Dolphins Player Prop Bets: Finding Value in Tua Tagovailoa

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We are a few months from finding out if the Miami Dolphins can build off their success last season, but bettors do not have to wait to place bets on Dolphins player props.

If Tua Tagovailoa can stay healthy and continue to improve, there is no telling just how good the Dolphins could be this season. With the weapons at his disposal in Mike McDaniel’s offense, the sky could be the limit for Tagovailoa’s props bets and several other Dolphins player props.

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Tua Tagovailoa Heads 2023 Dolphins Player Props

Fans knew they could count on one thing when Miami hired McDaniel as its new head coach. The offense would get a lot better. Trading for Tyreek Hill was another good sign.

Here are some props involving Tagovailoa to consider ahead of the 2023 season. Odds are current as of June 21 at four of the best sports betting apps in the country:

MarketDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesars
Passing Yards (Over/Under)3,950.5 (+105/-125)3,850.5 (-112/-112)3,825.5 (-110/-110)3,800.5 (-115/-115)
Passing TDs (Over/Under)26.5 (-110/-110)26.5 (-110/-110)25.5 (-115/-115)
To Have 5,000+ Passing Yards+1200
Most Passing Yards+2000+1200+1500
Most Passing TDs+1600
To Win NFL MVP+2000+1600+1400+2200
To Win Offensive POY+5000+6000+5000+4500
To Win Comeback POY+2000+2500+2000

Before injuries put a damper on Tua’s season last year, fans saw flashes of the offense’s potential. Should he stay relatively healthy in 2023, not only could his stats explode, but so could the stat lines for Hill and Jaylen Waddle.

But if he does have injury issues again…

These are some of our favorite Miami Dolphins player prop bets. Before betting, make sure you check out several of the top US sports betting apps to make sure you find the best odds available.

Tua Tagovailoa Player Props and Futures

Four of the NFL’s last five passing yards leaders threw for 5,000+ yards. In his three seasons in the league, Tagovailoa has yet to throw for 4,000 yards. With the talent at quarterback in today’s NFL, 4,000 passing yards may not even crack the top ten.

We look for value in Miami Dolphins player props, including bets on Tua Tagovailoa.
Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa (AP Photo/Lynne Sladky)

Last season, in 13 games, he threw for 3,548 yards for an average of 272.9 YPG. Using that number, had he played in 17 games, he could have thrown for 4,600+ yards. If he can stay healthy for just two more games, with the tools he has to work with in McDaniel’s offense, he’ll go Over the total at DraftKings of 3,950.5 yards. At +105 odds, this prop has value.

With the weapons at his disposal and another offseason to work with them, he could clear 5,000+ yards and have a shot at leading the league.

But it can only happen if he stays healthy.

Tyreek Hill, Most Receiving Yards +1000 (FD)

With Tua playing only 13 games and Teddy Bridgewater and Skylar Thompson each starting two, Hill still had 1,710 receiving yards, good enough for second in the NFL behind Justin Jefferson (1,809). In past years, players with 1,700+ yards experienced some regression the following year.

But that doesn’t mean he can’t win the receiving title this season. It might be a closer race this year than last.

  • His receiving yard total can be found as low as 1,249.5 (over -110/under -110) at BetMGM and as high as O/U 1,300.5 (+100/-120) at DraftKings.
  • We do not think he’ll have a down year or experience any regression. So we like him to have 1500+ regular-season receiving yards at +175 at DraftKings.

Jaylen Waddle, Over 1025.5 Regular Season Receiving Yards -115 (BetRivers)

Waddle’s game improved in his second season. While his talent deserves much of the credit, it probably didn’t hurt that defenses were more concerned about Hill than him. Receivers tend to have a breakout year in their third season.

Hill will still be the No. 1 option, but Waddle will see enough targets to clear 1025.5 receiving yards.

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Jalen Ramsey, Over 3.5 interceptions +120/-150 (DraftKings)

Ramsey has 19 career interceptions (eight seasons) but has had over 3.5 in just three seasons. He is coming off two-straight four interception seasons, however.

Within the AFC East, he’ll face three quarterbacks with 10+ interceptions last season. Josh Allen had 14, Aaron Rodgers had 12 (which was uncharacteristically high for him), and Mac Jones had 11. Three other quarterbacks he’ll see had 10+ picks last season, and he’ll likely face at least two rookies/first-year starters.

There is a lot of risk here because teams often throw away from him, but the Dolphins’ schedule is friendly (for his purposes), and we like the plus-money odds on Over 3.5 picks.

More NFL Team Betting Action: Jets Player Prop Bets | Chiefs Player Prop Bets | Eagles Player Prop Bets | Cowboys Player Prop Bets

About the Author
Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver

Senior Writer
Travis Pulver is a senior writer for Gaming Today and a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, Pulver's love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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