NBA Finals MVP Odds: Nikola Jokic Remains the Heavy Favorite for Nuggets vs. Heat

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The Miami Heat stole Game 2 of the NBA Finals and are tied with the Denver Nuggets with the series heading to South Beach. With Miami stealing home-court advantage, we could be in for a very entertaining end to the NBA Finals. This means we should get some fantastic individual performances, and for bettors, we will keep taking updated looks at the odds of winning NBA Finals MVP.

Denver easily took Game 1 after blitzing Miami early in the first quarter and almost did the same in Game 2. However, Miami was able to do what it has done best through the playoffs and make a big second-half comeback to even the series.

The Finals MVP odds will change with every game, so make sure you are comfortable with the current odds before placing your NBA Finals MVP bet. There is a lot of value on the board right now, and with the series still in its early stages, you can find a real attractive price on the odds of winning NBA Finals MVP.

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Odds To Win 2023 NBA Finals MVP

Through two games, the NBA Finals is tied at 1-1, with the series heading back to Miami. The Heat may have the momentum, but oddsmakers still expect the Nuggets to win the series, and as a result, they have the outright leader in NBA Finals MVP odds.

If you want to place a bet on the NBA Finals MVP odds, we have included the top-10 odds from DraftKings Sportsbook to win Finals MVP.

PlayerTeamOdds
Nikola JokicDenver Nuggets-265
Jimmy ButlerMiami Heat+475
Bam AdebayoMiami Heat+550
Jamal MurrayDenver Nuggets+4000
Gabe VincentMiami Heat+4000
Max StrusMiami Heat+15000
Michael Porter Jr.Denver Nuggets+35000
Caleb MartinMiami Heat+50000
Tyler HerroMiami Heat+50000
Aaron GordonDenver Nuggets+50000

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Betting Favorites To Win 2023 NBA Finals MVP

Nuggets' Nikola Jokic, Lakers' Anthony Davis
Nuggets’ Nikola Jokic (left) remains the favorite to win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP award. (Icon Sportswire)

Entering the NBA Finals, Nikola Jokic was a big favorite to win NBA Finals MVP. He is still the favorite to win Finals MVP (-265), but the Game 2 loss has shortened his odds.

Through two games, Jokic is averaging 34 points, 10.5 rebounds, and nine assists per game on 60% shooting from the field and 43% from deep. He is still a dominating force, but in Game 2, Miami let him take as many shots as he wanted, limiting his ability to be a facilitator. This caused Denver’s lethal offense to look out of whack, ultimately costing them the game.

Outside of Jokic, Jamal Murray and Michael Porter Jr. have the best odds on the Nuggets to win Finals MVP. However, they combined for 23 points on 9-of-23 shooting from the field in Game 2. As a result, both players have extremely long odds of winning the NBA Finals MVP.

For Miami, Jimmy Butler still has the best odds of winning Finals MVP on the Heat, but Bam Adebayo has been very good for Miami in the Finals, putting up 23.5 points and 11 rebounds per game. 

If the Heat are going to win this series, they will need its shooters to step up. This means if you have a good feeling about Miami pulling this out, betting on guys like Gabe Vincent (+4000), Max Strus (+15000), and Caleb Martin (+50000) could be very valuable right now. 

See the updated lines: NBA MVP odds

Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets (-265)

If Jokic putting up 41 points is the worst he will look in the NBA Finals, Denver may come out and hammer the Heat in Miami. Even with Miami’s Game 2 win, they only won by three, and the Nuggets had a chance to tie at the buzzer. 

Throughout the playoffs, Jokic is averaging a 30-point triple-double and shooting a blistering 47% from deep. He only registered four assists in the Game 2 loss, his lowest total in the postseason. We can expect the Nuggets to adjust to get Jokic’s incredible passing ability more involved. 

Jokic is the best player on the team and probably the best player on the planet. His scoring ability has been crucial all postseason, but getting his teammates involved is his best skill. According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Denver has a -275 series price, and if they are going to win their first NBA Finals in franchise history, they will need Jokic to continue scoring high totals and getting the rest of the team in the mix. 

