Mexico vs. Panama Predictions, Odds, Props: El Tri Looks to Regain Gold Cup in 2023 Final

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Mexico and Panama will meet for the first time in a CONCACAF Gold Cup Final when they square off on Sunday night at SoFi Stadium. As we look ahead to the crowning of a new champion, we look at Mexico vs. Panama odds, props, and predictions.

Eight-time Gold Cup champions Mexico are one win away from lifting a record ninth trophy after a convincing win over Jamaica in the semis. As we recommended, Over 2.5 cashed as Roberto Alvarado made it 3-0 in the 90’+3 minute to cover the total.

Panama upset the United States by eliminating the defending champions in the penalty kicks shootout after extra time was not enough to decide the encounter. With hopes of winning their first Gold Cup, the Canalmen will be more than motivated to upset another giant of the region.

Also read: Odds to win 2023 Gold Cup | 2026 World Cup odds | Inter Miami’s MLS odds on the move after Messi signing | 2023 Women’s World Cup odds

Betting Odds for Mexico vs. Panama Gold Cup Match

Here are Mexico vs. Panama betting lines available on top sports betting apps.

The moneyline odds here reflect the three-way bet, where a wager on either team is a loss in the event of a draw. As of Friday, Bet365 offers +240 odds on the draw, though it’s always advisable to shop around several sportsbooks to find the best odds for the bet you wish to make.

Panama vs Mexico Odds SOCCER Odds

SOCCER · Sun (7/16) @ 7:30 pm ET

Panama at Mexico
SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA

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Mexico Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Henry Martin and Mexico are looking to regain the Gold Cup against Panama.
Henry Martin and Mexico are looking to regain the Gold Cup in the 2023 Final against Panama. (AP Photo/John Locher)

Former Mexico national team midfielder Jaime “Jimmy” Lozano has won the trust of fans and players after lifting the squad from an embarrassing showing in the CONCACAF Nations League Finals in mid-June into a convincing favorite to win the Gold Cup. Has he done enough to drop the interim tag? He may not have to worry about that if El Tri collects a record ninth trophy on Sunday.

Part of the success comes from Lozano’s work with Mexico’s Olympic squad at Tokyo 2020, leading them to a bronze medal, of which several players form part of this squad. The three overage players of that campaign – Guillermo Ochoa, Luis Romo, and Henry Martin – are three regulars with each having standout performances throughout the tournament.

Mexico XI vs. Jamaica (4-3-3): Guillermo Ochoa; Jorge Sanchez, Cesar Montes, Johan Vazquez, Jesus Gallardo; Érick Sánchez, Luis Chavez, Luis Romo; Uriel Antuna, Henry Martin, Orbelin Pineda.

Roster

Guillermo Ochoa, who just turned 38, has provided stability in goal, bringing over 100 appearances to the position and an impeccable form after coming off an exceptional season at Italian Serie A side Salernitana. His backline doesn’t hurt with three of the four based in Europe, including central defenders Johan Vazquez (Genoa) and Cesar Montes (Espanyol).

Midfielder Edson Alvarez missed the Jamaica match due to a knock but should be good to go for the final. Recently linked with a move from Ajax to Borussia Dortmund, Alvarez is arguably the best player on the squad and showed his versatility by playing as a central defender during Montes’ group-stage suspension.

Of course, the goals will come from a corps of attackers that have had great goalscoring seasons with their clubs. Orbelin Pineda helped AEK Athens to a league title in Greece, Santiago Gimenez was one of the high scorers in the Eredivisie with Feyenoord, and Henry Martin was the Golden Boot and Golden Ball winner in Liga MX.

Injuries

Doubtful: Edson Alvarez

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Panama Gold Cup Roster, Injuries, and Betting News

Panama’s rise in CONCACAF may come as a surprise but the success of this national team has been brewing since the arrival of Danish-Spanish coach Thomas Christiansen. Following the country’s first FIFA World Cup appearance at Russia 2018, Christiansen was appointed in 2020 to oversee the generational shift in players and take the nation to the height of international football on a more consistent basis.

A younger squad at the 2021 Gold Cup, despite resulting in elimination after the group stage, gave experience to many of the players that now have this team one win away from its first continental trophy. The team just missed out on getting to Qatar 2022 but has high odds to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup that will be played in North America, and while the gap with teams like the U.S. and Mexico is narrowing, a win in the final would still come as a major upset.

Panama XI vs. USA (3-4-3): Orlando Mosquera; Fidel Escobar, Harold Cummings, Andrés Andrade; Yoel Bárcenas, Adalberto Carrasquilla, Aníbal Godoy, Eric Davis; José Fajardo, Alberto Quintero, Ismael Díaz.

Roster

Panama has a small number of players based in Europe with defender Andres Andrade looking to have the best situation at Bundesliga 2 side Arminia Bielefeld. Most of the players are based in Latin America, with anywhere from Mexico to Chile but the best player on the team plays in Major League Soccer, though perhaps not for long.

