Packers vs. Buccaneers Odds & Prediction: Running Game’s Key in Epic QB Duel

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Packers vs. Buccaneers betting odds are available on Sunday’s rare clash between two of the most legendary quarterbacks in NFL history. We’re talking about Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers and Tom Brady of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who will face off for just the fifth – and possibly final – time in their careers.

We go over odds and predictions for this historically epic matchup.

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Green Bay Packers vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Odds

The Bucs – priced between –116 to -120 on the moneyline – are laying just 1.5 points against the Packers – priced between -103 to +105 – at FanDuel. Kickoff begins at 4:25 p.m. ET on FOX.

GB Packers vs TB Buccaneers Odds NFL Odds

NFL · Sun (9/25) @ 4:25pm ET

GB Packers at TB Buccaneers
Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL

Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (AP Photo/Mike Roemer)

Packers RBs to Lead the Charge

Aaron Rodgers isn’t playing Aaron Rodgers-level football through the season’s first two weeks. But it has nothing to do with the future Hall of Fame quarterback’s ability. He just hasn’t been able to find a rhythm with his career-worst receiving corps.

Green Bay’s offense instead runs through the running back tandem of Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon. Jones and Dillon have 246 and 158 total scrimmage yards, respectively, which combined makes up precisely 50% of the offense’s scrimmage yards.

After getting whooped by divisional rival Minnesota Vikings in the season opener, the Packers made amends by crushing the Chicago Bears, 27-10, in Week 2. Rodgers threw the ball efficiently and tossed two touchdowns, but the real hero was Jones, who totaled 170 scrimmage yards and two scores of his own.

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Bucs Extremely Shallow at Receiver

Brady is playing far below his normal “GOAT-ish” levels. Through Week 2, the Bucs’ signal-caller ranks outside of the top-15 in passing yards (20th), completion percentage (25th), yards per pass attempt (25th), passing touchdowns (16th), and passer rating (21st).

Tampa Bay’s defense, however, is playing stellar football, allowing just 6.5 points per game – the fewest in the entire league.

Although the defense has been the key to the team’s 2-0 start, Brady may have to be more of a game changer – not a game manager – against the Packers. After last week’s brawl against the New Orleans Saints that left wideout Mike Evans suspended for one game, Brady will now be without his top three receivers – Evans, Chris Godwin, and Julio Jones.

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Packers vs. Buccaneers Prediction

This contest won’t be like the one between these two teams in the NFC Championship Game – with the Bucs winning to reach Super Bowl 55. Both squads are entirely different this time around.

The key matchup to look for in this game will be Green Bay’s running backs versus Tampa Bay’s defensive line. The Packers run for the sixth most yards per game (157.0). Meanwhile, the Bucs allow the ninth fewest rushing yards per game (86.5), and have yet to give up a rushing score this season.

As dismal as Rodgers’ weapons are, Brady’s weapons – and his line – are even worse. Both the receiver and line positions are decimated by injuries, and will prove to be too much for Brady to overcome.

As for Rodgers, he’ll manage the game well enough to build an early lead and hold onto it until the final whistle. The match’s over/under is pegged at 41 points, so oddsmakers don’t believe the teams will exchange in a shootout. That falls perfectly into the hands of Rodgers, who has the complementary running attack to control the pace of the game and the passing attack to push the ball downfield when necessary.

Prediction: Packers defeat Buccaneers 24-20

Rodgers vs. Brady Head-to-Head History

Nov. 30, 2014: Packers def. Patriots, 26-21
Rodgers: 368 YDS | 2 TD | 0 INT | 112.6 RTG
Brady: 245 YDS | 2 TD | 0 INT | 102.7 RTG

Nov. 4, 2018: Patriots def. Packers, 31-17
Rodgers: 259 YDS | 2 TD | 0 INT | 89.2 RTG
Brady: 294 YDS | 1 TD | 0 INT | 99.0 RTG

Oct. 18, 2020: Buccaneers def. Packers, 38-10
Rodgers: 160 YDS | 0 TD | 2 INT | 35.4 RTG
Brady: 166 YDS | 2 TD | 0 INT | 104.9 RTG

Jan. 24, 2021: Buccaneers def. Patriots, 31-26
Rodgers: 346 YDS | 3 TD | 1 INT | 101.6 RTG
Brady: 280 YDS | 3 TD | 3 INT | 73.9 RTG

Also read: Super Bowl 57 oddsBest NFL betting apps

About the Author
Cyrus Eshaghoff

Cyrus Eshaghoff

Sports Betting Writer
Cyrus Eshaghoff is a New York-based sports writer. Whether it's heated debates or uncovering statistical insights, he loves discussing sports. Check out his Twitter account (@CyrusEshaghoff).

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