Hard to believe it’s been 20 years since Mike Weir became the first Canadian to win the Masters. Weir’s victory still stands out to me not because of his nationality, but because one neophyte bettor held an early ticket on him to win at 38-to-1 odds.
It was around then that gambling on golf became a guilty pleasure and one that remains so enjoyable today. Betting outright winners in golf isn’t for the faint of heart. You’ll lose so many more times than you’ll win, but there’s nothing more exhilarating than locking in on a sleeper or longshot and having them cash.
Let’s take a look at 2023 Masters sleepers and longshots, and hopefully celebrate another winner together. Masters odds are readily available at top online sportsbooks, and we’ll be using futures from BetMGM.
Also: How to Bet on the Masters | Scheffler, Rory Atop Masters odds boards | Masters Prop Bets | Masters Predictions | Masters Sharp Betting | Tiger Woods’ Masters Odds & Props
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Masters Sleeper Picks
We’ll be using +2500 odds or longer to identify sleeper picks for the 2023 Masters. Those odds push you past the usual suspects who most always fall into the favorite category for PGA Tour events.
Dustin Johnson (+2600)
It’ll be great to see the 2020 Masters winner back where he belongs, and competing against the world’s best instead of playing in shorts with music booming in the LIV Golf background. Yes, I sampled one CW broadcast of LIV Golf, and have yet to return.
Where’s DJ’s game at these days? Hard to handicap after just three LIV events, but he’s still among the most naturally gifted players in the game.
Viktor Hovland (+4000)
Since the calendar flipped to 2023, Hovland has five top-20 finishes in six events. The affable Norwegian comes into Augusta riding two straight top-10s including a T-3 most recently at The Players Championship. Much has been made of his chipping deficiencies, but Hovland rolls it well on Augusta’s devilish greens.
Corey Conners (+4100)
Here’s another Canadian who can win the Masters. Yes, he won the Valero Texas Open last week, but Conners has also been trending in the right direction at Augusta National in recent years: T-6 (2022), T-8 (2021), T-10 (2020).
Hideki Matsuyama (+4100)
Matsuyama, the 2021 Masters champion, finished fifth at The Players Championship and 15th at last week’s Valero Texas Open. So, the form is rounding into shape. He has been dealing with a lingering neck issue, and that likely contributed to these higher odds. Worth a toss here.
This is where it gets fun. So many great players available at such long odds! Let’s go.
Tommy Fleetwood (+6700)
Yes, we know. Fleetwood has never won on US soil, but his recent run in majors is impressive. He was T-14 at Augusta National to begin 2022 and then recorded top-five finishes in the PGA Championship (T-5) and Open Championship (T-4).
Tom Kim (+8100)
Had to check in with SuperBook VP of Risk Management Jeff Sherman this week after we discussed, among other things, potential longshots.
Back in December at his Vegas shop, Sherman, one of the country’s leading golf oddsmakers, pegged Kim among his plays. Tailed him on Kim this week.
Sherman said in a text to Gaming Today on Tuesday, “I too have Tom Kim at 110/1. I went to 125/1 (on SuperBook odds board) though with his relatively poor run of recent form. Not as high on his chances now obviously.”
Kurt Kitayama (+12600)
Kitayama is having a breakout wraparound season of sorts. He finished solo second to Rory McIlroy at the CJ Cup last October. He’s made the cut in two of his last three starts, but let’s dismiss his MC at The Players Championship as a one-off. Kitayama sandwiched a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational and a T-5 at the WGC-Dell Match Play event around an off week at the Players.
Danny Willett (+15100)
Give us the 2016 champion at these bomb odds! Willett’s playing some of his best golf in recent years. He recorded a T-18 at Riviera, and T-27 at the Players Championship during a five-tourney run with no missed cuts.
Need more? He was T-12 at Augusta National last year. BetMGM was dealing Willett at juicy +900 odds for a top-10 finish.
Masters Winners & Odds Since 2000
We’ve done our best to pinpoint sleepers and longshots for the 2023 Masters. Let’s take a look back at Masters winners and what they returned for bettors since 2000.
Four players have cashed at +10000 odds or longer during that span! Let’s make it five in 2023.
All pre-tournament odds come via www.sportsoddshistory.com.