NBA games get lines

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For the first time ever, the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook posted 100 Games of the Year for the upcoming NBA season. 

They’ve been doing the Games of the Year for NFL and College football games for the past two decades, but the NBA is a new twist in this era of nationwide sports betting where competition is forcing some books to raise the bar. In the case of the SuperBook, they’ve raised the bar to its highest point in the last decade and it’s great to see them still pushing the envelope.

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SuperBook vice president Jeff Sherman played it modest and said it wasn’t that big of a deal because they already had their ratings set. The picked the top 100 most interesting games, adjusted a home rating to the rating differential between each team in a game and there’s your spread. It’s more of a tedious process than difficult with 100 games and 200 sides. And of course, as the season goes on they’ll make adjustments on each team while adjusting these future numbers.

With so many vast changes on just about every roster, except the Nuggets, we should expect to see rapid rating changes early on, or at least more than past seasons.

Some of the notable games feature players returning to their former homes such as Nov. 27 games that have Kyrie Irving and the Nets getting +5 at Boston or Anthony Davis returning to New Orleans as 2-point favorites with the Lakers. On Dec. 22 it’s Paul George and the Clippers -4.5 at Oklahoma City. 

Sherman’s starting point with the ratings was the Clippers 1.5-point higher than the No. 2 Bucks.

SuperContest Update

SuperBook VP Jay Kornegay said they already had 1,658 entries into their world-famous pro football handicapping contest with a $1,500 entry requiring five selections a week against the spread. He said it’s 600 more than last season at this juncture, which was an all-time record. 

In fact, they’ve set a record for entries the past eight seasons. The Gold SuperConest that costs $5,000 to enter has 52 entries.

SuperBook expansion?

I asked Kornegay how they were doing with their goal of expanding into other states and he said they’ve had some serious inquiries but no timeline has been set. Apparently, some of the books quick on the draw from Europe to get into the U.S. market aren’t producing the type of numbers promised and the customer service has also been lagging. 

I can imagine the SuperBook mobile app dominating whatever other markets they got into because of their odds and most already knowing and respecting the SuperBook’s Las Vegas branding. They give the bettor a fair shake on the odds and those doing a comparison on futures and daily odds would see the massive disparity in value and bet accordingly.

I hope it happens soon for them, and also for those bettors in other states. 

Circa Sportsbook

I love all the stuff the gang at Circa sportsbook inside the Golden Gate is doing with low ­theoretic holds and fair splits on MLB games, but I saw a prop Monday that intrigued me. 

Click here to see Circa Sport’s 2019-20 NBA Basketball Odds

The Tigers started a four-game series at Houston on Monday with the Game 1 price having the Astros -420 behind Wade Miley and knowing Justin Verlander will pitch on Wednesday as a -520 favorite which they also offered an innovative run line of -3.5 runs at +107 odds. 

The series price was Astros -30000 with the Tigers getting +25000. But the most interesting prop was asking whether or not the Astros would sweep all four games. The No was the -160 favorite and the Yes was +140. 

Of course, you could get nearly the same effect by simply rolling the winnings over after Monday’s game to each of the next three games. But one-stop shopping and doing the math against the prop is more fun. 

By the way, the Astros swept a three-game series in Detroit earlier this season. Also, the Astros had lost five of six games coming into the series. Most of all, what the prop tells me is that I have to tell all my friends they’re missing out on all the Circa fun and creativity if they haven’t gotten a Circa sportsbook app.  

The Circa app can also be used to make selections for their high-end pro-football contest that costs $1,000 to enter and requires five selections a week against the spread. There a $1.5 million guaranteed and $1 million given to the winner. 

Through Monday, they already had 595 entries which means there is a $905,000 overlay. 

Eye on the Utes

I’m not going to suggest taking Utah to win the National Championship at 50-1 odds, but I would say that the Utes’ rating appears much lower than it should be and they should offer plenty of value on the spread and money-lines until the rating catches up, which may take four games. 

However, they’ve been elevated to 11-to-4 favorites to win the Pac-12 Championship just ahead of Washington and Oregon who are both 13-to-4.

The Utes bring back 14 starters from last season’s 9-5 squad which includes getting back a healthy Tyler Huntley at QB for his senior season. He’ll have his leading rusher Zack Moss back along with all of his top receivers. Their defense allowed only 19 ppg and 316 ypg last season and seven starters return. 

The SuperBook has Utah set at 9 season wins and the number has moved from over -130 up to -150. But I can’t envision more than two losses in their 12 regular-season games. They don’t play Oregon and their toughest road games are at USC, who they beat 41-28 last season, and at Washington on Nov. 2. 

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