Welcome back to another great day of baseball. We have another loaded slate of action tonight, giving bettors plenty of chances to place MLB wagers, including anytime home run bets. Here, we break down our favorite MLB home run prop picks for Tuesday, Aug. 29.
Our picks did not produce a winner last night. Luckily, every team is in play today, which means there is plenty of value on the board. Today’s home run picks feature two players who are getting great value on odds to hit one out tonight.
Let’s look at our best MLB home run prop picks for Tuesday night.
Tonight’s MLB Odds
Here are the betting odds from the top sports betting apps for the games in which we have a home run prop bet. Before placing your bets, also check out our MLB odds page to ensure you get the best numbers for your wagers and browse the top online baseball betting sites.
MLB Home Run Picks (08/29/2023)
While the odds for home run props change throughout the day, the odds listed below present the best odds available at our sportsbook partners.
Ryan McMahon ()
In his age-28 season, Ryan McMahon has blossomed into a solid player for the Rockies. He enters tonight with a slash of .253/.336/.464 with a xwOBA of .348 and a 100 wRC+. While his strikeout rate is up, he also has 22 home runs, and his ISO (.210) sits at a career-high.
He also has increased his Barrel% and HardHit%, both of which rank in the top 30% of the league. McMahon also ranks in the top 25% of the league in average exit velocity, xwOBA, and xSLG. This month has not been so kind to him, as McMahon only has a .328 wOBA and a 90 wRC+ in August.
However, he still has five home runs this month, and his Barrel% is up to 15%. McMahon is also playing at home tonight, where he has absolutely crushed the ball. We all know about how much of a hitter’s ballpark Coors Field is, and McMahon proves just that.
McMahon has a .525 SLG, .882 OPS, and a .244 ISO with a .374 wOBA at home this season. Those numbers are significantly worse on the road, as he grades out as a below-average player away from Colorado.
He has a tough matchup against Charlie Morton and an excellent Braves bullpen tonight. While Morton does not give up a lot of power, he is due for some significant regression, as his xERA sits one entire run higher than his actual ERA, and Morton gives up more power to right-handed hitters and on the road.
With a price of , this is well worth a play tonight.
Christian Walker ()
Although the Diamondbacks have completely fallen apart after a hot start, Christian Walker‘s career season continues as they fight for a wild-card spot. On the season, Walker has a slash of .270/.344/.521 with a .364 wOBA and a 130 wRC+.
He is not hitting the ball as hard as he did last season, but he has 28 home runs and a .251 ISO this season. Walker also ranks in the 75th percentile in Barrel% and is in the league’s top half in xwOBA, xSLG, max exit velocity, and HardHit%.
Tonight is a tough matchup against Clayton Kershaw and the surging Dodgers, but Walker has been on fire this month. Through 25 games, he has a slash of .308/.363/.549 with a .384 wOBA and a 143 wRC+. Walker also has six home runs, and his Barrel% is up 5%.
Combine his hot bat with how well he has hit left-handed hitting this season, and you have all the conditions for a player to hit a home run. While he has been effective against righties as well, Walker has a .348 ISO and a slash of .268/.362/.616 with an OPS of .978 against southpaws.
Kershaw may be having another great season, but he is due for some major regression and has had a tough time avoiding barrels. The Dodgers bullpen has also been great, but Walker is crushing the ball right now, and with a warm and windy day forecasted in Los Angeles tonight, he should be able to hit one out tonight.
MLB Home Run Prop Parlay Odds
You can parlay our MLB home run prop bets to maximize your winnings for tonight’s action. At FanDuel, our home run picks parlayed would give you +2938 odds at the time of this publication, which means a $100 bettor would win $2,938 if both home run props cash tonight.
Keep in mind that the odds are so high for a reason. It is hard to pick a single home run prop, let alone a two-leg parlay. But our home run picks have been perfect at times this season, and if our home run picks for tonight hit, you will walk away with a nice chunk of change.
Best MLB Sports Betting Bonuses
Check out each sportsbook’s bonus offers before placing your MLB home run prop bets. Each sportsbook you sign up with opens you up to hundreds of dollars in bonus bets, which can help build your bankroll for a long MLB season.
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