NFL Draft Odds: Major Betting Line Movements On No. 1 Pick At Circa

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There have been significant betting line movements ahead of the NFL Draft. (AP Photo/Steve Luciano)

The opening round of the NFL Draft begins in Las Vegas tonight, and there were some significant movements on betting odds for several players, including Michigan’s Aidan Hutchinson and Georgia’s Travon Walker, at Circa Sports.

Per Nevada gaming regulations, sportsbooks had to close the betting markets for the NFL Draft 24 hours before its 8 p.m. ET start tonight.

Hutchinson, the dynamic edge rusher from Michigan, was long rumored to be the eventual first pick off the board. Circa opened his prop at draft position 1.5 with -210 on the ‘over’ and +170 on the ‘under’ on Monday. By the time the market closed yesterday, Circa was dealing -430 on the ‘over’ and +335 on Hutchison being selected first.

With Circa’s draft props, betting the ‘over’ means a player will be selected at a higher draft position (later) and the ‘under’ means a lower draft position (earlier). Circa has a $1,000 limit on these prop bets.

Walker is now the betting favorite to be picked first by Jacksonville. His prop at draft position 1.5 opened at +170 on the ‘over’ and -210 on the ‘under’, but those odds shifted to +215 on the ‘over’ and -270 on Walker going first.

The situation is playing out in similar fashion at DraftKings.

Not Much Line Movement On Quarterbacks

Pitt’s Kenny Pickett and Liberty’s Malik Willis are the top two quarterbacks in this year’s draft class, maybe not in that order. Circa opened its prop on Willis at draft position 15.5 with -115 odds on both sides of the bet. Those odds remain unchanged heading into the opening round tonight. Pickett opened at draft position 18.5 with -130 odds on the ‘over’ and +100 on the ‘under.’ He is now at -135 and +105, respectively.

Who Will Be First Wide Receiver Taken?

This is one of the more intriguing positions to follow in the opening round of the NFL Draft. Circa opened with odds on six wide receivers potentially being taken in round one. Ohio State’s Garrett Wilson is the favorite based on Circa’s odds, which have him at draft position 9.5 with -115 odds on the ‘over’ and ‘under.’ He opened at -135 and +105, respectively.

But USC’s Drake London had more receptions and receiving yards than Wilson despite only playing in eight games last year. London suffered a fractured ankle in a game against Arizona in October. His recovery does not appear to be an issue, but London did not participate in any combine drills.

Circa stationed London at draft position 11.5 with opening odds of -115 on both sides of the prop. He has since been moved to 10.5 with +115 odds on going later in the opening round and -145 on being selected earlier.

Also read: Why Oddsmakers Hate NFL Draft | Bettor’s Approach To First Round | Mr. Irrevelant Odds

About the Author
Kris Johnson

Kris Johnson

Writer & Contributor
Kris Johnson is a Senior Writer at Gaming Today with more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist. Kris' work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and more. Kris also authored a sports betting novel entitled The Endgame.

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