Game 5 of the NBA Finals tips off Monday evening with the Warriors and Celtics locked two games to two, and bettors will find a plethora of player props and same game parlays at the industry’s top sportsbooks.
Oddsmakers at the Westgate SuperBook posted Warriors -130 to win the series following their Game 4 victory in Boston. When these teams were tied 1-1 headed to Boston, the odds were -110 apiece. Given the updated NBA Finals prices, let’s operate under the assumption the Warriors are in the driver’s seat.
Golden State has also been bet up from the SuperBook’s opening Game 5 point spread of -3.
2022 NBA Finals @SuperBookSports
Monday, June 13, 2022
6:00 pm pacific
Boston Celtics 212
Golden State Warriors -3
Boston Celtics +110
Golden State Warriors -130
— Jeff Sherman (@golfodds) June 11, 2022
NBA Finals Game 5 Odds
NBA Finals Game 5 Props
Klay Thompson Over 19.5 Points (-105, DraftKings)
Thompson has been up and down throughout the postseason. He’s mixed in some vintage performances — scoring 30-plus on three occasions — with some meek efforts. He’s yet to deliver a signature game during the Finals, but he’s showing signs of an explosion. He’s 7 for 17 in each of his last two games, and while the efficiency isn’t notable, it’s the volume that stands out. He’s also 9 for 23 from beyond the arc over those two games. It’s not just about the numbers here, though. Thompson made multiple big shots in the fourth quarter of Game 4, which should provide him confidence to carry into Game 5. If he’s firing with swagger, his teammates will find him and get out of his way. A 20-point contribution is very much in play as Steph Curry and Thompson put the team on their backs.
Andrew Wiggins Over 7.5 Rebounds (+114, FanDuel)
Golden State was dominated on the glass in their Game 3 loss, necessitating an adjustment. Multiple pundits wondered if rookie Jonathan Kuminga would be inserted into the rotation, but head coach Steve Kerr resisted significant personnel changes. Instead, it appears as if it was simply a change in how they attacked the glass. Wiggins was central to the Dubs’ dominant Game 4 rebounding, pulling down 16 boards. It’s going to require another “gang rebounding” effort to keep the Celtics at bay in this department. Wiggins has collected at least eight rebounds nine times this postseason, and he’ll have a good shot to make Monday number 10. Bettors can also find “over” 6.5 rebounds at DraftKings if they lay -140.
Klay Thompson & Jaylen Brown 20+ Points (+150, DraftKings)
We discussed Thompson and what elevated confidence could mean for him in Game 5. Brown’s number is what really stands out here, though. Brown has scored at least 20 points in six of his last seven games and has averaged over 20 points in each postseason series up to this point. The Celtics don’t stand a chance Monday if Brown doesn’t show up, so bettors should expect him to continue posting high usage rates and a high volume of shot attempts. His point total for prop bets has most frequently settled in around 23.5 in recent games, so there’s reason to be bullish on this combination prop from DraftKings.
Same-Game Parlay (+481, FanDuel)
Warriors Moneyline, Klay Thompson Over 3.5 Three Pointers Made, Jaylen Brown Over 6.5 Rebounds
Bet $100 to win $481.11
Let’s begin with the Warriors winning the game outright with a -168 moneyline price. Bettors who want to chase larger profits can replace the moneyline with Warriors -4 to lengthen their parlay price to +583. With the Warriors now favored to win the series, we’re banking on them taking Game 5 and rolling back to Boston with a 3-2 series lead.
Should they prevail in Game 5, Thompson will have played a significant role. In spite of his intermittent struggles, Thompson’s finish to Game 4 offers promise that he can continue to serve as a frequent long-range threat. He’s gone ‘over’ 3.5 three-pointers in each of the last two games and appears primed to make it a third in a row.
Finally, we’re featuring Brown again, focusing on his rebounds. The Celtics and Warriors traded dominant performances on the glass in Games 3 and 4, with the Dubs outpacing the Celtics 55 to 42 in Game 4. Considering the Warriors’ relatively small roster, their best bet for another quality rebounding performance will be to lean on one another chipping in. The Celtics, who own more size and athleticism, should be able to neutralize the Warriors on the glass with their own team effort. That’ll include Brown, who has gone ‘over’ 6.5 boards in two of four games in the series thus far.