NFL Draft Odds 2024: Caleb Williams Viewed as Lock at No. 1 is an independent sports news and information service. has partnerships with some of the top legal and licensed sportsbook companies in the US. Gaming Today may receive referral compensation from the sportsbook company when you claim a bonus offer or promotion through a link on this site. Although the relationships we have with sportsbook companies may influence the order in which we place companies on the site, all reviews, recommendations, and opinions are wholly our own. They are the recommendations from our authors and contributors who are avid sports fans themselves.

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Prospects’ stocks, as well as team needs, are far from settled, but 2024 NFL Draft odds are already available at top sports betting apps. This year’s draft, scheduled for April 25-27 in Detroit, is expected to once again heavily feature quarterbacks in the top five after last year’s draft saw Bryce Young go No. 1 to the Carolina Panthers followed by CJ Stroud landing with the Houston Texans at No. 2.

While everything after the top pick remains in flux following the conclusion of the NFL Combine last week, as of March 7, USC QB Caleb Williams looks like a lock to go to the Chicago Bears with the first pick.

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NFL Draft Odds 2024: No. 1 Pick

Caleb Williams-1200-2000-910
Drake Maye +900+1100+900
Marvin Harrison Jr.+1500+4000+1500
Jayden Daniels+750+2500+1000
JJ McCarthy+3000+10000+10000
Michael Penix+10000+10000not listed
Bo Nix+10000+10000not listed

The Chicago Bears currently hold the top pick, and they’re expected to trade Justin Fields, stay put at No. 1, and take Caleb Williams. The favorite at this point in the process is not always the first player to hear his name called, but it’s hard to imagine anyone other than Williams being taken here. Scouts have raved about the former Oklahoma Sooner and USC Trojan since 2022, and he’s currently the heavy favorite to go No. 1 for good reason.

NFL Draft Odds 2024: No. 2 Pick

Drake Maye-120-140-118
Jayden Daniels+110+120+100
Marvin Harrison Jr.+1000+2500+1100
Caleb Williams+1000+1600+1100
JJ McCarthy+1800+2200+3000
Michael Penix+6000+10000not listed
Bo Nix+6000+10000not listed

Here’s where it gets interesting with the Washington Commanders. Former UNC QB Drake Maye has been widely considered the top option after Williams since last summer (with some scouts and analysts arguing he’s in fact even better than Williams), but buzz has been building since late in the 2023 season about LSU’s Jayden Daniels. The 2023 Heisman Trophy winner’s odds to go No. 2 have been getting shorter, though Maye does remain the favorite across the board.

NFL Draft Odds 2024: No. 3 Pick

Jayden Daniels+145+130+170
Drake Maye+165+160+180
Marvin Harrison Jr.+240+430+250
JJ McCarthy+650+750+700
Joe Alt+4000+3500+2200
Michael Penix+5000+10000+8000
Bo Nix+4000+10000not listed
Olumuyiwa Fashanu+5000+10000+2500
Caleb Williams+4500+3000+3500

The New England Patriots need a quarterback after Mac Jones’ struggles in 2023, and they’ll likely have either Daniels or Maye to choose from. At the moment, oddsmakers see Daniels as slightly more likely to be taken at No. 3 by the Pats than Maye. But it’s close, and a lot can and will happen between now and draft night on April 25. The Patriots are in an interesting position because while they certainly need a signal-caller, WR Marvin Harrison Jr. would also fill a major need.

Conventional wisdom says it’s unlikely a QB-needy team would pass on a QB in favor of a wide receiver, but Harrison might be good enough to justify the Patriots taking him here and going another route at QB.

NFL Draft Odds 2024: Best Bets

Betting on the draft is challenging, especially in March. You can’t always trust what you hear about a team’s desires. No one wants to tip their hand and risk another team targeting their preferred player, which is why NFL team officials offer very little in the months ahead of the draft.

With that in mind, below are a few (very) early best bets:

No. 1 Pick (Bears): QB Caleb Williams

At this point, there’s not a good reason to bet on No. 1 being anyone other than Williams, who’s long been considered the top player in this draft class.

No. 2 Pick (Commanders): QB Jayden Daniels

We’ll go out on a limb at No. 2. Daniels is trending up, and it’s easy to see his mobility allowing him to overtake Maye. Back in September, it would have been outlandish to suggest anyone other than Maye going second, but Daniels now has a real chance to take the reins in Washington.

No. 3 Pick (Patriots): QB Drake Maye

Maye’s not going to fall further than No. 3.

No. 4 Pick (Cardinals): WR Marvin Harrison Jr.

The former Buckeye looks like one of the top WR prospects in several years, though he’s not the only stud pass catcher in this class — LSU’s Malik Nabers and Washington’s Rome Odunze are also likely early selections.

No. 5 Pick (Chargers): OT Joe Alt

After Williams, Maye, Harrison, and Daniels (assuming those four go in some order at the top of the draft), it will be interesting to see who new Chargers coach Jim Harbaugh selects. He’ll have an interesting decision, with quality options at both WR and OT. Both happen to be positions of need for Justin Herbert, but let’s go with Joe Alt, who would combine with Rashawn Slater to give LA two quality players at tackle.


About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett has been a sports writer since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer, and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

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