2022 AFC East Betting Odds: Division Winner, Win Totals, And Playoff Odds

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Josh Allen and the Bills are the favorite to win the AFC East. (AP Photo/Joshua Bessex)

Lots of eyes will be on AFC East teams this season, especially the betting favorite to win Super Bowl 57, the Buffalo Bills. However, as good as the Bills may be, they are not the only strong team coming out of the division. A busy offseason has Miami looking strong, and you can never count out Bill Belichick’s Patriots. Even the Jets could be a team worth betting on if several things can go their way this season.

Let’s examine the betting odds at sportsbooks for AFC East teams to win the division, make the playoffs, win totals, and other markets.

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AFC East Betting Odds

Here are the odds to win the AFC East from four sportsbooks around the betting marketplace (odds current as of July 26):

AFC East Odds-- 2022/23DraftKingsCaesars (Code TODAY15)BetMGM (Code TODAY)FanDuel
Buffalo Bills-225-220-225-220
New England Patriots+500+450+450+500
Miami Dolphins+450+450+450+500
New York Jets+2200+2200+2200+2400

Buffalo Bills

As good as the Bills were last season (No. 3 scoring offense, No. 1 scoring defense), they still missed out on Super Bowl 56. Why? Because they left a window open for one of the league’s biggest superstars to exploit—and Patrick Mahomes did just that.

So—how do they keep that from happening again? For one, make sure most of the starters from last year’s offense return (nine), and you make a great defense even better. The key addition is Von Miller, who should help a team that ranked just outside the top 10 in sacks better at rushing the passer.

The team probably hopes promoting Ken Dorsey from QB coach to offensive coordinator will keep the offense from taking a step back.

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New England Patriots

Bill Belichick surprised everyone by going with rookie Mac Jones at the start of the season last year. But, as usual, Belichick knew what he was doing. However, with longtime OC Josh McDaniels and a handful of offensive assistants now in Las Vegas, it falls on the shoulders of Jones to make sure the offense does not regress in 2022.

Jones will have some help in newly acquired wide receiver DeVante Parker and rookie Tyquan Thornton. Losing both starting guards could cause some growing pains early in the season as the O-line gels, but the team believes they have talented players ready to plug in.

However, the key to winning the division may be the defense. Last season, the unit ranked No. 2 in scoring (17.8 points/game) and No. 4 in total yards (310.8/game), but Josh Allen still decimated it in the playoffs.

Miami Dolphins

The Dolphins want to know if Tua Tagovailoa is going to be the QB of the future for the team. With the acquisitions they made in the offseason, it will be pretty easy to tell.

They acquired Tyreek Hill from the Kansas City Chiefs, signed Cedrick Wilson Jr. away from the Cowboys, and added a new platoon of running backs (Chase Edmonds, Raheem Mostert, and Sony Michel). The addition of Terron Armstead and Connor Williams should improve the offensive line.

New head coach Mike McDaniels will still need to unlock Tua’s NFL potential. If he can, the Dolphins will probably make the playoffs and might give the Bills a run for their money within the division.

New York Jets

Zach Wilson showed flashes of potential last season, as did Elijah Moore. The question now is whether those flashes are as good as they will get or if they can flourish with a better roster surrounding them this season.

New York added two offensive weapons via the draft in Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall. C.J. Uzomah and Tyler Conklin give Wilson two solid tight ends to work with. The key, however, may be the 2020 first-round pick, tackle Mekhi Becton.

A better offense will mean little if Saleh cannot get the defense to take a huge step forward. Last season saw the Jets D ranked last in total yards (397.6/game) and scoring (29.6/game).

Do Not Go All-In On Buffalo To Win The AFC East Just Yet

Buffalo has become one of the best teams in the NFL and certainly in the AFC East. But, as good as the Bills are, they only won the division by a game in 2021 (11-6 to 10-7 for New England). Had the Patriots not struggled down the stretch losing three of their last four games, the Bills would not have won the AFC East title.

But Buffalo did make a great defense even better in the offseason and added some solid players on the offensive side of the ball. However, the same is true for the Patriots and Dolphins. As bad as the Jets were last season, it may be foolish to overlook their potential in 2022.

Does this mean you should fade the Bills?

Not at all. But it does mean you should give taking a flyer on one of the other three some serious thought.

Our Pick: Bills, of course. Losing offensive coordinator Brian Daboll may cause some early growing pains, but the Bills’ offense will be as explosive as ever once things start clicking.

Sleeper Pick: The Dolphins and Patriots are both solid sleeper picks.

How Many AFC East Teams Make the Playoffs?

Odds are current as of July 26:

AFC East Teams To Make Playoffs (Yes/No)DraftKingsCaesars (Code TODAY15)BetMGM (Code TODAY)FanDuel
Buffalo Bills-550/+400-600/+425-550/+400-600/+410
New England Patriots+160/-200+140/-160+135/-165+160/-198
Miami Dolphins+140/-175+140/-160+135/-165+142/-174
New York Jets+700/-1100+650/-1000+650/-1000+710/-1200

The AFC East had two teams make the postseason last year, but has had as many as three in contention for a playoff spot in the previous three. Barring an early injury to Josh Allen, it would be shocking if the Bills failed to make the postseason this year; their odds give them an 84-86% chance of making it.

