NFL Week 9 features a classic NFC North rivalry game between the 3-5 Green Bay Packers and the 1-6 Detroit Lions.
This is a battle between two teams that have underwhelmed expectations so far this season. The Packers have lost four straight games and sit two games behind the Minnesota Vikings for the division lead. The Lions have lost five straight, and sit dead last in the NFC North. At least one of these losing streaks will come to an end in this NFL Week 9 matchup!
Let’s take a look at the betting odds, props, and make some predictions for Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions.
Packers vs. Lions Betting Lines: Points Spread, Moneyline, Total
Green Bay opened as a -3.5 point favorite and the line has stayed flat for much of the week. The point spread has moved slightly between -3 and -4 at sportsbooks as betting action comes in on both sides of this matchup.
The total opened at 48.5 points, with money quickly coming in on the Over. The total moved as high as 51 at several sportsbooks, but has settled between 49 and 50 points.
Here are current odds from legal US sportsbooks on this NFL Week 9 showdown.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Betting News
The Green Bay Packers opened their NFL season as a Super Bowl favorite in a wide-open NFC. After a hot start, with three wins through their first four games, the Packers have completely collapsed. Four straight losses against the Giants, Jets, Commanders, and Bills have them scrambling to salvage their season.
The lone bright spot for the Packers has been their pass defense. While teams have been able to run over Green Bay, the Packers are holding opponents to less than 175 yards per game through the air. That’s good enough for No. 2 in the NFL on passing defense.
The Detroit Lions enter this matchup on a five-game losing streak. With an offense that can score in bunches, the Lions rank inside the top 10 in total points scored, averaging close to 25 points per game. While scoring that many points is impressive, it’s difficult to win games while allowing opponents to score more than 30 points per game! That number has the Detroit Lions ranked dead last in scoring defense this season, which explains their dismal 1-6 record.
Both teams are clearly struggling, and injuries continue to pile up on both sides of the field. Aaron Rodgers will be missing his favorite receiving target in Randall Cobb who’s out indefinitely with a broken ankle. The Lions also have seven players on the injured reserve list and another half dozen listed as questionable for this game against the Packers.
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Betting Trends
Green Bay Packers
- The Packers are 1-4 straight up in their last five games
- The Packers are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games
- The Packers are 0-5 against the spread in their last five road games against the Lions
- The Packers are 16-4 in their last 20 games against the NFC North
- The Lions are 0-5 straight up in their last five games.
- The Lions are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games
- The Total has gone Over in eight of their last 10 games
- The Lions are 5-0 against the spread in their last five games against the NFC North
Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Prediction
For all his struggles this season, it’s never a wise idea to bet against Aaron Rodgers against the NFC North. The four-time NFL MVP has feasted within the division, sporting a lifetime 57-22-1 record against divisional opponents. That includes a sizzling 18-6 record against the Detroit Lions.
There’s nothing that gets Rodgers more fired up than a divisional matchup. Look for the Packers to exploit this Lions defense, and get a much-needed win (and cover!) in Detroit this weekend.
The Pick: Green Bay Packers (-3.5)
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Green Bay Packers vs. Detroit Lions Props
There are a number of betting props available for Packers vs. Lions.
Aaron Jones Longest Rush Over 15.5 Yards -110
The Lions defense is one of the league’s worst, especially against the rush. Detroit is allowing teams to score more than 150 rushing yards per game.
Aaron Jones is a strong running back with explosive potential for Green Bay. Jones has cracked this longest rush total in four out of eight games this season. That includes games against the Bills and Patriots, who possess much tougher rushing defenses than the Lions. Jones notched a 30-yard rush against the Bills, and a 20-yard carry against the Patriots.
Assuming Green Bay gets out to an early lead, they’ll lean on the rushing attack to control the clock. That means more carries for Jones. Against a Lions defense that can’t stop a leaky faucet, look for him to crack this number easily on Sunday.
Robert Tonyan Over 31.5 Receiving Yards -105
Another way to take advantage of the terrible Lions defense is targeting Robert Tonyan’s receiving prop. The Packers tight end should see his workload increase this week with a number of key injuries to the Packers receiving core.
Tonyan has gone Over this number in five of eight games this season, including his last three games. With an increase in workload against a poor pass defense, Tonyan should clear this number in Detroit.
Read more: NFL Week 9 Betting Trends
Packers vs. Lions Broadcast and Game Day Information
- Game Day: Sunday, November 6, 2022
- Game Time: 1:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Ford Field | Detroit, Michigan
- Channel: FOX