LIV Golf Valderrama Odds & Predictions: Three Win Bets Including Live Longshot

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The LIV Tour is back in action after a month off for Week 8 as the players head out on the road to Spain.

This week’s tournament, at Real Club Valderrama, will see the Tour reload as it enters the second half of the season. We’re here to offer LIV Golf Valderrama odds and predictions based on futures at Caesars Sportsbook.

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Through the first seven tournaments, it’s been the former PGA Tour guys who have been in the spotlight. Talor Gooch had back-to-back wins. Harold Varner III is the latest winner, having picked up the victory in the last tournament in a playoff. (He was our pick to win, so we’re looking to go back-to-back this week).

The other winners included Charles Howell III, Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka, and Danny Lee.

With both the PGA Tour and LIV Tour back on their own turf until the players meet up again at the Open Championship, it will be interesting to see how LIV ramps back up.

Will the trend of former PGA Tour winners continue? Or will one of the European players step up and break that streak?

Let’s take a look at three picks including a longshot.

Final Major Futures & Betting Guide: British Open Odds  

Odds to Win LIV Golf Valderrama

PlayerCaesars Sportsbook
Cam Smith+800
Brooks Koepka+1000
Dustin Johnson+1000
Sergio Garcia+1400
Taylor Gooch+1600
Bryson DeChambeau+1600
Joaquin Niemann+1600
Harold Varner III+1800
Patrick Reed +2000
Branden Grace +2200
Charles Howell III+2500
Peter Uihlein+2800
Sebastian Munoz+3000
Cameron Tringale+3300
Louis Oosthuizen+3300
Abraham Ancer+3500
Dean Burmester+3500
Brendan Steele+3500
Paul Casey+4000
Anirban Lahiri+4000
Jason Kokrak+4000
Henrik Stenson+4000

As always, shop around the sports betting industry for the best odds on your plays. 

Will Home-Course Edge Pay Off for Sergio?

If you’re wondering where Sergio Garcia has been, join the club. For the most part, Garcia has been MIA in LIV with his best finish being a solo second. He also has a ninth this year, but otherwise he’s been way, way down the leaderboard.

We’re thinking that might just change this week.

Garcia, at +1400, is basically playing a home game this week. He was born in Castellon, Spain, which is about 500 miles from Valderrama. He’s played the course a lot, and will definitely be a crowd favorite.

LIV Golf Valderrama Odds & Predictions
Sergio Garcia reacts as he prepares to hit during a practice round at the US Open. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez)

In fact, he’s got three victories on this course and seven wins in Spain including being part of the winning Ryder Cup team in 1997 at Valderrama.

This is the LIV Tour’s first venture into Spain and Garcia, coming off a T-27 at the US Open, should be as fired up as he has been since coming to the new Tour.

If there’s ever been a week to back Garcia in action on the LIV Tour — this is the one.

This Week on PGA Tour: Rocket Mortgage Classic Odds & Predictions

Watch Out for Branden Grace

Branden Grace is coming off back-to-back top-five finishes in LIV events and at +2200, he’s got great value. He’s one of the few players who were eligible to play in the US Open that didn’t tee it up.

We’re hoping the break has given him time to sharpen his game a little more. In the past two events, he has a third in Tulsa and a second in Washington, DC, so he’s certainly right there.

Grace does have a LIV Tour win as he won in 2022 at Portland when the Tour came to the US for the first time. He knows what it’s like to cash one of those $4 million first-place paychecks.

He’s second in the points race, 10 back of leader Gooch, so a victory here would put him in the driver’s seat.

Take a Look at This Longshot

Henrik Stenson is another name that has been lost in transition since leaving the PGA Tour.

Stenson’s +4000 this week and with good reason: His best finish this year is fifth. In fact, that’s his only top-10 of the season.

That fifth was in the latest tournament in Washington, DC, so he’s coming in off a solid effort. He does have a win on the LIV Tour, as he picked up a victory in 2022 at Bedminster.

Stenson is also down the list in the standings at just 25th in the individual points race. He’ll be looking to make a move up as the season begins its second half.

Stenson has had success wherever he’s played as he has 14 victories worldwide. He’s pocketed almost $32 million on the PGA Tour alone with six wins.

When a golfer sees his game trending in the right direction, the glimmer of hope gets just a little brighter. We’re hoping that glimmer turns into a bright spotlight, and Stenson gets the chance to cash that $4 million paycheck that goes to the winner.

About the Author
Bill Bowman

Bill Bowman

Writer
Bill Bowman is a Las Vegas-based writer who has more than 45 years of experience in the sports-writing industry. He's spent the past 20-plus years covering the golf scene, including 10 years as a writer and editor with VegasGolfer Magazine. Bowman also contributes to the GolfNow Network of websites and Las Vegas Golf Insider.

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