Here’s one potential play for the first three-team parlay of NFL Week 15, along with a substitute leg to drive the betting odds up.
Take one or two teams hungry for redemption along with the best team in football. Yield a little juice, but just win baby.
Check out our NFL parlay picks for Week 15, and all three picks add up to -127 odds at one of the top sports betting apps. One swapped pick can produce a payout of +144.
If you like it, grab it soon. The price has been going up. If it goes north of -135, this may not be worth it, hence an alternate strategy.
This is the approach I followed last week in cashing a three-teamer with adjusted lines for the Baltimore Ravens and San Francisco 49ers -2.5 in their games and the Detroit Lions-Chicago Bears Over 32.5. It paid +108, good enough for three packaged bets that had no value as single plays.
NFL Parlay Picks for Week 15 (All Moneyline)
- San Francisco 49ers over Arizona Cardinals
- Miami Dolphins over New York Jets
- Los Angeles Rams over Washington Commanders
Alternate Swap Pick: Replace any selection with the Eagles ML at Seattle Seahawks for higher value.
Breaking Down the NFL Parlay Picks
Los Angeles Rams
What a clinic the Rams’ offense has been putting on.
Running back Kyren Williams and wide receivers Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp are about as potent as any three offensive weapons.
The Rams came oh-so-close to upsetting the Baltimore Ravens in a 37-31 overtime loss. They were two downs away from snuffing out the AFC’s top seed before surrendering a late touchdown. They roared back to notch a game-tying field goal to force overtime.
This team is playing its best ball of the season and the offense is licking its chops.
They face the Commanders, who have the worst defense in football. Hard to gain that distinction, but Washington has yielded 395 points, owning this dubious niche. That’s nearly double the top team, the Niners (205).
The Commanders were burned for a 45 burger against the Dallas Cowboys and the Miami Dolphins. They fired defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio.
The Rams have found an extra gear in the last four weeks and there is little reason to suspect they will play down to the level of their opposition.
The 6-7 Rams have the Commanders and New Orleans Saints at home and New York Giants on the road over the next three weeks.
It’s time to cash in on this part of the schedule.
San Francisco 49ers
Where else can you make many Niners ML money without some type of parlay? The Niners are up to -14 on the spread at some sportsbooks.
If San Francisco was a big-play team, one might suspect it could be vulnerable to being tripped up if things did not progress well in any given game.
But the San Francisco machine is fueled by Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, Brock Purdy, and a methodical attack. Long drives. Consistent moving of the chains. Few mistakes.
The Niners have won five straight since all their top players returned.
The Cardinals do figure to show up. They have beaten three teams that would have been in the playoffs as of Dec. 1: the Dallas Cowboys, Atlanta Falcons, and Pittsburgh Steelers.
The Cardinals looked physical in dismantling the Pittsburgh Steelers 24-10 before the bye. Kyler Murray’s ability to scamper is a wild card. So is the recent emergence of tough tight end Trey McBride.
Nonetheless, the 49ers are a good place to plant a parlay flag.
So, what was THAT all about? The Dolphins blew a 14-point lead in the final three minutes at home against the Tennessee Titans in Monday’s 28-27 loss.
Because the Titans converted a two-point conversion, this broke a streak of 0-for-267 for teams that trailed by 14 points in the last three minutes to win in regulation.
Dolphins’ backers may think it looked worse than it was. The offense only had one possession during that time. Who figured the defense would allow two touchdowns to Will Levis and the Titans, now 5-8, on the last two possessions?
But there were previous problems. Tua Tagovailoa fumbled away a potential first-quarter touchdown and the Dolphins had a field goal blocked.
If there was ever an angry team, this is it. And they face a Jets team they bombed 34-13 on Black Friday.
Yes, the Jets looked rejuvenated against the Houston Texans, prevailing 30-6 in the rain last week. Zach Wilson was back behind center and the Jets broke open a scoreless halftime tie with a big second half.
But it’s hard to picture Miami losing two straight at home, especially as another big favorite.
Swap Option: Philadelphia Eagles
Changing the Eagles for any of these picks will raise the payout. The highest is +144 by putting the Eagles in place of the Niners.
If this team is the elite outfit people thought it was throughout the year, this is the time to step up.
Philly did not score an offensive touchdown and were whipped soundly by the Dallas Cowboys, 33-13. That was one week after they were thumped 42-19 by the Niners. They went from 10-1 to 10-3.
The logical arc on this team is a bottoming out prior to a late-season surge against lesser clubs.
Do they get over the hurdle in this game or against the Arizona Cardinals at home the following week?
Conventional wisdom says the Eagles will win the NFC East over the Cowboys. But for the first time this year, the Eagles are looking up at the ‘Boys in the standings at 10-3. Dallas is 4-1 against the NFC East, and Philadelphia is 3-1. The ‘Boys are, technically, in first place.
Philadelphia is too good to look this bad over the past two weeks. It had three turnovers deep in Dallas territory last week.
Somewhere, one figures that between AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, and Jalen Hurts, that’s a more potent lineup than Drew Lock, DK Metcalf, and Kenneth Walker. Or Geno Smith (groin) if he starts.
Maybe not by much.
But even a little will do here.
BetMGM NFL Parlay Picks Overview
Here are the BetMGM odds for the parlay we’ve created. Use BetMGM bonus code TODAY to get a welcome offer of $1,500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win. More details are below.
- Niners ML (-900)
- Rams ML (-300)
- Dolphins ML (-450)
Other Parlay Considerations
- Philadelphia Eagles (-200)
Swapping the Eagles for the Niners brings this ticket to +144.
A Note About Parlay Strategy
One can use a bet like this as a destination or introduction to a larger ticket.
Sportsbooks have reported several six-figure payouts in recent years for multi-legged parlay tickets that are heavily marked with moneyline wagers and some adjusted lines or totals.
Parlays have been good to many bettors, even though they are challenging to hit. If you can hit at least a two-team parlay with reasonable odds, there will usually be a profit.
Some bettors may find a base of three picks they like, use them as a constant in several tickets, and change the betting side on the picks they are unsure about.
Either way, good luck bringing home some cash.