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The Brewers continued to roll last week winning six of seven games with five of the wins by two runs or more.

Their last three wins came on the road, a place they were supposed to be suspect. However, Milwaukee has won eight of their last nine road games and is closing in on .500 when traveling.

Since leaving San Francisco on July 24, the Brewers are an amazing 22-3 in taking a commanding 8½ game lead over the Cardinals in the NL Central at the start of the week. For the sports books, this streak has been their worst nightmare.

The Brewers don’t just win, they do it by two runs or more making them one of the most popular bets over the last month.

Some people think it’s the sharps that make or break the sports books, but for the most part, it’s the small players with their little parlays multiplying in at true odds with large payouts.

To maximize their payouts, run-line bets are the choice of action and when they all click together, it really doesn’t matter how good or bad the sharps did, the books are going to lose.

In the case of the Brewers, 18 of their last 22 wins have been by two runs or more, giving bettors almost a free play on one leg of their parlay. To close out their wager, the average Joe has them linked to either the Phillies, Red Sox, Yankees or Rangers, teams that all win quite regularly.

When four of those teams come in on one night it’s lights out as two, three, and four team parlays come home clean.

These are the type of bettors who come to the window with no bet numbers written down. They just call out team names and the ticket writer knows team numbers by repetition because they’ve been punching out the same numbers on the same teams all day.

Last Friday was a rough day for the sports books as 13 of the 15 games were decided by two runs or more with the Brewers, Yankees, Red Sox, Rangers and Braves all covering the run-line. That’s a tough five-bagger to swallow and it overwhelmed any large bets that were taken on the day that the books may have won.

It’s hard to say the books got lucky that day with all those teams winning, but they eliminated compounding risk thanks to Ryan Zimmerman and the Nationals scoring six runs in the bottom of the ninth to beat the Phillies 8-4.

Even though the Phillies went 3-3 last week and covered the run-line in each win, their losses helped the books avoid gigantic losses. For only the second time all season, the Phillies lost back-to-back starts by Roy Halladay. The Phillies are now 20-6 on the season when Halladay starts.

As the cream has risen to the top in each division with the fan favorites winning more consistently, the sports books have been losing more often thanks to the parlay. This makes football season more anxiously anticipated than ever for the house to take some of the small money’s focus off of baseball.

On Deck

This week we have a couple of great matchups with the Red Sox visiting Texas for a four-game set in what could be a possible playoff preview. Tampa Bay has been making some noise lately with a surge of wins and will do its best to help Cleveland by slowing down the Tigers.

Although not a great matchup like the other two, Milwaukee visiting Pittsburgh will have some intrigue just because of this amazing factor. The Brewers have swept the Pirates this season and have a 54-17 record against them since 2007.

Over the weekend, the Angels will get to take another run at Texas after failing to gain on them last week in Anaheim. The San Diego Padres will also have a great impact on how the West is eventually won as they travel to Arizona after facing the Giants in San Francisco for three.

Football’s got our minds on information overload and is the leading topic among most casual sports conversations, but don’t forget about baseball. There’s still some pretty cool stuff going on.


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