Jimmy Butler, Miami Heat (+475)

It has been pretty evident that Butler is the most important player on the team, but he has not been as sharp over the last few games. Dating back to Game 4 of the ECF, Butler averages 21.5 points per game on only 38.9% shooting from the field. 

While he is shooting the three-ball much better in that period, he is not scoring as effectively as he did at the beginning of the playoffs. Part of this is not getting to the line as often, as Butler has taken only 6.5 free throw attempts since Game 4 against the Celtics. 

Still, Miami has gotten here by its incredible shooting run, and Butler’s passing ability has been a big part of that. Throughout the playoffs, Butler averages six assists per game, and in Miami’s 13 wins this postseason, he averages 6.5 per game. 

Butler has only shot five three throws in the Finals, so his scoring numbers have dipped. With this series turning back to Miami, expect Butler to be more aggressive, which should result in more free-throw attempts. If he continues to be solid on defense and dishing out assists every night, that scoring bump should be enough for him to lock up the Finals MVP should the Heat win the series. 

Bam Adebayo, Miami Heat (+550)

With the Nuggets’ struggles shooting the ball and Miami’s Game 2 victory, Adebayo’s odds of winning NBA Finals MVP have skyrocketed. He now has the third-best odds of winning Finals MVP, with the next closest behind him being Murray, who is currently 40/1 to win the award at DraftKings. 

While inconsistency has plagued Adebayo through the postseason, he has been very sharp in the Finals, averaging a 20-point double-double and shooting 53.8% from the field. Scoring 23.5 points per game on 20 shots is not overly effective, but his presence on both ends of the court has been massive for a Heat team that is not shooting the ball as well as they have. 

If Adebayo continues to put up big scoring and rebounding numbers, his odds of winning Finals MVP will continue to rise, especially if the Heat take care of homecourt. 

Previous NBA Finals MVP Odds

Betting on the NBA Finals MVP odds has been one of the more popular forms of NBA postseason wagering, and with the talent level in the NBA getting remarkably better by the year, the odds are even tighter than before. This means we may see a name we would not expect to take home the NBA Finals MVP, and if that happens, it will be a big payday for those who take the chance.

Below, we have included the odds heading into the NBA Finals from the previous 20 winners of the NBA Finals MVP via Sports Odds History.

YearPlayerOdds
2022Steph Curry-110
2021Giannis Antetokounmpo+275
2020LeBron James-160
2019Kawhi Leonard+245
2018Kevin Durant-135
2017Kevin Durant+190
2016LeBron James+225
2015Andre Iguodala+12500
2014Kawhi Leonard+1800
2013LeBron James-250
2012LeBron James+130
2011Dirk Nowitzki+160
2010Kobe Bryant-182
2009Kobe Bryant-300
2008Paul Pierce+500
2007Tony Parker+500
2006Dwyane Wade+200
2005Tim Duncan+100
2004Chauncey Billups+1500
2003Tim Duncan-125

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Also check2023 NBA Finals odds

NBA Finals MVP Odds FAQs

Who is the betting favorite to win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP?

Nikola Jokic is a heavy favorite to win NBA Finals MVP (-265).

Can I bet on the odds to win NBA Finals MVP?

Yes! As long as you are in a legal sports betting state, you can bet on the odds to win the NBA Finals MVP.

Where can I bet on the NBA Finals MVP odds?

Every mobile sportsbook will have its “awards” section for each sport. Simply log into the sportsbook of choice and navigate your way to the NBA’s awards tab to find the odds.

About the Author
DJ Corrigan

DJ Corrigan

Writer
DJ Corrigan is a sports betting writer for Gaming Today and has been covering the world of wagering since his days at Ohio State University. Corrigan's love of betting the Over and chasing the hungry dogs has led him to a career crunching numbers with an emphasis on NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL, and MLB betting.

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