The NBA Playoffs continue Wednesday night with a pair of conference semifinal Game 2 contests, as two teams aim to take a commanding 2-0 lead in their respective series, while their opponents try to steal a win on the road. Here’s a look at player props and same-game parlays to consider for your betting pleasure.
Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat Game 2 (MIA leads 1-0)
Tyler Herro was surely the hero in the Heat’s Game 1 victory, scoring 25 points in 29 minutes off the bench. Joel Embiid’s absence was felt, as the Sixers managed to score just 92 points with no other center stepping up. On the other end of the floor, Bam Adebayo took full advantage of Philly’s hole in the middle by scoring a highly-efficient 24 points (8-for-10 shooting) to go along with 12 rebounds.
Sixers Nation (+320 on the moneyline at DraftKings as of Wednesday morning) is missing its superstar big man again in Game 2 as it tries to avoid a 2-0 series deficit, while the Heat (priced between -405 and -425 on the ML) look to put on another dominant display in South Beach as an 8.5-point favorite tonight.
76ers vs. Heat Game 2 Player Props
Tobias Harris ‘Over’ 7.5 Rebounds (-130, DraftKings)
As long as Tobias Harris’ rebound over/under is less than 10, I would recommend backing the ‘over.’ He is averaging nine boards per game across both playoff series, with his fewest being a moderate six. With Embiid out, Harris will be forced to play inside, where there’s opportunity for more rebounds.
Tobias Harris ‘Yes’ Double-Double (+235, DraftKings)
If you’re looking for a higher risk, higher reward Tobias Harris rebound wager, then bank on Harris securing a double-double. He has four double-doubles in seven playoff games. The fact that you’d be getting better than 2-to-1 odds on a feat that has occurred more times than not makes this bet too good to pass up.
H2H Points: Tobias Harris ‘More Points’ vs. Tyler Herro (-145, DraftKings)
With more minutes come more scoring opportunities, and while Harris plays starter’s minutes, Herro comes off the bench. Harris has been playing a whopping 40.3 minutes per game in these playoffs, which he has turned into 19.1 points per game. As for Herro, his 28.5 minutes per game have resulted in just 14.8 points.
Harris also has a higher scoring floor than Herro, with his lowest-scoring outing being 11 points, compared to three for Herro.
With Embiid out at least one more game, Harris will take some of the shots Embiid leaves behind.
Phoenix Suns vs. Dallas Mavericks Game 2 (PHX leads 1-0)
Luka Doncic’s 45-point night in Game 1 was spoiled by a well-balanced Suns team that led the entire game. All five Phoenix starters reached double-digit scoring, and even Cam Johnson added a nice 17 points off the bench.
The Suns (priced between -250 and -255 on the moneyline Wednesday morning) are favored by 6 points against the Mavs (+205) in Game 2.
Suns vs. Mavs Game 2 Player Props
Deandre Ayton ‘Under’ 0.5 Steals (-155, DraftKings)
Deandre Ayton is a dynamic big man whose skill set allows him to influence the game in many ways, but ball-snatching isn’t one of them. He recorded one-plus steals in just two of his seven playoff games.
Forcing even just one steal as a big man is a daunting task, but doing so against Dallas is a whole other challenge. The Mavs are very good at protecting the ball. They gave up the second-fewest turnovers per game in the regular season. The odds that Ayton, who’s not known for pickpocketing ball handlers, will take the ball away from a team that prides itself on ball security are just too low.
Same-Game Parlays For Wednesday NBA Playoff Action
Sportsbooks love offering same-game parlays to bettors because the house edge typically increases in these multi-leg wagers. Bettors, therefore, should approach SGPs with caution. Sure, SGPs can be fun ways to wager, but don’t “invest” in them thinking the high potential returns provide an advantage against the book.
That said, if you’d like to throw a few dollars down on an SGP or two, look for correlated plays. For example, if you like the Sixers to bounce back in Game 2, combining a point spread or moneyline bet with one of our Tobias Harris recommendations makes sense.