Sunday’s NFL conference championship games feature two favorites in the Kansas City Chiefs and L.A. Rams who are winless against their respective opponents this year.
That got us thinking about a brave moneyline parlay on the Cincinnati Bengals and San Francisco 49ers this weekend. DraftKings is dealing the Bengals at +245 and 49ers +150 on the moneyline, respectively, as of Wednesday.
Take those odds and plug them into Gaming Today’s parlay calculator. This free online tool calculates your implied probability of winning, parlay odds, and payout.
Two things became clear with this parlay when the numbers were spit out. While the sportsbook’s edge increases with most parlays, the potential payout on a two-leg Bengals-49ers parlay is undeniably lucrative. Let’s take a look at all of the moneyline parlay combinations for the NFL Championship Sunday using odds from DraftKings as of Wednesday morning. Always, though, shop around the betting market for the best odds for your wagers.
$100 Moneyline Parlay: Bengals (+245) and 49ers (+150)
Implied probability of winning: 11.59%
Parlay odds: 7.63-to-1
Parlay payout: $762.50
$100 Moneyline Parlay: Chiefs (-310) and Rams (-170)
Implied probability of winning: 47.61%
Parlay odds: 1.1-to-1
Parlay payout: $110.06
$100 Moneyline Parlay: Chiefs (-310) and 49ers (+150)
Implied probability of winning: 30.24%
Parlay odds: 2.31-to-1
Parlay payout: $230.65
$100 Moneyline Parlay: Bengals (+245) and Rams (-170)
Implied probability of winning: 18.25%
Parlay odds: 4.48-to-1
Parlay payout: $447.94
Making A Case For The Dog-Day Parlay
San Francisco seems to have L.A.’s number. When the teams met in Santa Clara in Week 10, the 49ers trounced the Rams, 31-10. In the Week 18 rematch, San Francisco prevailed 27-24 over an L.A. team that still managed to win the NFC West division title despite the loss. The 49ers were 3.5-point underdogs in both matchups this year, the same point spread on most oddsboards this week.
In fact, 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan has gotten the better of the Rams and Sean McVay in six straight meetings. San Fran was the dog in five of those games.
The 49ers have been doing it with defense in these playoffs. Dallas was the highest-scoring team in the NFL regular season (31.2 points per game), but the Cowboys managed just 17 points in their loss against San Francisco in the wildcard round. As remarkably, the 49ers held Aaron Rodgers and the Packers to 10 points at Lambeau Field. They won 13-10 without scoring an offensive TD.
Meanwhile, Cincinnati is playing as well as anyone right now. The youthful Bengals are also playing with house money in some respects. It’d been 31 years since Cincy won a playoff game, and now it’s won two in two weeks. The Joe Burrow-Ja’Marr Chase combination is equally as dangerous as Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs. Or, perhaps, we should say Allen and Gabriel Davis after what transpired Sunday. Allen threw for 300+ yards and four TDs, all of them going to Davis, who had a career game with 201 yards receiving.
That performance was eerily similar to the one Burrow and Chase put on in Cincy’s 34-31 win over K.C. on January 2. Burrow had 446 passing yards and four TDs; Chase had 266 receiving yards and three TDs. The bottom line here is the Chiefs can be had through the air.
With odds better than 7-to-1, and two teams that have proven they can beat these opponents, this dog-day parlay is a bet worth making.
Also read: Bengals Vs. Chiefs Odds: 2022 AFC Championship | Bengals-Chiefs TD scorer props | Do big dogs cover on Championship Sunday? | Props specials | Super Bowl 2022 Odds at DraftKings, FanDuel, PointsBet: Chiefs Too Short For A Bet? | Super Bowl squares