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Cincinnati Reds at Chicago Cubs

Over/Under: 8

First pitch: 5:05 p.m. PT


Probable pitchers: Sonny Gray (10-7, 2.80 ERA) vs. Yu Darvish (6-6, 3.97 ERA)

In the under we had on Saturday, I detailed how Jack Flaherty has been the hottest pitcher in all of baseball since the All-Star break. With a stellar 1.05 ERA, 0.79 WHIP and .157 batting average against in his 12 starts following the Midsummer Classic, it’s hard to argue that Flaherty isn’t.

Well, two of the select few pitchers that come close to the St. Louis Cardinals right-hander — in terms of second-half dominance — will be colliding this evening on a nationally-televised ESPN broadcast. And they’ve both shown no signs at all of slowing down.

Check out what these two fellow National League Central Division starters have done post-break. First, there’s Gray, who has etched together a beautiful 1.84 ERA while holding opponents to a real stingy .163 BAA in 12 starts, both marks ranking him third in the majors during this span. His 0.97 WHIP, meanwhile, is ninth-best.

He’s also getting an opponent that not only has he had success against, but also one that’s considerably wounded. Gray’s faced the Cubs four times this year, going 2-1 with a desirable 2.70 ERA and 0.77 WHIP. Most impressive is that he’s held Chicago hitters to a minuscule .157 batting average. This time around, he won’t have to worry about Anthony Rizzo (ankle) or Javier Baez (thumb).

Darvish has been just as steaming, something I repeatedly called upon throughout the first half. There’s no question I expect him to keep rolling during this playoff push, and with a 2.44 ERA (ninth-lowest), 0.78 WHIP (third-lowest) and .191 BAA (sixth-lowest), it’s clear that we’re getting peak Darvish now. Additionally, he’s punching out a remarkable 15.5 K/BB, which is tops in all of baseball in the second half.

Helping matters further, those notorious Wrigley Field winds are slated to be blowing in. Don’t be surprised to see a half-run movement on the over/under, so make sure you get this one in right away. Play: UNDER 8 (-110)

Yesterday’s Result: Orioles-Tigers Under 9 (WIN)

2019 MLB Over/Under Betting Record*: 84-73-10, +1.6 units

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit

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