Mexico vs. Honduras Predictions, Odds, Props: El Tri Favored in Gold Cup to Start Lozano Era With Win

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Mexico is one of the favorites to win the CONCACAF Gold Cup, and winning the tournament is the expectation under interim head coach Jaime Lozano. As El Tri opens its group stage schedule on Sunday in Houston, we look at Mexico vs. Honduras odds, props, and predictions.

The former “Giants of CONCACAF” are on a trophyless streak that continued with the United States’ conquest of the recent CONCACAF Nations League. Mexico finished third, after falling to the USMNT in the semis, which led to the firing of coach Diego Cocca.

The Mexican contingent is fielding virtually the same roster it did for the CNL Finals and, with USA and Canada sending ‘B’ squads, has a team capable of winning it all. This Mexico side is arguably the team to beat, despite having the second-shortest odds after the US, and that championship run could start this weekend in what is always a lively affair against Honduras.

Also read: Odds to win 2023 Gold Cup |  2026 World Cup odds | Inter Miami’s MLS odds on the move after Messi signing

Betting Odds for Saturday’s Mexico-Honduras Gold Cup Match

Here are Mexico vs. Honduras betting lines available on top sports betting apps. The moneyline here reflects the three-way line, where a bet on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. While Caesars Sportsbook prices the draw at +290, it’s always advisable to shop around several sportsbooks to find the best odds for the best you wish to make.

Honduras vs Mexico Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Sun (6/25) @ 8:00 pm ET

Honduras at Mexico
NRG Stadium, Houston, TX

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Mexico Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

The Mexico men’s national team has dominated the CONCACAF Gold Cup with a record eight trophies, and they have a shot at getting a ninth. Former midfielder Jaime “Jimmy” Lozano, who wore the Mexican jersey on over 30 occasions, will be tasked with reviving El Tri from a disastrous showing in the CONCACAF Nations League Finals.

As a coach, Lozano led Mexico’s Olympic squad to a bronze medal at Tokyo 2020. Eleven players from that Olympic squad form part of this Gold Cup team, so there’s already a level of familiarity between coach and player.

Under new coach Jaime Lozano, Mexico is heavily favored over Honduras on 2023 Gold Cup odds boards.
Jaime Lozano led the under-23 Mexico team to the bronze medal at the 2020 Summer Olympics (AP Photo/Gregorio Borgia)

Historically, Mexico has kicked off its Gold Cup campaigns with victories. They have won 13 of their opening group stage matches, tying one, and losing two.

Roster

Guillermo Ochoa headlines this roster as the veteran star with over 100 appearances in goal. Defender Johan Vásquez, midfielder Orbelín Pineda, and forward Santiago Giménez are three players to keep an eye on in each line after coming off playing in a European top division.

Some of the start of Liga MX are also on the roster in hopes of translating their success to the national team, and perhaps potentially catching the eye of European suitors. Henry Martin was the league’s top scorer with Club America while Diego Lainez, replacing Sebastian Cordova due to injury, regained some playing time with champions Tigres after returning from La Liga side Real Betis. Both Martin and Lainez were part of Lozano’s Tokyo squad.

Edson Álvarez is nursing an injury, and is in the middle of a possible transfer from Ajax to Borussia Dortmund, so don’t be surprised if he misses the group stage. César Montes will miss the first three games as he serves a suspension from CONCACAF for a violent play against the USA in the Nations League, while Gerardo Arteaga will miss two matches.

Injuries

Doubtful: Edson Alvarez

Out: Cesar Montes and Gerardo Arteaga (suspension)

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Honduras Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

After being a regular semifinalist in four of five editions, the Honduras men’s national team has struggled in its past four Gold Cup appearances. On two of those occasions, it failed to get out of the group stage.

Part of that decline is due to the turnover of players who helped end a FIFA World Cup drought in 2010 and made history with a consecutive appearance in 2014. Argentine Diego Vásquez is the latest manager tasked with trying to get the most out of a squad that has a few talented players but is far from a heavyweight in the CONCACAF region.

