Mexico and Jamaica meet Wednesday night for the last spot in the 2023 CONCACAF Gold Cup Final. Ahead of this semi-final bout, we look at Mexico vs. Jamaica odds, props, and predictions.
Eight-time Gold Cup champions Mexico are two wins away from winning a record ninth title after handling Costa Rica with a 2-0 win. As we recommended, Under 2.5 cashed and Orbelin Pineda scored a goal at +225 odds, but Jamaica will be a different test.
The Reggae Boyz have arguably the most talented attacking line in the tournament with three Premier League forwards. El Tri is on notice for what would be considered an upset over the CONCACAF giants.
Betting Odds for Mexico vs. Jamaica Gold Cup Match
Here are Mexico vs. Jamaica betting lines available on top sports betting apps.
The moneyline odds here reflect the three-way bet, where a wager on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. As of Tuesday, Bet365 offers +320 odds on the draw, though it’s always advisable to shop around several sportsbooks to find the best odds for the bet you wish to make.
SOCCER · Wed (7/12) @ 10:00 pm ET
|Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, NV|
Mexico Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Former Mexico national team midfielder and current interim coach Jaime “Jimmy” Lozano has won the trust of fans and players by simplifying the game following confusion and frustration with former manager Diego Cocca. With most of the same roster, Mexico was embarrassed by rival USA and nearly shocked by Panama in the CONCACAF Nations League semifinal and third-place game, respectively.
The permanent job isn’t Jimmy’s just yet, as nothing other than winning the tournament would suffice as a successful outcome in the eyes of the ever-demanding Mexican press. El Tri won its first two group stage matches before losing the third after securing qualification, and then won definitively, 2-0, over Costa Rica in the semifinals.
Mexico XI vs. Costa Rica (4-3-3): Guillermo Ochoa; Jorge Sanchez, Cesar Montes, Johan Vazquez, Jesus Gallardo; Luis Chavez, Edson Alvarez, Luis Romo; Uriel Antuna, Henry Martin, Orbelin Pineda.
Guillermo Ochoa headlines this roster as the veteran star with over 100 appearances in goal with the national team and plying his trade at Italian Serie A side Salernitana. In front of them are three of Mexico’s best midfielders in Edson Alvarez, Luis Chavez, and Luis Romo. These seven will make it hard for Jamaica to have their way.
In the attack is an Orbelin Pineda coming off a great season in Greece and a speedy Uriel Antuna who has had some good moments in this tournament. Two strikers coming off great club seasons are battling to be the starting ‘9’ in Henry Martin and Santiago Gimenez.
‘Santi’ has been one of the key guys off the bench, but don’t be surprised if he gets the start. Erick Sanchez came on to score against Costa Rica in the previous match, and others like Roberto Alvarado, Ozziel Herrera, and Diego Lainez are capable of providing a spectacular play in a singular defining moment.
Jamaica Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News
Icelandic manager Heimir Hallgrímsson has Jamaica dreaming of winning it all. After a 1-1 draw with the United States to start the tournament, the Reggae Boyz are on a three-match winning streak.
A narrow win over Guatemala in the quarterfinals proved to be a close call, but Jamaica’s talented squad prevailed. Now they face a Mexican side that they have fared well against recently, including a 2-2 draw in March in Hallgrímsson’s first encounter with Mexico as coach of Jamaica.
Jamaica XI vs. Guatemala (4-4-2): Andre Blake; Javain Brown, Damion Lowe, Di’Shon Bernard, Amari’i Bell; Bobby De Cordova-Reid; Kevon Lambert, Joel Latibeaudiere, Demarai Gray; Michail Antonio, Leon Bailey.
Seven players on this Jamaica squad are part of Premier League rosters for the upcoming season. That type of quality, in the likes of Everton’s Demarai Gray and West Ham’s Michail Antonio, should certainly deliver a victory over most of the teams in this Gold Cup.
Fulham’s Bobby De Cordova-Reid and Aston Villa’s Leon Bailey have already scorched Mexico in CONCACAF Nations League matches. Jamaica also counts on the reigning MLS Goalkeeper of the Year Andre Blake of the Philadelphia Union.
With 12 players based in England through the top four tiers, this is as good a squad as Jamaica has put together in several years. A victory will come as a shock on paper but, take away the logos on the jersey, and you make like Jamaica based on the experience of its top players.
Mexico vs. Jamaica Props
Below is a sampling of props for Saturday’s Mexico vs. Jamaica Gold Cup game.
Anytime Goalscorer (BetMGM):
Henry Martin: +150
- Santiago Gimenez: +160
- Uriel Antuna: +240
- Jonathan Ozziel Herrera: +280
- Orbelin Pineda: +280
- Roberto Alvarado: +400
- Cory Burke: +400
- Shamar Nicholson: +400
- Michail Antonio: +400
- Leon Bailey: +450
- Demarai Gray: +550
- No goalscorer: +700
First Goalscorer (BetMGM):
Henry Martin: +400
- Santiago Gimenez: +400
- Uriel Antuna: +550
- Jonathan Ozziel Herrera: +650
- Orbelin Pineda: +650
- Roberto Alvarado: +800
- Cory Burke: +900
- Shamar Nicholson: +900
- Michail Antonio: +900
- Leon Bailey: +1000
- Demarai Gray: +1200
- No goalscorer: +700
Correct Score (BetMGM):
- Jamaica 1-0: +1100
- Jamaica 2-0: +2200
- Jamaica 2-1: +1550
- Jamaica 3-0: +5500
- Mexico 1-0: +525
- Mexico 2-0: +625
- Mexico 2-1: +725
- Mexico 3-0: +1050
- 0-0: +850
- 1-1: +650
- 2-2: +1700
- 3-3: +6000
Total Goal Props (Caesars):
- Over 0.5 goals -1400, Under 0.5 goals: +650
- Over 1.5 goals -300, Under 1.5 goals: +210
- Over 2.5 goals +110, Under 2.5 goals: -140
- Over 3.5 goals +260, Under 3.5 goals: -380
- Over 4.5 goals +550, Under 4.5 goals: -1000
- Over 5.5 goals +1100, Under 5.5 goals: -5000
Both Teams To Score (Caesars):
- Yes +100
- No -130
Mexico vs. Jamaica Prediction
Jamaica has proven to be a difficult team for Mexico. The two last faced off in March in the CONCACAF Nations League, as the Reggae Boyz took a 2-2 draw at the Azteca Stadium in Mexico City. Fulham forward Bobby Decordova-Reid scored a fantastic goal in one where a weather delay may have spared El Tri from an embarrassing defeat.
In the Gold Cup, the two last faced off in the 2017 semifinals, when Jamaica provided the upset with a 1-0 victory at the Rose Bowl. Two years prior, it was El Tri who was victorious, 3-1 over Jamaica, in the 2015 Final in Philadelphia.
On this occasion, both countries feature teams with good quality on both sides of the ball. There’s too much talent and dynamic play to expect a low-scoring game, which is why we predict a back-and-forth affair.
Here are a few bets that are worth considering:
Mexico vs. Jamaica Broadcast Info: Where to Watch
- Date/Time: Wednesday, July 12, 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Allegiant Stadium
Watch this match at one of the following:
- FS1 (English)
- Univision (Spanish)