MLB Over/Under Bet: Toussaint Faces Bauer in The Land

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Atlanta Braves at Cleveland Indians (Game 2)

Over/Under: 7.5

First pitch: TBD (follows first game)

Probable pitchers: Touki Toussaint (1-0, 0.00 ERA) vs. Trevor Bauer (2-1, 2.05 ERA)

Who better than Bauer right now to trust for an under? There may be no other hurler that exudes more comfort in leaning on for such wagers, as the former third overall draft pick has been sustaining his masterful work from a year ago in 2019.

Bauer has held three of his four opponents to one run or fewer while pitching at least into the seventh inning. If not for a fluke injury late last season, the eight-year veteran may have collected a Cy Young. He’s clearly on track to compete for this season’s award.

He’ll face a fellow first round draft pick — albeit one years younger — in Toussaint, who will be making his first start of the campaign. It’s actually just his sixth career major league assignment, but don’t let that inexperience fool you. Toussaint has tremendous potential and that was on full display in his lone outing this year against the Mets when he strung together six impressive innings in relief, striking out seven compared to only two walks and allowing just an unearned run.

Command is the biggest issue with Toussaint but it looks like that has significantly improved from last year when he got his first taste of the big leagues.

Typically I don’t really pursue over/unders in doubleheaders, as there could be more variables involved in either game that you may not know until right before first pitch. But this pitching matchup is very capable of handling what I envision will be downgraded lineups (which hopefully doesn’t include Francisco Lindor) in the nightcap, and thus, I have action on this under bet. 

I suggest you wait like I am to see if the total goes up to 8. Even if it doesn’t, I’m still taking it. Play: UNDER 7.5/8

Yesterday’s Result: Giants-Pirates Under 7.5 (WIN)

Zylbert’s 2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 13-10, +1.75 units

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

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