Miami vs. UConn Predictions, Odds, Props: Bet the Final Four Favorite

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No. 4 UConn is the betting favorite to win the 2023 NCAA Tournament heading into Saturday’s Final Four matchup against No. 5 Miami.

FanDuel is dealing the Huskies at -125 odds to end March Madness with their fifth national championship in program history. UConn has rolled through the tournament with convincing wins over Iona, St. Mary’s, Arkansas, and Gonzaga.

Meanwhile, Miami has reached the Final Four for the first time. The Hurricanes were one of just five ACC teams to qualify for the tournament. They used a late surge to blow past Texas, 88-81, to advance to the Final Four.

Let’s take a look at Miami vs. UConn predictions, odds, props, and trends.

Miami vs. UConn Final Four Betting Odds: Spread, Moneyline, Total

Top online sportsbooks can offer varying odds and welcome bonuses for bettors looking to wager on March Madness. Be sure to compare the odds and sign-up bonuses before making bets on Miami vs. UConn. 

Here are Miami vs. UConn odds and lines from the best sports betting apps

Miami vs. UConn Betting Trends  

Miami

  • Miami is 22-14 against the spread (ATS) this season
  • The Hurricanes are 9-2 ATS as an underdog
  • Miami is 4-2 ATS against ranked opponents
  • The Hurricanes are 5-3 ATS in neutral site games

UConn

  • UConn is 25-11-1 ATS this season
  • The Huskies are 23-11-1 ATS as a favorite 
  • UConn is 4-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament
  • The Huskies are 6-4 ATS against ranked opponents

Saturday’s earlier tip: FAU vs. SDSU predictions, odds, props

Miami Hurricanes Betting Overview (29-7, 22-14 ATS)

Miami averages 79.4 points per game on the season, but it has been even more prolific in the past three tournament games. The Canes have scored 88, 89, and 85 points in those contests.

Head coach Jim Larranaga is no stranger to NCAA Tournament success. He led the Hurricanes to the Elite Eight last year. In 2006, Larranaga and George Mason shocked the college basketball world by reaching the Final Four.

ACC Player of the Year Isaiah Wong directs Miami’s offense and leads the team with 16.9 points per game. One key for the Canes will be keeping center Norchad Omier (13.3 ppg) out of foul trouble given UConn’s rotation of bigs. The Huskies will enjoy a distinct size advantage here.

Guard Jordan Miller was perfect from the floor and free-throw line with a team-high 27 points in the win over Texas. Miami benefits from some of the best guard play in the country. Kansas State transfer Nigel Pack (13.8 ppg) is also capable of lighting it up.

ReportsSharp action moves Final Four lines | Trend to watch in FAU vs. SDSU

UConn Huskies Betting Overview (29-8, 25-11-1 ATS)

Fun fact: The Huskies have won by an average of 22.5 points over four games.

There’s no denying that UConn has been the best team in the 2023 NCAA Tournament.

Arkansas vs. UConn Predictions, Odds, Trends: A Play on This March Madness Sweet 16 Total
Adama Sanogo and UConn are favored to beat Miami in the Final Four, per FanDuel odds. (AP Photo/John Minchillo)

KenPom has UConn ranked No. 1 overall and No. 3 in offensive efficiency. The Huskies can kill you from deep and down low. Forward Adama Sanogo (team-high 17.1 ppg) and center Donovan Clingan will present challenges for Miami center Norchad Omier on both ends of the floor.

Guard Jordan Hawkins (16.3 ppg) makes 38.5% of his 3-point attempts. Hawkins was lethal with six 3-pointers and a game-high 20 points in the blowout win over Gonzaga.

Three-point percentages can suffer with games being played in an “arena” such as  NRG Stadium. That’s something to watch come Saturday in Houston.

Head coach Danny Hurley’s team is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games. The Huskies are also 8-1 in Final Four games. UConn appears to be on its way to a fifth natty, but this tournament might not be done providing surprise finishes just yet.

Also read: Live March Madness odds | How to bet on March Madness | Best March Madness betting sites

Miami vs. UConn Prediction

The spread is enticing here with Miami getting 5.5 to 6 points, but UConn’s size and depth advantages will likely be too much for the Hurricanes to overcome.

Expect a high-scoring affair and lay the points with the Huskies.

Pick: UConn -5.5 via FanDuel Sportsbook

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Miami vs. UConn Prop Bet Prediction

Connecticut to Win and Jordan Hawkins to Score 15+ (+100 at FanDuel)

Hawkins is one of the best shooters in the country. After a slow scoring start to the NCAA Tournament, he’s rebounded with 24 and 20 points in wins over Arkansas and Gonzaga, respectively. At even money, this is nice value given his scoring ability and needing only UConn to win outright.

How to Watch Miami vs. UConn Final Four Matchup

Date: Saturday, April 1, 2023

Tipoff: 8:49 p.m. ET  

Location: NRG Stadium, Houston

Where to Watch: CBS

Futures: March Madness odds

About the Author
Kris Johnson

Kris Johnson

Senior Writer
Kris Johnson is a senior writer at Gaming Today with more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist. Johnson's work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and other publications. He also authored a sports betting novel titled The Endgame.

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