Odds to Make MLB Playoffs: Each Team’s Postseason Chances

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We are in the final few months of the baseball season, and each team’s odds to make the MLB Playoffs have shifted as the season has progressed. Odds from the betting market can help us decipher which teams have the best chances of making the postseason as we near the end of the 2022 season.

Teams’ chances to make the playoffs this season have increased by default with the expansion of the playoff field. It is now a 12-team field, up from the previous 10. This means the grind of the 162-game season results in 40% of the teams advancing to the postseason.

Odds to Make MLB Postseason

Here’s a look at MLB teams’ odds to make the playoffs at the All-Star Break from DraftKings, with the implied probability listed alongside the prices.

TeamPlayoff OddsImplied Probability
ATL BravesYES -20000 NO +250099.5
TOR Blue JaysYES -525 NO +39084
SEA MarinersYES -525 NO +39084
SD PadresYES -500 NO +40083.33
STL CardinalsYES -370 NO +28578.72
PHI PhilliesYES -330 NO +26576.74
CLE GuardianYES -170 NO +14062.96
CHI White SoxYES -150 NO +12560
MIL BrewersYES -145 NO +12059.18
TB RaysYES -125 NO +10555.56
MIN TwinsYES +145 NO -17540.82
BOS Red SoxYES +475 NO -65017.39
BAL OriolesYES +475 NO -65017.39
SF GiantsYES +750 NO -110011.76

Bet on a Team to Make MLB Playoffs: Get $50 Free Bet + $1,000 Bonus at DraftKings

All six division winners earn playoff berths, but they don’t automatically get a first-round bye. Rather, the division winners with the two best records from each league receive byes, with the remaining division winner and three wild cards meeting in best-of-three wild-card series. In the wild-card round, the higher seed hosts all three games. It doesn’t exactly seem fair, but we can table complaining about it for another three months.

What do futures odds say about a team’s chances to make the playoffs? DraftKings has provided the numbers, and we consulted our odds calculator to convert the prices into probabilities. The true probabilities are slightly less than the implied probabilities because of the house edge bookmakers build into their numbers.

Some teams are no longer available in this market, either because their playoff chances are virtually solidified (Yankees, Astros, Mets, Dodgers), or they’re too far back to have a realistic shot at advancing.

MLB Divisional Odds

Prior to the season, the two divisions with the tightest projected races were the American League East and the National League West. The Dodgers and Astros have solidified themselves as the owners of the National League West and American League West, respectively, so much so that the odds are no longer available for those two divisions. 

The AL Central, meanwhile, is a virtual coin flip, while the Mets and Braves battle for the NL East crown.

Here’s a breakdown of the odds to win each division:

Odds to Win AL East

NYY -3500
TOR +2500
TB +8000
BAL +40000
BOS +80000

Odds to Win AL Central

MIN +110
CWS +125
CLE +450
DET +50000
KC +90000

Odds to Win NL East

NYM -550
ATL +425
PHI +15000
MIA +100000
WAS +100000

Odds to Win NL Central

MIL -210
STL +150
PIT +60000
CIN +80000
CHI  +80000

More MLB betting: DraftKings bookmaker talks trends | World Series odds | Daily lines

About the Author
Mariah Janos

Mariah Janos

Writer & Contributor
Mariah is a Boston sports fanatic currently living in South Florida. She has worked in many parts of the country as a sports reporter, including hosting sports betting shows, creating how-to videos for beginning bettors, and working the sidelines of various events.

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