event (SuperBook)

PlayerSuperBook LIV Tour Mayakoba Odds
Dustin Johnson+800
Joaquin Niemann+800
Abraham Ancer+1000
Cameron Smith+1000
Paul Casey+1800
Talor Gooch+1800
Mito Pereira+2000
Patrick Reed+2000
Sergio Garcia+2000
Thomas Pieters+2000
Anirban Lahiri+2500
Matthew Wolff+2500
Brooks Koepka+3000
Louis Oosthuizen+3000
Carlos Ortiz+3500
Harold Varner III+3500
Branden Grace+4000
Brendan Steele+4000
Bryson DeChambeau+4000
Charles Howell III+4000
Dean Burmester+4000
Jason Kokrak+4000

‘Hometown’ Edge Could Factor in This Week

Check out Abraham Ancer at +1100 to win. Sure, guys like Johnson, Koepka, etc., are going to be the big names at the betting windows. That’s a given, but a guy like Ancer, who represented Team Mexico in the 2020 Olympics, will have a bigger following than just about anyone–with the exception of Olympic teammate Carlos Ortiz–and should be able to ride the momentum.

Abraham Ancer is the third betting favorite for the LIV Mayakoba event, per SuperBook odds.  (AP Photo/Charles Rex Arbogast)

Whether it’s enough to drive him to a victory remains to be seen. He was as high as 11th in the official world rankings before leaving for LIV last season. In seven events in 2022, Ancer’s best individual result was an eighth in Boston, but he and his teammates wound up with four top-3 finishes.

It may be the time and venue for him to cash in on that $4 million top prize.

This Week on PGA Tour: How to Bet Honda Classic

Expert LIV Golf Analysis: Why Not Back Ortiz?

Ortiz, at +3300, is another who will have more than his share of fans all three days — and we love this number.

Ortiz and Ancer are teammates on Sergio Garcia’s squad, Fireballs GC, which is the team betting favorite at +450.

Ortiz burst onto the LIV scene in the second event last year with a solo second. He’s still searching for that first victory but he did have a first, a second, and two thirds in the team finishes.

Ortiz spent more than 80 weeks of his PGA Tour inside the top 100 in the rankings. His highest mark was 44th and he did have one PGA Tour win. With the local fans backing him, this just might be the time for him to get in the LIV winner’s circle if Ancer doesn’t edge him out.

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Big Names Offered at Low, High Odds to Win

If you’re looking to back the favorite, you’re going to pay the price.

Johnson, last year’s King of the Hill, is the co-favorite along with Joaquin Niemann at +800.

Can he win? Undoubtedly. Will he win? A definite possibility. Is he worth backing? Probably not, unless you’re willing to put down a pretty hefty wager. Then, all bets are off.

Some of the other big names in the field have great odds if you’re so inclined, but be cautious because they are priced this high for a reason. Koepka comes in at +2700 while Bryson DeChambeau is at +4100. If you’re looking for a real big number, check out Phil Mickelson at +21000.

Those are some pretty good prices, but we’ll still hang with the “hometown” duo.

Also read: Five Bets to Make (or not) on 2023 Majors | Longshots who can win Majors in 2023 | McIlroy, Rahm Lead Odds to Win 2023 Major

About the Author
Bill Bowman

Bill Bowman

Writer
Bill Bowman is a Las Vegas-based writer who has more than 45 years of experience in the sports-writing industry. He's spent the past 20-plus years covering the golf scene, including 10 years as a writer and editor with VegasGolfer Magazine. Bowman also contributes to the GolfNow Network of websites and Las Vegas Golf Insider.

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