The MLB schedule is far from full on Thursday, but there are still multiple entertaining contests on the calendar tonight. There is also plenty of value on the MLB strikeout props market for today’s action as well.
We found a few of the best options available and shared them below. From props to the playoff race, the games on the calendar tonight are exciting for multiple reasons, so don’t miss out on the action.
Today’s Betting Lines
The game lines make great additions to parlay wagers, so check out the odds for the games we pulled MLB strikeout props from today below. You can check out the lines from the top sports betting apps for all of tonight’s games on our MLB odds page.
Also, the sportsbooks are upping the ante with the sweet spot in professional sports quickly approaching, so be sure to check out the best sports betting promos on the market as well before the current offers change.
MLB Strikeout Props (9/7/23)
Here are our best MLB strikeout props for Thursday, Sept. 7.
Carlos Rodon – Under Strikeouts
The Yankees are on a five-game winning streak, and Carlos Rodon is responsible for one of those wins. However, he has only tossed six or more strikeouts twice in nine starts in 2023, and one of those games were against the Rockies (third worst in MLB).
Tonight, he will take the mound against Detroit, looking to help the Yankees complete their second consecutive sweep and keep their very narrow playoff window open. The Tigers have surrendered the third most strikeouts in the league over the last 30 games, but they have also been hitting well above average in that time span.
The Tigers’ season batting average is next to last at .235, but over the last 30 games, they are hitting .251. Rodon’s current ERA is 5.70, and it was a whopping 6.23 in August. Other pitchers have been able to hit this mark against Detroit, but six may be too much for Rodon given his struggles since returning from his prolonged absence due to injury. Also, when it comes to strikeouts, Rodon is relying on just one pitch.
The four-seamer is his primary pitch, and it draws a chase percentage and strike percentage above league average. His secondary pitch is the curveball, and it draws a chase and strike percentage below league average, although batters aren’t getting on base at a high clip against it.
He uses both of them 90 plus percent of the time, which means his four-seamer is his strikeout pitch given the statistics. The Tigers have 12 batters with more than 150 plate appearances this season, and six of them hit the four-seamer below .250 and three of them aren’t likely to start tonight.
That doesn’t give Rodon much leverage in this matchup.
Max Fried – Over Strikeouts
Max Fried is taking the mound for the Braves tonight, who have now dropped back-to-back games to the Cardinals and are looking to avoid a sweep. Fried has tossed six or more Ks in six of his last eight outings, including the last three consecutive. In his last start, he tossed a season-high 10 strikeouts against the Dodgers in a 6-3 win.
Meanwhile, the Cardinals have surrendered double-digit strikeouts totals in nine of their last 12 games. Additionally, Fried has faced six of the Cardinals batters before for a total of 50 plate appearances, including Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt, who he is holding to .200 or lower. In the 50 at bats against the Cardinals’ hitters he faced before, he tossed 12 Ks, which is a strikeout average of 24% — three points above league average this year.
Another reason we like Fried to go Over his listed total is his pitching versatility. He has four pitches in his arsenal to throw at the Cardinals’ bats – four-seamer (35%), curveball (22%), changeup (17%), and the slider (15%). The Cardinals have 12 batters with a minimum of 150 plate appearances this season, and nine of them hit the curveball and slider below .250 and six of them hit the changeup below .250.
That sets Fried up well to go Over his listed total on this line.
Braxton Garrett – Over Strikeouts
In six starts in August, the Marlins’ star Braxton Garrett pitched less than five Ks four times. However, three of those contests were against teams that are top three in avoiding strikeouts. One of the games in August where he did top five or more Ks was against the Dodgers, for whom he compiled six strikeouts against on 81 pitches.
Tonight, he is up against the Dodgers again, who have dropped two straight to the Marlins and surrendered double-digit strikeouts in both contests so far. The Dodgers have now surrendered double-digit strikeout totals in five of their last 10 games – 63 total in their last six games.
Five Ks can be a high mark against a high-powered offense like what Los Angeles has, but Garrett is another pitcher with a lot of tools in his utility belt. His top three pitches – sinker (31%), slider (26%), and cutter (18%) – each draw a strike percentage above league average. His slider and cutter each also draw a chase percentage above league average.
The Dodgers have 15 hitters with a minimum of 150 plate appearances, and 10 of them struggle with the slider and seven of them struggle with the sinker. That gives Garrett two outstanding options to cover his line.
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