MLB Home Run Props: Picks for Gunnar Henderson, Julio Rodriguez Tonight, Monday, Sept. 18

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Welcome back to another great day of baseball. We have a loaded 15-game slate tonight, giving bettors plenty of opportunities to place an anytime home run wager. Here, we will break down our two favorite MLB home run prop picks for Monday, Sept. 18. 

The season is quickly coming to an end, but there are still playoff spots to clinch. This means we should see some great action down the stretch, which makes placing a bet on a home run prop much more exciting. 

Let’s look at our best MLB home run props for Monday night.

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Tonight’s MLB Odds

Here are the betting odds from the top sports betting apps for the games in which we have a home run prop bet. Before placing your bets, also check out our MLB odds page to ensure you get the best numbers for your wagers and browse the best MLB betting sites.

MLB Home Run Picks (09/18/2023)

Gunnar Henderson

In September, Gunnar Henderson is slashing .293/.303/.613 with a .380 wOBA and a 146 wRC+. 
In September, Gunnar Henderson is slashing .293/.303/.613 with a .380 wOBA and a 146 wRC+. (AP Photo/Julio Cortez)

The Baltimore Orioles are in a tight race to win the AL East, and luckily, some of their best youngsters are playing excellent baseball right now, including Gunnar Henderson. In September, Henderson is slashing .293/.303/.613 with a .380 wOBA and a 146 wRC+. 

Henderson also has five home runs, a .320 ISO, and has increased his Barrel% to 13.3%. While he is striking out at a high clip, Henderson ranks in the league’s top half in BB% and Chase%. He is also ranked in the top 30% of the league in xwOBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, HardHit%, and Barrel%. 

Tonight, he has a matchup against Justin Verlander and an Astros bullpen, which has struggled over the last few weeks. Over the last 14 days, the Astros’ pen has a 1.70 HR/9 and a 10.4% Barrel%. Since his return to the Astros, Verlander has made eight starts and has a 3.86 ERA, and he has seen a slight uptick in his strikeout rate. 

However, Verlander is giving up more hard contact than ever this season, and those numbers have only gone up since being traded back to Houston. The good swing-and-miss stuff from Verlander will be challenging, but Henderson has crushed right-handed pitching this season and should be in an excellent spot to hit another one out tonight. 

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Julio Rodriguez

There is no hotter player in baseball than Julio Rodriguez right now. Since August, Rodriguez has a slash of .375/.412/.688 with a .456 wOBA and a 201 wRC+. While those numbers have taken a slight dip this month, he still is crushing the ball, as he has 13 home runs in his last 39 games. 

This season started slowly for Rodriguez and the Mariners, but they now find themselves in a good spot to clinch a playoff berth. For the season, Rodriguez slashes .287/.342/.500 with a 133 wRC+ and 30 home runs. 

Rodriguez also ranks in the top 25% of the league in xwOBA, xBA, xSLG, average exit velocity, HardHit%, and Barrel%. While his high strikeout rate and low walk numbers are concerning from a game-to-game standpoint, Rodriguez has been one of the best hitters in baseball since his debut last season. 

Although Seattle will be in Oakland tonight, which is not a great place to hit home runs, Rodriguez will face off against a lefty who gives up a ton of power in JP Sears. Through 29 starts, Sears has an 11.4% Barrel% and has given up 31 home runs in 157.2 IP. 

Sears actually does a solid job at limiting hard contact to right-handed hitters, but Rodriguez draws a lot of hard contact against lefties, and he is in a great position to hit another home run tonight. 

MLB Home Run Prop Parlay Odds

You can parlay our MLB home run prop bets to maximize your winnings for tonight’s action. At FanDuel, our home run picks parlayed would give you +2100 odds at the time of this publication, which means a $100 bettor would win $2,100 if both home run props cash tonight. 

Keep in mind that the odds are so high for a reason. It is hard to pick a single home run prop, let alone a two-leg parlay. But our home run picks have been perfect at times this season, and if our home run picks for tonight hit, you will walk away with a nice chunk of change.

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Check out each sportsbook’s bonus offers before placing your MLB home run prop bets. Each sportsbook you sign up with opens you up to hundreds of dollars in bonus bets, which can help build your bankroll for a long MLB season. 

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About the Author
DJ Corrigan

DJ Corrigan

Writer
DJ Corrigan is a sports betting writer for Gaming Today and has been covering the world of wagering since his days at Ohio State University. Corrigan's love of betting the Over and chasing the hungry dogs has led him to a career crunching numbers with an emphasis on NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, and MLB betting.

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