Back in November, the Celtics were priced at +8000 odds at FanDuel Sportsbook to become NBA world champions. Up 2-1 against the Warriors in the NBA Finals, they’re now -230 to win just two more games.
Game 4 is up next for the league’s last two teams standing, and as both squads race up and down the hardwood in a quest for four Finals wins, bettors can place bets on player props and same game parlays at top sportsbooks.
The Warriors are in a load of trouble as they enter the TD Garden on Friday, as two of the next three meetings are in front of a hostile Boston crowd.
Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics Game 4 Odds
Despite losing by 16 points in Game 3 and Curry dealing with an unspecified leg injury – although he said he’ll play Friday night – Game 4’s betting lines haven’t budged much over the past two days.
The spread still hovers between 3.5 and 4 points. Golden State gets underdog odds yet again, this time in the +140 to +145 range on the moneyline. Those bleeding green can lay the home team for -165 at DraftKings.
Game 4 Player Props
Klay Thompson ‘Over’ 20.5 Points (-110, DraftKings)
Normally, I would suggest fading Thompson ‘over’ offensive props, unless it’s a Game 6. However, there are a lot of narratives that might drive him to play better in Game 4.
First off, Curry’s health might emerge as a problem mid-game – if it isn’t already – which would consequently increase Thompson’s urgency to shoot the ball. He might not be shooting efficiently, but he figures to be shooting enough to amass 21-plus points.
Also, after criticizing Celtics fans for their rudeness during Game 3, expect Thompson to play with an edge. He might be able to use that frustration to stir up a vengeful performance.
Klay on the Boston crowd: “We’ve played in front of rude people before, dropping F bombs with children in the crowd. Real classy, good job Boston.” pic.twitter.com/X91akijmEE
— TheWarriorsTalk (@TheWarriorsTalk) June 9, 2022
Jaylen Brown ‘Over’ 0.5 Blocks (+175, BetMGM)
Jaylen Brown went from averaging 0.3 blocks per game in the regular season to 0.5 in the playoffs. That uptick may seem minuscule, but it has also been profitable in over/under prop betting.
The Celtics wing has recorded a block in two of three games in the series, as well as recording one-plus blocks nine times in 21 playoff games. When a bet’s rate of occurrence (42.85%) is higher than its implied probability (36.36%), that’s usually a good indication of a quality bet.
Kevon Looney ‘Over’ 7.5 Rebounds (-125, DraftKings)
Golden State was embarrassingly killed on the glass in Game 3, particularly during one possession when they allowed three offensive rebounds in a row. In total, the Warriors lost the rebounding battle 47-31, and even worse, 15-6 on the offensive glass.
Looney played just 17 minutes in Game 3, but grabbed an efficient seven boards. Obviously, his presence on the floor causes some deficiency in terms of spacing and perimeter shooting, but there are plenty of other shooters on the team that are either cooking from downtown or streaky enough where they could pop off at any given moment.
The big man has averaged 10.9 rebounds in 26.5 minutes over his last nine outings. He doesn’t have to play 30-plus minutes to have net value, but if Game 3 is any indication, the Warriors need him in the game and near the paint.
Warriors ML, Steph Curry ‘Under’ 0.5 Blocks, Marcus Smart ‘Under’ 0.5 Blocks (+305, DraftKings)
What separates Golden State from the rest of the NBA is its ability to rebound after a loss. The Warriors haven’t lost back-to-back games since late March, and given the position that they’re in, Game 4 is a virtual must-win.
Curry has never been a leaper, as shown with his zero blocks in the entire series. With a leg injury that could very well be worse than he has us believing, he may be tentative when challenging shots.
Similar to Curry, Marcus Smart isn’t the tallest guy on the court, and therefore, doesn’t get high enough to deflect shots. That’s largely the reason why he has zero of them over his last seven contests.