Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks find themselves in a 3-1 hole after losing to Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat. Butler went loose for 39 points and 10 boards, while Young continued to struggle in this series, scoring nine points in Game 4. Miami is one win away from eliminating Atlanta from the playoffs and advancing to the conference semis. The Heat are between 6.5- and 7-point favorites in Game 5.
NBA · Tue (4/26) @ 7:11pm ET
|American Airlines Arena, Miami, Florida|
Hawks vs. Heat Game 5 Player Props (MIA leads 3-1)
Bam Adebayo ‘Under’ 16.5 Points (-110, DraftKings)
Adebayo has underperformed as a scorer throughout the entirety of the first round. He’s averaging just 10.5 points on fewer than eight shots per game in this series, after averaging 19.1 points on 13 shots per game during the regular season. He’s failed to go over 14 points in all four games this series.
Despite Adebayo’s mediocre offensive production, his team is currently riding a 3-1 series lead with the Game 5 at home, so there’s no reason for Heat coach Erik Spoelstra to get him more involved in the offensive game plan.
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game 5
Karl-Anthony Towns put up 33 points and 14 rebounds for the Minnesota Timberwolves in a one-point victory over the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 4. Memphis (-255) and Minnesota (+205) are each looking to take a 3-2 lead entering Game 5.
Timberwolves vs. Grizzlies Game 5 Player Props (Tied 2-2)
Ja Morant ‘Over’ 26.5 Points (-145, DraftKings)
We have seen two versions of Ja Morant in this series: Home Morant and Away Morant. Home Morant scored 32 and 23 points in Games 1 and 2, respectively, whereas Away Morant wet the bed with just 16 and 11 points in Games 3 and 4.
He knows what’s at stake with the series tied 2-2 heading back to Memphis. He has a great opportunity at home to help his team take a 3-2 series lead, and I don’t think he’ll shy away from it.
Desmond Bane ‘Under’ 3.5 Threes (-130, DraftKings)
Desmond Bane has been out of his mind shooting the three-ball in the series, knocking down 4.8 threes per game at a 48.7% clip. However, most of his makes and efficiency have come during the two road games.
He made four total threes out of 12 attempts (33.3%) in his two home games this series, three coming in Game 1. He made 15 threes in his two away games on 55.5% shooting. He has more three-point makes on the road than attempts at home in this playoffs.
This isn’t a new trend for Bane. He averaged over 2.5 three-pointers per game on 39.1% shooting at home during the regular season, compared to 3.4 three-pointers on 47.6% perimeter shooting on the road.
With the series back in Memphis for Game 5, I expect Bane to dial it down on the three-point attempts.
Pelicans vs. Suns Game 5
New Orleans Pelicans’ Jonas Valanciunas stepped up big time with 26 points and 15 rebounds in a Game 4 win against a Devin Booker-less Suns team. What was expected to be a one-sided affair has turned into a possible seven-game series. Phoenix (-265) is looking to right the wrong as they head back to their home court in Game 5 against New Orleans (+215).
Pelicans vs. Suns Game 5 Player Props (Tied 2-2)
Brandon Ingram ‘Over’ 26.5 Points (-125, DraftKings)
Brandon Ingram has taken advantage of Devin Booker’s absence in each of the last three games in this series. After scoring just 18 points in Game 1, Ingram has responded with three 30-plus scoring nights.
Ingram hasn’t shown any nerves in his first playoff series. He understands he has to be NOLA’s best player for his team to complete the series upset. I expect him to shoot at a high volume in Game 5, surely enough to hit 27-plus points and maybe even 30-plus again.