Houston Dynamo midfielder Adalberto “Coco” Carrasquilla has risen his stock with his play throughout the tournament as a defensive midfielder with top-tier passes. He also exudes confidence, as he did to score the winning penalty kick against the United States and Arsenal goalkeeper Matt Turner. The MLS standout, who had a stint in Spain’s second division, has been recently linked to a move to a top European division with La Liga side Rayo Vallecano leading the charge.

Ismael Díaz has been one of the top scorers of the tournament, second to USA’s Jesus Ferreira, in part to a hat-trick in the quarterfinals. Eric Davis is one of the team’s prime providers of crosses off the left side of the field. Iván Anderson got the goal against the United States and is one of the key names to look for off the bench. In goal, 28-year-old Orlando Mosquera will have a big test against Mexico’s offense but if he puts together another great performance like the one against the U.S., Panama will have a chance.

Injuries

Out: None

Mexico vs. Panama Props

Below is a sampling of props for Saturday’s Mexico vs. Jamaica Gold Cup game.

Anytime Goalscorer (Caesars):

  • Henry Martin: +138
  • Santiago Gimenez: +163
  • Uriel Antuna: +240
  • Orbelin Pineda: +290
  • Jonathan Ozziel Herrera: +320
  • Erick Sanchez: +333
  • Roberto Alvarado: +350
  • Jose Fajardo: +400
  • Ismael Diaz: +425
  • Cecilio Waterman: +425
  • Azarias Londono: +450
  • Luis Chavez: +450
  • Diego Lainez: +480
  • Luis Romo: +500
  • Carlos Rodriguez: +500
  • Yoel Barcenas:+850
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla:+1600
  • No goalscorer: +650

First Goalscorer (Caesars):

  • Henry Martin: +350
  • Santiago Gimenez: +400
  • Uriel Antuna: +550
  • Orbelin Pineda: +700
  • Jonathan Ozziel Herrera: +750
  • Erick Sanchez: +800
  • Roberto Alvarado: +800
  • Jose Fajardo: +900
  • Ismael Diaz: +1000
  • Luis Chavez: +1000
  • Cecilio Waterman: +1000
  • Azarias Londono: +1100
  • Diego Lainez: +1100
  • Luis Romo: +1100
  • Carlos Rodriguez: +1100
  • Yoel Barcenas:+2000
  • Adalberto Carrasquilla:+3500
  • No goalscorer: +650

Correct Score (BetMGM):

  • Mexico 1-0: +425
  • Mexico 2-0: +575
  • Mexico 2-1: +775
  • Mexico 3-0: +1050
  • Panama 1-0: +1000
  • Panama 2-0: +2500
  • Panama 2-1: +1700
  • Panama 3-0: +6000
  • 0-0: +675
  • 1-1: +650
  • 2-2: +2000
  • 3-3: +6600

Over/Under Total Goals (BetMGM):

  • Over 0.5 goals -1200, Under 0.5 goals: +625
  • Over 1.5 goals -250, Under 1.5 goals: +165
  • Over 2.5 goals +125, Under 2.5 goals: -175
  • Over 3.5 goals +310, Under 3.5 goals: -500
  • Over 4.5 goals +750, Under 4.5 goals: -1600
  • Over 5.5 goals +1700, Under 5.5 goals: -12500

To Lift The Trophy (BetMGM):

  • Mexico -350
  • Panama +230

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Mexico vs. Panama Prediction

Panama is very capable of turning out a surprise result. They showed that the U.S. and the strategy against Mexico will be very similar in staying sound defensively, try not to give up more than one goal, and making the opportunities that come in favor count.

The problem is keeping Mexico’s high-powered offense will be pretty hard. Panama may have a better chance at trying to duke it out on the scoreboard.

Lozano has done a good job to keep things simple and place his best available XI on the field. Both coaches are good strategists but Mexico has a big edge in talent and that should take them to the trophy. It’s Mexico’s final to lose.

Here are a few bets that are worth considering:

  • Mexico: -160 (BetMGM)
  • Total Goals: Over 2.5 +135 (Caesars)
  • Anytime Scorer: Henry Martin: +138, Santiago Gimenez: +163, Orbelin Pineda: +290, Ismael Diaz: +425, Adalberto Carrasquilla:+1600 (Caesars)

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Mexico vs. Panama Broadcast Info: Where to Watch

  • Date/Time: Sunday, July 16, 7:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: SoFi Stadium

Watch this match at one of the following:

  • FS1 (English)
  • Univision, TUDN (Spanish)
About the Author
Victor Araiza

Victor Araiza

Writer
Victor Araiza is a sports betting writer at Gaming Today. A sports journalist specializing in soccer, Araiza has written for The Associated Press, Concacaf, MLSsoccer.com, and several independent outlets. He is an active member of the North American Soccer Reporters (NASR).

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