Welcome back to another great day of baseball. We have a full slate of action today, giving bettors plenty of opportunities to place an MLB wager, including any time home run bets. Here, we will break down our two favorite MLB home run prop picks for Wednesday, Aug. 30.
Once again, our picks did not have a winner last night. However, we have a fresh slate of games today starting this afternoon and going into the late hours of the night. This gives us plenty of baseball to watch and place a wager on.
Let’s look at our best MLB home run prop picks for Wednesday night.
More: Wednesday’s MLB strikeout props | World Series odds | MLB game betting lines | MLB betting promotions | MLB MVP odds | Run line betting
Tonight’s MLB Odds
Here are the betting odds from the top sports betting apps for the games in which we have a home run prop bet. Before placing your bets, also check out our MLB odds page to ensure you get the best numbers for your wagers and browse the top online baseball betting sites.
MLB Home Run Picks (08/30/2023)
While the odds for home run props change throughout the day, the odds listed below present the best odds available at our sportsbook partners.
Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies is having one of the best seasons of his career. While his BA has steadily declined over the last few seasons, he still slashes .265/.324/.506 with a 118 wRC+. He has also cut down on his strikeout rate and is hitting the ball harder than ever.
Through 119 games, Albies has 28 home runs, and he currently sits on a career-high in ISO (.241), Barrel% (8.7%), and HardHit%. While his xSLG and xwOBA point towards some slight regression, Albies has been crushing the ball, especially this month.
In August, Albies has a slash of .319/.360/.565 with a .389 wOBA and a 145 wRC+. He also has four home runs, a .246 ISO, and his Barrel% is up to 10.9%. Not only will this game be played in Colorado, where it is much easier to hit home runs, but Albies is significantly better away from Atlanta.
Albies is slashing .286/.345/.556 with a .902 OPS and a .270 ISO on the road. In Atlanta, Albies is actually a below-average offensive player. It also helps that Albies crushes left-handed pitching, and the Rockies have a struggling lefty getting the start in Kyle Freeland.
C.J. Abrams
Don’t look now, but the Washington Nationals are a scrappy team, and franchise shortstop C.J. Abrams has played a significant role in that. While he struggled at the beginning of the season, Abrams has settled in and become a very solid big-league player.
He only slashes .253/.303/.411 with a .309 wOBA and a 93 wRC+ for the season. However, he has been swinging a hot bat since the All-Star break. Over his last 43 games, Abrams has seven home runs, a 104 wRC+, and his Barrel% is up to 7.5%.
Abrams still has a long way to go regarding his progression, but we see the first signs of why he was a highly-touted prospect. He has actually been a little better on the road, and he has a favorable matchup tonight against Chris Bassitt and a shaky Blue Jays bullpen.
Bassitt is putting up the worst season of his career, and it is fixing to get even worse, as his xERA points towards some slight regression. He is also giving up some of the hardest contact of his career, and his last five starts have not been pretty. The Bullpen has been pitching a little better recently, but they still give up a ton of hard contact and have difficulty avoiding barrels.
MLB Home Run Prop Parlay Odds
You can parlay our MLB home run prop bets to maximize your winnings for tonight’s action. At FanDuel, our home run picks parlayed would give you +3713 odds at the time of this publication, which means a $100 bettor would win $3,713 if both home run props cash tonight.
Keep in mind that the odds are so high for a reason. It is hard to pick a single home run prop, let alone a two-leg parlay. But our home run picks have been perfect at times this season, and if our home run picks for tonight hit, you will walk away with a nice chunk of change.
Best MLB Sports Betting Bonuses
Check out each sportsbook’s bonus offers before placing your MLB home run prop bets. Each sportsbook you sign up with opens you up to hundreds of dollars in bonus bets, which can help build your bankroll for a long MLB season.
Here are the best sportsbook bonuses from the top US sports betting apps at Gaming Today.
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