According to the odds, Miami and New England have around a 40% shot of making the playoffs this year. The Jets have roughly a 12-13% chance.

Our Pick: Either the Patriots at +160 or the Dolphins at +142.

AFC East Win Totals

Odds are current as of July 26:

AFC East Win Totals (Over/Under)DraftKingsCaesars (Code TODAY15)BetMGM (Code TODAY)FanDuel
Buffalo Bills11.5 (-140/+120)11.5 (-140/+120)11.5 (-130/+110)11.5 (-135/+115)
New England Patriots8.5 (-115/-105)8.5 (-130/+110)8.5 (-120/+100)8.5 (-115/-105)
Miami Dolphins9 (-125/+105)8.5 (-135/+115)8.5 (-130/+110)8.5 (-135/+115)
New York Jets5.5 (-165/+135)5.5 (-175/+150)5.5 (-155/+130)5.5 (-160/+135)

Our Pick: No one would fault you for taking the over on Buffalo’s total, but consider going with one of these alternate win totals at BetMGM instead: Miami over 9.5 at -125; New England over 9.5 at +140.

Additional Betting Markets For AFC East Teams And Players

Buffalo has been the betting favorite to win Super Bowl 57 since the market opened. For the latest Super Bowl 57 odds, check out our Super Bowl 57 Odds page. If you are considering backing the Bills to win the Super Bowl, you may be interested in their AFC Championship odds, too.

But if you are interested more in player props or award markets, there are plenty of solid options in the AFC East:

Throughout the season, you will be able to find odds on games AFC East teams are playing via our NFL odds page. What about Week 1? Check out our NFL Week 1 odds post.

AFC West Division Betting History

The winner has been the preseason favorite in 17 of the last 20 seasons.

Odds via SportsOddsHistory.com:

SeasonDivision WinnerPreseason Odds
2021Buffalo Bills-150
2020Buffalo Bills-125
2019New England Patriots-550
2018New England Patriots-800
2017New England Patriots-2500
2016New England Patriots-225
2015New England Patriots-200
2014New England Patriots-350
2013New England Patriots-400
2012New England Patriots-400
2011New England Patriots-167
2010New England Patriots+135
2009New England Patriots-455
2008Miami Dolphins+2500
2007New England Patriots-600
2006New England Patriots-300
2005New England Patriots-200
2004New England Patriots-160
2003New England Patriots+180
2002New York Jets+220

Win Totals

Win totals and odds for AFC East teams listed in the table for the last five seasons (winning odds in bold):

SeasonBuffalo BillsNew England PatriotsMiami DolphinsNew York Jets
202111.5 (-110/-110)9.5 (-110/-110)9 (-140/+120)-- Push6 (+110/-130)
20209 (-120/+100)9 (+120/-140)6 (-115/-105)6.5 (+120/-140)
20197 (-140/+120)11.5 (-110/-110)4.5 (+100/-120)7.5 (-110/-110)
20185.5 (+120/-140)11 (-120/+100)-- Push6.5 (-140/+1206 (+110/-130)
20176,5 (+130/-150)12.5 (+100/-120)7 (-130/+110)3.5 (+125/-145)

Make/Miss Playoffs

Odds for AFC East teams to make/miss the playoffs listed in the table for the last five seasons (winning odds in bold):

SeasonBuffalo BillsNew England PatriotsMiami DolphinsNew York Jets
2021 -400/+310 +115/-140 +120/-145 +600/-900
2020 -190/+170 -160/+140 +425/-550 +400/-500
2019 +400/-550 -1100/+700 +1200/-3000 +240/-300
2018 +900/-1600 -1400/+800 +400/-550 +550/-800
2017 +700/-1100 -6000/+1600 +450/-650 +4000/-20000

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AFC East Odds—FAQs

Who is favored to win the AFC East this year?

Last year’s division champs, the Buffalo Bills, are favored to win the AFC East in 2022.

Who has won the most AFC East titles?

The New England Patriots have the most AFC East titles with 22.

When was the last time the New York Jets won the AFC East?

The Jets last won the AFC East in 2002 with a 9-7 record.

What are the Bills favored to win?

The Bills are favored to win the AFC East, the AFC, the Super Bowl, and all 17 regular season games.

Who has the best odds on AFC East teams?

The answer to that question will depend on the specific market you are interested in, which is why we recommend line shopping.

About the Author
Travis Pulver

Travis Pulver

Senior Writer
Travis Pulver is a senior writer for Gaming Today and a lifelong football fan, something he says comes naturally having been born in the football-crazy state of Texas. Through the years, Pulver's love of sports has extended into baseball, basketball, golf, and rugby. Life currently finds him in Indiana with his wife and two kids.

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