MLB Over/Under Bet: Ray challenges Mad Bum in San Francisco

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Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants

Over/Under: 7/7.5

First pitch: 1:05 p.m. PT

Probable pitchers: Robbie Ray (5-5, 3.90 ERA) vs. Madison Bumgarner (4-7, 4.21 ERA)

Not going anywhere after last night’s ugly “push” (or deserved win, if you got it at 7.5; I was not so fortunate), as I anticipate another low-scoring affair when these two National League West division rivals wrap up their four-game set.

And it’s a similar recipe to last night’s action: exploiting a slumping-all-year-long Giants offense when matched up with a quality pitcher. It’s an even better spot when San Francisco is at home. As it is, they rank near or at the bottom in all major hitting categories and they perform considerably worse in Oracle Park.

Interestingly, the two former All-Star left-handers will be going at it for the first time despite lengthy tenures with their respective clubs and numerous assignments opposite today’s opponent.

In 33 career starts (and one relief appearance) against the Diamondbacks, Bumgarner owns a desirable 2.58 ERA and 1.12 WHIP to go with 199 K’s in 216 innings. Ray, meanwhile, has faced the Giants 13 times, logging a 5-1 record alongside a pretty 3.01 ERA in those outings. Pitching against them in San Francisco, Ray has been even stingier, being 4-1 in six starts with a 2.34 ERA and 12.46 K/9.

For what it’s worth, Mad Bum also seemingly prefers to pitch within the pitching-friendly confines of Oracle Park. His lifetime ERA at home (2.77) is more than a half-run lower than it is on the road (3.42), and that tendency has taken into effect this season (3.88 ERA at home compared to a 4.60 ERA away).

Being a Sunday afternoon contest following a night game, look for some regulars to be sitting, which can always be helpful. Just like yesterday, though, wait to see if the total ticks up to 7.5 before first pitch. Follow me on Twitter to see when I settle on this action. Play: UNDER 7/7.5

Yesterday’s Result: Diamondbacks-Giants Under 7 (“Push”)

Zylbert’s 2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 48-38-7, +5.5 units

*Each bet grades as if it were to win 1 unit

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