Today, we seek maximum value with our MLB strikeout prop selections. Multiple of our picks are on a roll and have favorable betting lines to go Over their listed totals tonight. Check out our best MLB strikeout props picks for Wednesday, Aug. 2.
Today’s Betting Lines
Here are the odds on FanDuel Sportsbook on the same we offer strikeout props for. Always check out the betting lines from the other top sports betting apps on our MLB odds page to ensure you’re getting the most bang for your buck. Once you find a line you like, review the best MLB sports betting promos to get in on the action with some house money.
|Sat (9/23) @ 4:05pm ET||Mets||+4.5 -161||+1900||o10.5 +115|
|Phillies||-4.5 +125||-10000||u10.5 -149|
|Sat (9/23) @ 7:05pm ET||Mariners||+1.5 -189||+105||o8.5 -110|
|Rangers||-1.5 +155||-125||u8.5 -110|
|Sat (9/23) @ 8:40pm ET||Cardinals||+1.5 -135||+150||u8.5 -115|
|Padres||-1.5 +110||-185||o8.5 -105|
MLB Strikeout Props (8/2/23)
Here are our best MLB strikeout props for Wednesday.
Joe Musgrove Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+126 on FanDuel)
Joe Musgrove registered at least seven strikeouts in three of his five July starts for the Padres. His lowest strikeout total for the month was five, and that came against the Texas Rangers, so as of late, he has hovered right around his listed total for tonight. He is up against the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday, who are the sixth-worst in the league in strikeouts.
As a team, the Rockies have a chase percentage three percentage points above league average. Their lack of discipline at the plate is going to be especially challenging for them against Musgrove, as he has about every pitch in his arsenal. He uses the four-seamer, curveball, cutter, slider, and changeup at clips of 25%, 24%, 20%, 15%, and 11% respectively. He is also drawing a chase percentage well above league average.
He has faced seven of the Rockies’ batters throughout his career for a total of 41 plate appearances, and he tossed 16 strikeouts in those matchups. He is also allowing a slash line of only .195, .267, .681.
Logan Gilbert Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+122 on FanDuel)
Logan Gilbert is having a solid season for the Mariners despite their 2023 campaign being a letdown to this point. However, he has only tossed six or more strikeouts in three of his last 10 trips to the mound. Tonight, he is up against Boston – one of the best in the league at avoiding strikeouts. They are ninth best in the category with only 875 on the season.
The Red Sox’s lineup has the fourth-best team batting average, a chase percentage below league average, and a chase contact percentage well above league average. Additionally, the Red Sox have allowed six or more strikeouts to only three pitchers in their last 10 games – Max Scherzer, Spencer Strider, and George Kirby.
The final reason we’re leaning Gilbert to go Under his strikeout total Wednesday night is that he uses the four-seamer 42% of the time and puts it in the zone 56% of the time. The cherry on top is that batters are hitting his fastball at a .295 average. That won’t do him any favors on the mound tonight.
Zack Wheeler Over 6.5 (-152 on Caesars)
Zack Wheeler is coming off the best month of his season in July. He registered monthly season lows in hits allowed, earned runs, and pitches thrown, and he came within two of tying his highest strikeout total in a month this year. The Phillies righty pitched at least seven strikeouts in four of his five starts in July, including an 11-strikeout performance against the Pirates in his last start of the month.
Miami is one of the better teams at avoiding strikeouts, but Wheeler has a few things going in his favor. The first is that the Marlins will chase, posting a team chase percentage four percentage points above league average. Wheeler uses the slider and curveball pretty regularly, and eight of the Marlins’ 13 batters with more than 100 plate appearances this season hit breaking balls at a clip below .250. His usage of breaking ball pitches should help keep the Marlins off balance enough for Wheeler’s fastball, which the Marlins are better at hitting.