NFL MVP Odds And Betting Update: Prices, Handle Vary Across Sportsbooks

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Jevone Moore/Icon Sportswire

Perhaps the most impressive list of MVP candidates to date, and we have no clear favorite. We have about eight players still within striking range to win the award. Interestingly, sportsbooks’ NFL MVP odds are vastly different across the industry.

Below is the list of MVP odds at five sportsbooks:

WynnBETBetMGMCaesarsPointsBetDraftKings
Kyler Murray +400Josh Allen +450Kyler Murray +500Tom Brady +500 Josh Allen +450
Justin Herbert +400Kyler Murray +500Josh Allen +500Josh Allen +500Kyler Murray +500
Josh Allen +500Dak Prescott +650Tom Brady +600Justin Herbert +650Dak Prescott +700
Tom Brady +600Justin Herbert +650Dak Prescott +700Kyler Murray +650Justin Herbert +700
Dak Prescott +650Tom Brady +700Justin Herbert +700Dak Prescott +700Tom Brady +800
Matthew Stafford +900Matthew Stafford +1100Lamar Jackson +1000Aaron Rodgers +1000Lamar Jackson +1000

There is disagreement among the books about who is the favorite for NFL MVP. Sportsbooks are unsure if Kyler Murray, Josh Allen, Justin Herbert, or Tom Brady should be the MVP betting favorite. The diversity brings up plenty of questions.

Including, what goes into the decision to cap a player as the favorite when there is so much variance across the market? Well, I went directly to a few books to find the answer.

MVP Handle And Ticket Count Update — Week 6

Last Sunday, PointsBet had Josh Allen at +1000 and tied for the fifth shortest odds to win the MVP award. His impressive performance and a statement win over the Chiefs launched him to favorite status. This is not the first massive odds movement for NFL MVP.

I emailed PointsBet Trade Analyst Mike Korn about MVP betting this year. He gave me insight into bet count and handle for the NFL MVP award, which mirror each other on the books’ ledgers.

Top MVP Ticket Count and Handle For PointsBet

  1. Kyler Murray
  2. Matthew Stafford
  3. Josh Allen
  4. Dak Prescott
  5. Justin Herbert
  6. Tom Brady

Currently, quarterbacks are dominating the MVP betting market at PointsBet, as they should.

DraftKings MVP Betting

DraftKings‘ list of most popular MVP bets varies from PointsBet. Missing from DrafKings’ top 10 are Dak Prescott, Tom Brady, and Lamar Jackson — each of whom is in the consensus top six in MVP odds.

Below is the full list of the handle and bet percentage for NFL MVP betting at DraftKings.

NFL Regular Season MVP Splits
Rank  Player Previous.    Current.    % of Handle.     % of Bets. 
1 Matthew Stafford   +1400 +1000 17% 14%
2 Patrick Mahomes    +650 +1800 16% 7%
3 Josh Allen +700 +450 15% 12%
4 Kyler Murray +450 +500 13% 9%
5 Aaron Rodgers +1000 +1200 12% 20%
6 Justin Herbert +750 +700 6% 4%
7 Derrick Henry +10000 +6500 3% 2%
8 Jalen Hurts +10000 +10000 3% 1%
9 Derek Carr +2500 +6500 2% 2%
10 Ryan Tannehill +10000 +10000 1% 1%
Provided by DraftKings Sportsbook

While Stafford may present liability for DraftKings, if Brady, Prescott, or Jackson win the MVP, the book is setup nicely for a big win this season.

About the Author

Erich Richter

Erich is a New York-based freelance writer and gambling expert specializing in the sports industry. His work is featured in numerous publications. Erich is a diehard Mets, Giants, and Knicks fan (it’s been tough). Twitter: @erichterrr

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