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Kansas City Royals at Miami Marlins

Over/Under: 8.5

First pitch: 10:10 a.m. PT

Probable pitchers: Mike Montgomery (3-7, 4.42 ERA) vs. Sandy Alcantara (4-12, 4.26 ERA)

As you should know by now if you’re a regular reader, Alcantara is something else when he’s working during the daytime.

Of course, the first-time All-Star has been solid in his first full big-league campaign, but he’s just been strikingly consistent in his afternoon assignments. In his nine career starts during early hours, Alcantara has a 2.29 ERA for his marvelous efforts.

Throw in the fact that, not only is his opponent a lighter-hitting team than most (with a pitcher’s spot in the lineup today, too), but he’s also running very good right now. Alcantara has pitched the Marlins into the seventh inning or deeper in each of his last five outings (easily the longest-such streak of his young career), amassing a 2.34 ERA within this span.

Montgomery, another Zylbert Guy, has also been cruising as of late, settling into his newfound role as a starter again ever since being traded to Kansas City in July. The left-hander yielded two earned runs or fewer in five of his last six starts and overall, he owns a respectable 3.69 ERA in his nine starts with the Royals, this despite a rocky new beginning with the club.

Just like I wrote about yesterday, it’s not common for an over/under at Marlins Park to be this high, so make sure you get this bet in right away. Play: UNDER 8.5 (-120)

Yesterday’s Result: Royals-Marlins Under 8.5 (“loss”)

Zylbert’s 2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 77-71-10, -2.90 units

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

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