The betting public got hammered again at Nevada sportsbooks in Sunday’s Week 6 NFL action with the popular favorites going 3-9 against-the-spread with seven of the underdogs winning outright. For most books, it was their best day of the season.
“Incredible day,” said Caesars Palace sportsbook director Jeff Davis. “The Jets (+7, 24-22 vs. Cowboys) were great for us while the Cardinals (+3, 34-33 vs. Falcons) and Texans (+3.5, 31-24 at Kansas City) were quite good.”
A lot of the great decisions in Week 6 was a matter of the public believing in what they saw last and simply betting against those teams in parlays and teasers, such as the Jets and Dolphins not winning a game yet. In the case of the Dolphins, they had not even covered a spread yet in 2019.
“It was a great day,” said CG Technology sportsbook director Tony DiTomasso. “The Dolphins’ late comeback kind of set the day for us. It was really the only game I was sweating on the day.”
The Dolphins came in off a bye week averaging a 6-40 score through four losses, but after being down 17-3 they decided to shake things up by replacing starting QB Josh Rosen with back-up Ryan Fitzpatrick and he immediately produced some magic as the journeyman has done periodically throughout all his stops in eight different NFL cities. He engineered two late scoring drives and with momentum in their favor, Dolphins head coach Brian Flores rolled the dice with 6 seconds remaining to go for the two-point conversion to win. The magic was quickly over. The Redskins won, 17-16, and grabbed their first victory of the season, but didn’t get the cover after being bet from -3.5 to -6.
The 0-4 Jets, came into Week 6 with their starting QB Sam Darnold back after missing their last three games. But the perception was they would play poorly again, especially with the Cowboys coming in as 7-point favorites. Not many sided with the Jets.
“Our biggest win of the day was Jets beating the Cowboys, and most of the Cowboys action for us came over the weekend,” MGM Resorts sportsbook director Jeff Stoneback said of the Jets which paid out at +300 (Wynn) on the money line in their 24-22 win.
The Dolphins’ cover and Cowboys’ loss set the tone for the day and it only got better with each game, except for maybe the Vikings’ 38-20 home win against the Eagles (+3.5) and the 49ers’ 20-7 win at the Rams (-3).
“It was a good day for us, but it was odd because we didn’t have a really big decision which at least allowed me to sit back, relax and not really sweat any decision, and many of the decisions fell our way,” said Stoneback.
Things got started on the wrong foot for the house Sunday with the early morning game in London seeing the Panthers (-2) keep rolling behind QB Kyle Allen in their 37-26 win against the Buccaneers.
“Carolina winning the London game started us off as a loser, but it was the only bad decision we had early with the 49ers being another poor one,” Stoneback said. “We had one guy play two games for $100,000 each on the Saints and Dolphins, which got there, but it was still a good day.”
The 5-0 49ers are proving their worth as the best team in the NFC and they made a major statement by embarrassing the Rams at the Coliseum. Wynn sportsbook director Doug Castaneda, a Los Angelino, was raving about the 49ers afterward.
“Their (49ers) defense was extremely impressive,” Castaneda said. “They came through on multiple big occasions. They stymied whatever momentum the Rams tried to muster on the Rams home field.”
RB Todd Gurley didn’t play for the Rams, but it was a beatdown more than the score suggested. The Rams’ vertical game never got started and has now dropped to 3-3. Rams QB Jared Goff threw for only 78 yards, and that’s not a typo.
“The 49ers really impressed me playing on the Rams’ field,” Stoneback said. “They look to be the class of the NFC so far.
“When I look at Dallas, it kind comes down to who they beat now which wasn’t against good teams as we’re now finding out.”
The Cowboys have now lost three straight to drop to 3-3. After beating the Giants, Redskins, and Dolphins to start 3-0, they’ve lost their last three to solid teams like the Saints and Packers, and now … the Jets.
The favorites would go 1-3 ATS in the afternoon games to seal the fate of the day with the Cardinals, Jets, and Broncos (-1 vs Titans in 16-0 win) all winning outright. It got a whole lot better in the late game when the Steelers jumped out to 21-0 first-half lead on the Chargers to win 24-17 in a “Home Field” game facing a third-string QB.
In a recent conversation with Las Vegas oddsmaker Kenny White, we couldn’t think of any NFL team in history where a home-field edge resulted in -1 to the number. When three-quarters of the crowd is cheering for the road team, that’s what happens. Plus, they rarely cover at home.
But a third-string QB rolling in to win and winning is a new low and the new stadium in Inglewood won’t change it. San Diego (real) fans aren’t coming up and there’s only a sprinkle of actual L.A. Chargers fans going to the games.