Los Catrachos reached the final in the inaugural Gold Cup back in 1991 but have yet to return. As far as history in the opening match, Honduras has a record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses.

Roster

Honduras has had some young players with potential that have started showing they can reach the next level in the likes of goalkeeper Luis López and forwards Alberth Elis and Jorge Benguché. Elis will be back on familiar grounds, as the former Houston Dynamo star was a force and a constant threat to MLS defenders, which led to his jump to Europe.

Alexander López is also a former Dynamo player in his younger years, but his career didn’t take off nearly as well. The midfielder has put together a consistent body of work for Costa Rican side Alajuelense and will be one of the most creative players in building the attack.

Deiby Flores is the only player, besides Elis, who plays in Europe, giving the Central Americans a squad heavy on domestic players. There is a dynamic nature to this squad as 13 field players are age 27 or younger.

Injuries

Doubtful: Luis Vega

Mexico vs. Honduras Props

Below is a sampling of props for Sunday’s Mexico vs. Honduras Gold Cup game.

Anytime Goalscorer (FanDuel):

  • Henry Martin: -135
  • Santiago Gimenez: +125
  • Uriel Antuna: +175
  • Ozziel Herrera: +200
  • Orbelin Pineda: +240
  • Jerry Bengtson: +280
  • Roberto Alvarado: +320
  • Jorge Benguche: +350
  • Rubilio Castillo: +360
  • Carlos Rodriguez: +380
  • Luis Chavez: +410
  • Alberth Elis: +450

Correct Score (DraftKings):

  • Mexico 1-0: +450
  • Mexico 2-0: +450
  • Mexico 2-1: +700
  • Mexico 3-0: +800
  • Honduras 1-0: +1100
  • Honduras 2-0: +2800
  • Honduras 2-1: +1400
  • Honduras 3-0: +6500
  • 0-0: +1100
  • 1-1: +500
  • 2-2: +1400
  • 3-3: +5000

Total Goal Props (BetMGM):

  • Over 0.5 goals -2000, Under 0.5 goals: +850
  • Over 1.5 goals -350, Under 1.5 goals: +230
  • Over 2.5 goals -115, Under 2.5 goals: -120
  • Over 3.5 goals +210, Under 3.5 goals: -300
  • Over 4.5 goals +500, Under 4.5 goals: -900

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Mexico vs. Honduras Prediction

Depending on the day-of-the-game crowd, this could end up being a sellout. Even if it is not, the rivalry nature of this match will make for a rowdy atmosphere in a city that is heavily populated by both nationalities.

Mexico leads the all-time series against Honduras with 26 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses. The teams have faced off seven times in the Gold Cup, with four going Mexico’s way, two draws, and one Honduran victory.

The two countries have played twice in this same stadium with crowds of 70,000 spectators each time. Mexico won 2-0 in the semifinals of the 2011 Gold Cup, and the two played to a scoreless draw in a 2015 international friendly.

El Tri has played 17 soccer matches inside NRG Stadium, more games than any team who isn’t the hometown NFL Texans. Mexico has never lost in its seven Gold Cup games here, including advancing in a knockout match on penalties.

Mexico will likely walk away with the result Sunday night unless Honduras delivers something special. If they do, it will come from one or both of the big guys up top in Elis and Benguché.

Here are a few bets that are worth considering:

  • To Win: Mexico -200 (DraftKings)
  • Spread: Mexico -1.5 +148 (BetRivers)
  • Over: 2.5 goals +100 (BetRivers)
  • Anytime scorer: Santiago Gimenez +150, Orbelin Pineda +280, Roberto Alvarado +350 (DraftKings)

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Mexico vs. Honduras Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

  • Date/Time: Sunday, June 25, 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: NRG Stadium

Watch this match at one of the following:

  • FS1 (English)
  • Univision, TUDN (Spanish)
About the Author
Victor Araiza

Victor Araiza

Writer
Victor Araiza is a sports betting writer at Gaming Today. A sports journalist specializing in soccer, Araiza has written for The Associated Press, Concacaf, MLSsoccer.com, and several independent outlets. He is an active member of the North American Soccer Reporters (NASR).

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