Mexico vs. Costa Rica Predictions, Odds, Props: El Tri a Lock to Advance in Gold Cup Quarterfinals?

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Mexico and Costa Rica are three wins away from winning the 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup. As El Tri faces Los Ticos in the quarterfinals, we look at Mexico vs. Costa Rica odds, props, and predictions.

Mexico hit a bump on the road by losing to AFC Asian Cup winners and tournament invitees, Qatar, 1-0 in the third group stage match for both teams. For oddsmakers, that may be the best thing that happened.

Costa Rica, on the other hand, will not be an easy opponent and never has. The four previous encounters in the Gold Cup knockout stage between Mexico and Costa Rica have gone to extra time and twice needed a penalty shootout to decide the encounter.

Also read: Odds to win 2023 Gold Cup | 2026 World Cup odds | Inter Miami’s MLS odds on the move after Messi signing

Betting Odds for Saturday’s Mexico vs. Costa Rica Gold Cup Match

Here are Mexico vs. Costa Rica betting lines available on top sports betting apps. The moneyline here reflects the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. BetMGM Sportsbook has one of the best lines on the draw at +400, though it’s always advisable to shop around several sportsbooks to find the best odds for the bet you wish to make.

Costa Rica vs Mexico Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Sat (7/8) @ 9:30 pm ET

Costa Rica at Mexico
AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX

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Mexico Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Mexico's Santiago Gimenez celebrates the team's third goal against Haiti, during the second half of a CONCACAF Gold Cup soccer match Thursday, June 29, 2023, in Glendale, Ariz. Mexico won 3-1. (AP Photo/Darryl Webb)
Mexico’s Santiago Gimenez celebrates the team’s third goal against Haiti, during the second half of a CONCACAF Gold Cup soccer match. (AP Photo/Darryl Webb)

The Mexico men’s national team has historically dominated the CONCACAF Gold Cup with a record eight trophies and a ninth would help widen the gap with rivals USA, who are one behind. Former midfielder Jaime “Jimmy” Lozano, who participated in the 2007 Gold Cup, has rejuvenated the squad as the interim manager following a humiliating defeat to the US in the CONCACAF Nations League Finals, which led to the firing of former coach Diego Cocca.

Lozano led Mexico’s Olympic squad to a bronze medal at Tokyo 2020 and 11 of those players form part of the current squad. Mexico was off to two wins in the group stage before an alternate lineup was used to rest a few players, ending in a one-goal loss to Qatar, but should be back to its A lineup against Costa Rica.

Roster

Guillermo Ochoa headlines this roster as the veteran star with over 100 appearances in goal and is one of Lozano’s most trusted players. In case of an injury, the 26-year-old Luis Malagon would be the next man up and a player “Jimmy” coached at Liga MX club Necaxa.

Edson Alvarez and Johan Vasquez, two of Mexico’s European-based players, anchored the backline in the group stage but that will change with the return of Cesar Montes from suspension. Expect Montes to come back into defense and Alvarez to move into midfield in a move that will boost the Mexican squad.

Up top, the battle for goals is on between Liga MX top scorer Henry Martin and the young Santi Gimenez, who is coming off a great season in the Netherlands where he had the fourth-most goals in the Eredivisie. Orbelin Pineda, Charly Rodriguez, and Ozziel Herrera are other names in the attack to keep in mind.

Injuries

Out: None (rosters can be modified with injury replacements for the knockout stage)

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Costa Rica Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Costa Rica is not the same strong team that made a surprise run to the 2014 FIFA World Cup quarterfinals. Some names on that team still remain, like Joel Campbell, Celso Borges, and Francisco Calvo, but the next wave of talent has not arrived with a statement.

Colombian manager Luis Fernando Suárez, who took Honduras to the semifinals of the 2011 and 2013 Gold Cup, was brought in to take Costa Rica back among the top four in CONCACAF. A win over Mexico would be a great statement win for the Central Americans.

Roster

There is plenty of experience for Costa Rica up the spine with defenders Kendall Waston and Francisco Calvo, midfielder Celso Borges, and forward Joel Campbell. Each carries at least 60 international appearances including multiple World Cups.

Not with this squad is former Real Madrid and current Nottingham Forest goalkeeper Keylor Navas. Instead, Costa Rica has a 23-year-old goalkeeper in Kevin Chamorro, who was one of the top performers of the group stage with 16 saves.

The majority of the squad is based in the domestic league with some of the younger talent featuring in attack in Anthony Contreras and Josimar Alcócer. Cristopher Núñez, 25, is one of the creators in midfield and features at Greek club Lamia.

Injuries

Out: None (rosters can be modified with injury replacements for the knockout stage)

Mexico vs. Costa Rica Props

Below is a sampling of props for Saturday’s Mexico vs. Costa Rica Gold Cup game.

Anytime Goalscorer (BetMGM):

  • Henry Martin: +110
  • Santiago Gimenez: +110
  • Uriel Antuna: +175
  • Jonathan Ozziel Herrera: +210
  • Orbelin Pineda: +220
  • Roberto Alvarado: +300
  • Erick Sanchez: +350
  • Diego Lainez: +350
  • Luis Chavez: +350
  • Luis Romo: +400
  • Carlos “Charly” Rodriguez: +400
  • Joel Campbell: +450
  • No goalscorer: +1100

Correct Score (BetMGM):

  • Mexico 1-0: +600
  • Mexico 2-0: +575
  • Mexico 2-1: +725
  • Mexico 3-0: +800
  • Costa Rica 1-0: +1650
  • Costa Rica 2-0: +3300
  • Costa Rica 2-1: +2000
  • Costa Rica 3-0: +6600
  • 0-0: +1200
  • 1-1: +825
  • 2-2: +1800
  • 3-3: +5500

Total Goal Props (Caesars):

  • Over 0.5 goals -2500, Under 0.5 goals: +900
  • Over 1.5 goals -450, Under 1.5 goals: +300
  • Over 2.5 goals -145, Under 2.5 goals: +115
  • Over 3.5 goals +160, Under 3.5 goals: -210
  • Over 4.5 goals +380, Under 4.5 goals: -600
  • Over 5.5 goals +700, Under 5.5 goals: -1600

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Mexico vs. Costa Rica Prediction

Mexico and Costa Rica have a knack for meeting in the quarterfinals, and when they do, they deliver a classic. 2007, 2015, and 2019 all went to extra time, with the latest edition needing penalties.

The two also met in the 2009 semifinals and that also went to a shootout. In fact, the latest knockout meeting in the Gold Cup that was decided in regulation came in the 2003 semifinals, played in Mexico City.

If this one delivers just like the others, expect a lot of physical play, high drama, and a lack of goals. At least during regular time.

Here are a few bets that are worth considering:

  • Total Goals: Under 2.5 +115 (Caesars)
  • Halftime/Fulltime: Tie/Mexico +290 (BetMGM)
  • To Win In Extra Time: Mexico +750 (Caesars)
  • Anytime Scorer: Santiago Gimenez +115, Orbelin Pineda +225 (BetMGM)

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Mexico vs. Costa Rica Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

  • Date/Time: Saturday, July 8, 9:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: AT&T Stadium

Watch this match at one of the following:

  • FS1 (English)
  • Univision, TUDN (Spanish)
About the Author
Victor Araiza

Victor Araiza

Writer
Victor Araiza is a sports betting writer at Gaming Today. A sports journalist specializing in soccer, Araiza has written for The Associated Press, Concacaf, MLSsoccer.com, and several independent outlets. He is an active member of the North American Soccer Reporters (NASR).

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