The Toronto Maple Leafs will take on the Detroit Red Wings for the second game of the NHL’s Global Series In Sweeden on Friday, Nov. 17. This should be a great afternoon matchup, and we are here to break down the Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings odds, picks, & predictions.
These two teams have an identical 8-5-2 record, and they both have 18 points. Toronto is on a two-game winning streak and sits tied for third in the Atlantic Divison. Meanwhile, Detroit is on a bit of a skid since starting the season hot, but they still are one of the top-scoring teams in the East, and they have a very talented roster that can lead them to the postseason for the first time since 2016.
According to the oddsmakers, the Maple Leafs are favored with a price on the moneyline. If you need help picking a side, we have got you covered as we preview this game and give our best Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings betting pick.
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Odds: Puck Line, Moneyline, Total
Before making your Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings betting pick, we advise you to check out the odds and lines from our top-rated sports betting apps. Doing this will ensure that you get the best numbers for your wager.
Toronto Maple Leafs (8-5-2, 4-11 ATS)
The Maple Leafs have one of the top-scoring offenses in the NHL. They enter this matchup ranked in the top 10 in goals (53), goals per game (3.5), and assists (89). While they have been struggling recently, losing five of its last eight, they are still putting up big numbers.
Over the last eight games, Toronto is scoring 3.5 goals per game, and their top-line scorers are producing at a high level. The offense is due for some slight regression, but with skaters like Auston Matthews, William Nylander, and Mitch Marner, this team can outscore anyone on any given night.
Combine that with a second line that features John Tavares, Tyler Bertuzzi, and one of the game’s best youngsters in Matthew Knies, and the Leafs are as dangerous as anyone. While they have some top-scoring defensemen in Morgan Riley and John Klingberg, Toronto has struggled defensively.
They are allowing 3.5 goals per game and rank 27th in expected goals against, which means they are due for some slight regression. Although they score a lot of points, the Maple Leafs also give up a lot of goals, and this Red Wings team can hurt you on the offensive end.
Detroit Red Wings (8-5-2, 8-7 ATS)
In terms of top-line talent, Toronto has the advantage in this matchup. However, Detroit is producing at an even higher level than their Atlantic division rivals. The Red Wings are averaging 3.6 goals per game and have a very deep roster.
The starting line features Alex DeBrincat, Dylan Larkin, and Lucas Raymond, who have combined for 20 goals and 43 points and rank fourth in goals for when they are on ice together (11). The second line has also been very productive, as Andrew Copp, David Perron, and J.T. Compher have scored at least three goals this season.
Trying to keep up with Toronto’s star-studded roster will be challenging, but Detroit is deep, and while they are in the middle of some regression, they have produced at a high level. The problem is that they have a bad defense that will get worse.
While goalie James Reimer is having a great season, the Red Wings rank 25th in expected goals against, and they allow a lot of unblocked shot attempts. Toronto has made teams pay on unblocked shot attempts, and the looming regression from Detroit really makes this a tough matchup, especially coming off a game yesterday where they gave up a lot of goals and scoring opportunities.
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings: Bet on Defensive Regression from Both Teams
These are two of the best offenses in hockey, and there is some natural All-Star talent on both sides. While Toronto has more upper-tier firepower, the Red Wings are scoring a lot of goals, and with a deep roster, it is easy to see why.
However, both defenses have struggled and are due for some regression. While the Maple Leafs have done an excellent job at creating turnovers in the neutral zone, this is still a leaky unit and one that this Red Wings offense can exploit.
With two great scoring offenses and two suspect defenses, this is the perfect recipe for this game to go over the total. On the season, the over is 7-7-1 for the Maple Leafs and 10-5 for the Red Wings.
There is a chance that Detroit has a hard time scoring against Toronto’s defensemen, but they are playing too well right now not to at least keep this game close. The way these teams are playing, taking the over, is the play for Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings.
Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings Prediction: Over Goals
How To Watch Maple Leafs vs. Red Wings
Date: Friday, Nov. 17, 2023
Puck Drop: 2 p.m. ET
Location: Avicii Arena – Stockhom, SE
Where to Watch: NHL Network