Mavericks Vs. Suns Odds: A Betting Strategy To Consider Ahead Of Game 6

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Luka Doncic and the Mavericks can be had at long odds to come back and beat the Suns (Photo by John Rivera/Icon Sportswire)

A win away from advancing to the Western Conference finals, the Suns have seen their odds to close out the Mavericks increase to -800, per the consensus series price. The most attractive line we’re seeing on Phoenix on Wednesday, the day after the Suns’ Game 5 victory gave them a 3-2 series lead, is -700 at DraftKings.

Dallas is available for +550 odds at BetMGM and PointsBet. While the Mavs have taken two in a row against the Suns this series, repeating that task, including winning a potential Game 7 in Phoenix, is a tall order. The Suns have won 12 of the last 14 meetings overall and are short favorites on the road in Game 6 on Thursday.

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That said, a Mavs +550 series bet sets up a nice arbitrage opportunity should Dallas prevail at home in Game 6, based on an estimated Suns moneyline price of -350 in a decisive seventh game.

If the Mavs lose Game 6, of course, your bet is toast. If the Mavs win Thursday, though, you could put yourselg in a can’t-lose situation.

This chart illustrates how a bettor could hedge a $100 Mavs series bet with a Game 7 wager on the Suns to win either $100 or $150:

 Mavs series betSuns Game 7 betprofit
Mavs win Game 7 (bet to win $100 on Suns in Gm 7)+550-350+200
Suns win Game 7 (bet to win $100 on Suns in Gm 7)-100+1000
Mavs win Game 7 (bet to win $150 on Suns in Gm 7)+550-525+25
Suns win Game 7 (bet to win $150 on Suns in Gm 7)-100+150+50

Suns vs. Mavericks Game 6 Betting Lines

Home Teams Running The Table

Catching as many as 3 points with Dallas at home has to intrigue some bettors. This series has been dominated by the home teams, none of the first five games being particularly close.

After three straight ‘unders’, meanwhile, the Game 6 total has been adjusted to its low point of the series.

Odds To Win Western Conference

With Ja Morant out and the Warriors holding a 3-1 lead in that series, Golden State has moved to the favorite to win the West on multiple oddsboards. But a Warriors-Suns conference final is by far the most likely scenario, and that’s reflected in these futures odds from three sportsbooks as of Thursday.

 DraftKingsBetMGMFanDuel
Warriors-105-110-115
Suns+135+100+150
Mavericks+800+800+750
Grizzlies+2500+1800+1900

Mavericks vs. Suns Series Props

Here’s a sampling of props offered around the betting market on the Mavs-Suns series prior to Game 6. Shop around various sportsbooks for plenty more offerings and prices.

Series Correct Score  (DraftKings)
Suns 4-2 -130
Suns 4-3 +180
Mavericks 4-3 +500

Conference semifinal parlays (PointsBet)
GSW & PHX Both To Make Conference Finals -715
GSW & MIA Both To Make Conference Finals -385
MIA & PHX Both To Make Conference Finals -244
GSW, MIA & PHX All To Make Conference Finals -233

Also read:  Odds to win NBA ChampionshipBucks-Celtics odds

About the Author
Marcus DiNitto

Marcus DiNitto

Sr. News Editor
Marcus DiNitto is Senior News Editor for Gaming Today. He has been managing editor at national sports websites SportsBusiness Daily, Sporting News, and The Linemakers, as well as with licensed sportsbook operator USA Sports Gaming. Marcus graduated from the University of Wisconsin-Madison and earned his MBA from the University of North Carolina-Charlotte.

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