MLB Over/Under Bet: On a Jurado vs. Detwiler total

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Texas Rangers at Chicago White Sox

Over/Under: 10.5

First pitch: 5:10 p.m. PT

Probable pitchers: Ariel Jurado (6-9, 5.38 ERA) vs. Ross Detwiler (1-3, 6.10 ERA)

Ironically, despite my past analysis on how the Rangers aren’t nearly as effective offensively at the plate on the road compared to hitter-friendly Arlington, I’m on a rare over here nonetheless.

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Besides, the Rangers look like they can hit anywhere right now based on their most recent series, a four-game set with the Angels in which Texas took a trio of walk-off victories over the last three nights.

Most importantly, they’re getting a starter this evening, Detwiler, who really isn’t a major league-quality starter at this juncture in his career. Opponents have manufactured an explosive .320/.371/.616 slash line off the 33-year-old left-hander this season, and even if you take away Detwiler’s even-worse work in relief, he still possesses a 5.28 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in six starts.

Jurado hasn’t looked too hot himself, carrying a 5.38 ERA and 1.51 WHIP into this contest. There’s been almost no consistency from the righty in his first full major league season and it won’t get any easier in Chicago. The White Sox have been heating up at the plate, averaging six runs per game over their last eight.

Making matters more difficult for Jurado, he’ll have to contend with the return of budding star Yoan Moncada, who is actually coming off a very successful rehab stint. Meanwhile, Tim Anderson has been a big reason for the team’s offensive surge since returning from a high ankle sprain about a month ago, batting 35-for-86 (.407) in August. Play: OVER 10.5 (-115)

Yesterday’s Result: Padres-Reds Under 8.5 (WIN)

Zylbert’s 2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 70-61-10, +1.45 units

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

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