2023 NFL Coach Of The Year Odds & Betting Predictions: Dan Campbell Enters Season as Favorite

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The 2023 NFL season is approaching fast, and with that comes the always-competitive Coach of the Year (COY) betting market. Hitting the correct winner for this bet is quite the challenge, but it sure is rewarding, and next year should be no different.

This year’s favorite is Dan Campbell (+850 to +950) of the Detroit Lions, which look to take another leap forward after finishing off last regular season very strong. Trailing Campbell is Sean Payton (+900 to +1400), who has come out of retirement to help the Denver Broncos bounce back from last year’s humiliation.

Here are 2023 NFL Coach of the Year odds from three of the best US sportsbooks, along with which play-callers provide the best – and worst – value.

2023 NFL Coach of the Year Odds

Odds on 2023 NFL Coach of the YearBetMGM, Use Code TODAYFanDuelDraftKings
Dan Campbell+900+950+850
Sean Payton+1100+1400+900
Matt Eberflus+1100+1600+1100
Arthur Smith+1400+1400+1400
Robert Saleh+1600+1600+1600
Matt LaFleur+1800+1600+1500
Mike McDaniel+1800+2000+1800
Mike Tomlin+2000+1600+2500
Doug Pederson+2000+2000+2200
Dennis Allen+2000+2000+2500
Pete Carroll+2500+2000+2500
Shane Steichen+2200+2500+2500
Frank Reich+2500+2500+2500
DeMeco Ryans+2000+2500+2200
Brandon Staley+2500+2500+2500
Kevin Stefanski+2500+2500+2500
Nick Sirianni+2200+2500+3500
Kyle Shanahan+2500+3000+3000
Bill Belichick+3000+3000+2500
Zac Taylor+3000+3000+2800
John Harbaugh+3000+3000+3000
Sean McVay+3000+3000+3000
Josh McDaniels+3500+3000+3500
Mike Vrabel+3000+3000+3500
Jonathan Gannon+3000+3000+3500
Kevin O'Connell+3500+3000+3500
Ron Rivera+3500+3000+3500
Brian Daboll+3000+4000+3500
Sean McDermott+3000+4000+3500
Mike McCarthy+3000+4000+4000
Andy Reid+3000+5000+5000
Todd Bowles+5000+5000+5000

The criteria for COY is based not on stats, of course, but on narrative and the extent to which a coach exceeds expectations. Voters tend to favor first-year head coaches (winners of four of the last six seasons), coaches whose teams come into the season with low expectations, and those who overcome a superstar injury. Conversely, veteran coaches and/or coaches whose teams had high expectations tend to get overlooked (see Andy Reid and Bill Belichick for most of their careers).

Bettors can back Detroit Lions head coach Dan Campbell (+850 to +950) to win COY in 2023. (AP Photo/Paul Sancya)

Betting Favorites

Dan Campbell (+850 to +950)

It took a season and a half for Campbell to finally change the culture in Detroit. After a 4-19-1 start to his tenure with the Lions, Campbell had decided that enough was enough and pushed his team to win eight of its final 10 contests in 2022.

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Between the latter half of last season and this upcoming season, the Lions look extremely promising as they continue to improve as a whole. The defense brought in CJ Gardner-Johnson and Cameron Sutton to bolster the secondary, which allowed the third-most passing yards in 2022. And we already know how prolific the offense can be.

With Aaron Rodgers’ departure from Green Bay, the Lions are now the favorites to win the NFC North. A playoff berth alone, which would be Detroit’s first in seven years, is a great place to start with Campbell’s campaign.

The problem, however, is that the Lions are expected to be good. They have a projected 2023 win total of 9.5 wins, so Campbell will have to turn this team into a juggernaut in order to show voters his true value.

Sean Payton (+900 to +1400)

After taking all of last year off, Payton will put his headset back on and take over a Broncos squad that may have been the most disappointing team in the entire NFL last season. 

There’s no question about the longtime Saints play-caller’s pedigree. A former Super Bowl-winning head coach and the 2006 Coach of the Year, Payton led the Saints to 10 wins after the club posted a 3-13 record the previous season. That’s the kind of value Payton brings to a football team, and he looks to do the same in the Mile High City.

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The one factor standing in his way of winning COY is the division. If the Broncos can bounce back from last season and make the playoffs while competing in the loaded AFC West, then Payton may take home the gold.

Robert Saleh (+1600)

The Jets haven’t made the playoffs since Rex Ryan was at the helm in 2010. That makes the Jets the not-so-proud owners of the longest playoff drought (12 years) in North American professional sports.

New York is expected to be good next season, and a lot of the credit will go to Aaron Rodgers. However, if this club can earn one of the top seeds in the AFC by the time the playoffs roll around, then voters will be forced to give Saleh his credit as well.

Saleh coached the defense to allow the second-fewest points per game in the league last season. And despite working with a committee of subpar quarterbacks, he managed to lead the Jets to win seven games. Imagine how many wins he can rack up when calling plays for one of the most talented quarterbacks in the history of the sport.

Coach Of The Year Winner History

Here are the Coach of the Year winners from the past 20 seasons:

YearCoachTeam
2022Brian DabollNew York Giants
2021Mike VrabelTennessee Titans
2020Kevin StefanskiCleveland Browns
2019John HarbaughBaltimore Ravens
2018Matt NagyChicago Bears
2017Sean McVayLos Angeles Rams
2016Jason GarrettDallas Cowboys
2015Ron RiveraCarolina Panthers
2014Bruce AriansArizona Cardinals
2013Ron RiveraCarolina Panthers
2012Bruce AriansIndianapolis Colts
2011Jim HarbaughSan Francisco 49ers
2010Bill BelichickNew England Patriots
2009Marvin LewisCincinnati Bengals
2008Mike SmithAtlanta Falcons
2007Bill BelichickNew England Patriots
2006Sean PaytonNew Orleans Saints
2005Lovie SmithChicago Bears
2004Marty SchottenheimerSan Diego Chargers
2003Bill BelichickNew England Patriots

NFL Coach of the Year Odds — FAQs

How to Read NFL Coach of the Year Odds?

Before you place a wager on whichever coach you feel will take home the award, it’s important to understand how to read Coach of the Year odds and what they mean.

According to American odds, if a bet has a “+” before the number, then it indicates the bet has an implied probability of less than 50%. The number after the plus sign tells you how much you would net profit from a $100 wager. However, bettors can risk any amount they want. $100 is just what the expression of the odds is based on, and the payout is scalable depending on the amount of wager.

Let’s take a look at Denver Broncos head coach Sean Payton, who bettors can snatch for +1400 on FanDuel. A $100 wager on Payton would net backers $1,400 profit plus their initial $100 bet, a $50 bet would net $700, and so on.

When Will 2023 NFL Coach of the Year Be Voted On And Announced?

The award will be voted on shortly after the regular season ends, which means that postseason play won’t be taken into account when voters submit their ballots. The winner will be announced at the NFL Honors ceremony on shortly before Super Bowl Sunday.

Who Picks Coach of the Year?

The award is voted on by a panel of 50 members of the Associated Press. The panelists cover the NFL season and then place their individual votes.

What States Can You Bet on NFL Coach of the Year?

Arizona, Colorado, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maryland, Michigan, Mississippi, New Jersey, Tennessee, Washington D.C., West Virginia and Wyoming all allow you to legally bet on the NFL Coach of the Year award.

About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports betting writer at Gaming Today who covers the UFC, NFL, and NBA. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing (and writing about) sports.

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