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Little value with favorites in tourney

The Big Show is here and if last week was any indication of what is ahead, it looks like the Nevada Sports books are in for a huge week, and the chalk players will be getting their debit and credit cards in action.

The dogs ruled last week with many winning outright, and most games going right down to the wire, such as No. 1 seed Kentucky really getting lucky in their win against Mississippi State.

But, there were many close calls. My advice is if you like the favorite just pass and look for some good plays taking the points. I look for a lot of upsets, but I hope that Ohio State is not one of them as I am sitting on a ticket at 60-1.

 I would love to see Kansas get upset somehow but I don’t see that happening, so I will take my chances and hope to get the Jay Hawk and Buckeye matchup in the great eight. I do believe the Buckeyes have the best player in the tournament with Evan Turner who can take a game over in Michael Jordan style could possibly take them to the promised land and at 60-1, I can just sit and watch but I could be doing some hedging if somehow they get to the final four.

Take this advice and take the points in most of these games and we will have a tally for you in next week’s column.

In the West, I look for No. 1 seed Syracuse to get upset along the way and in the East I see Kentucky getting upset by either Temple or West Virginia.

Duke, the No. 1 see in the South, is by far no cinch to get there with teams like a very dangerous Notre Dame who can really take the air out of the ball and helter-skelter Villanova. This tournament shapes up to be one of the most wide-open and exciting in a long time.

If you are a big college hoops fan this is the week for you as it seems every college team with a winning record will be in some kind of tournament, either the NIT or the CBI, so get to your favorite book and have some fun.

There are several interesting contests for the NCAA tournament: M resort will be offering Mayhem at the M which is a $10 card with no point spreads; all you have to do is pick the winners of all the opening round games on Thursday and Friday and for your sawbuck you can have a shot at winning $50k; how can you not take a shot.

Station Casinos will be offering their Last Man Standing contest which has a $25 entry fee and if you buy four entries you get a fifth one free; you could be that last man standing.

Back at the M you can play as many $10 cards as you want, so key on what looks to be some cinch winners and mix and match the others.

Johnny Avello, the head guy over at Wynn, will be offering his highly successful pick five contest: for a five dollar bill you pick the winner of all four divisions and the tournament winner and win $500 easy dollars. For five bucks you can do a lot of mix and matching and please toss in as many live dogs as possible.

There were some good horse races this past week with Rachel Alexandra getting upset at .05 cents on the dollar by Zardana, the stablemate of Zenyatta, who trainer John Shirreffs sent in as he must have thought he didn’t need to send in No. 1 to take care of Rachel. And now the much anticipated match between Zenyatta and Rachel for $5 million in the Apple Blossom is off and may never take place.

As for the monster Zenyatta, she exploded like a Sherman tank down the lane mowing her overmatched rivals over in what was another great performance.

In a Kentucky Derby prep Saturday, Sidney’s Candy took an easy lead in the San Felipe at Santa Anita and just did hold off the oncoming Interactif who ran a big time race.

In the Tampa Bay Derby it was Odysseus somehow winning the head bob over Schoolyard Dreams in a race that everyone would have bet their last dime that Schoolyard won the race including me.

The 3-2 chalk the Todd Pletcher trained, and highly regarded Super Saver another speed ball could not take them wire-to-wire finishing third. From my point of view the Derby is shaping up with a ton of early speed so we will be on the lookout for a 3yo with some big late kick and that could be Lookin At Lucky who got up to win by a neck in his first start of the year. His only drawback is that he will have only two preps before that first Saturday in May and that could speed him doom.

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