Want to get some action down well ahead of the NFL Week 17 schedule?
Here’s a first look at a three-team NFL parlay that pays +116 at one of the nation’s top sports-betting apps. There are also several variations of it via a two-team anchor and different teams with different prices for the third selection.
Here are our NFL parlay picks for Week 17.
NFL Parlay Picks for Week 17 (All Moneyline)
- Buffalo Bills over the New England Patriots
- Philadelphia Eagles over the Arizona Cardinals
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers over the New Orleans Saints
Breaking Down the NFL Parlay Picks
Buffalo threw a scare into moneyline parlay builders last week but finally prevailed over the revitalized Los Angeles Chargers, 24-22, at -12.5 for its third straight triumph.
The Buffalo defense kept the Chargers offense out of the end zone three straight times in the fourth quarter. Los Angeles did get three field goals, set up by turnovers and a short field, but the unheralded Bills D saved the ugly victory.
Buffalo returns home with extra motivation to face New England.
One, Buffalo is now in a playoff position and in must-win territory at 9-6.
Two is the revenge motif. The Patriots played their game of the year to nip Buffalo, 29-25, in October.
What are the odds Buffalo loses two games in one year to the now four-win Patriots? Small.
Josh Allen, who rushed for two touchdowns against the Chargers, is back to taking the bull by the horns down near the end zone.
Look for him to continually involve Gabriel Davis, one of the strangest star receivers in the league. Davis scored last week and seems to do well every time he is utilized.
New England scored a prime-time shocker over the Denver Broncos, beating them 26-23 in Denver. Three of New England’s victories have come on the road this year.
Zeke Elliott tallied last week for New England. Bailey Zappe has settled into the top quarterback slot.
New England is playing with toughness, although it would take Buffalo playing down a notch for the Patriots to steal it.
Despite the -600 moneyline here, the Eagles are becoming a shaky play each week.
But you almost have to take them because of the soft schedule. They will be vulnerable to Kyler Murray running and Trey McBride, an emerging tight end, as a receiver.
The Eagles’ defense is a leaky faucet, but the offense figures to put up enough points against the 3-12 Cardinals.
Jalen Hurts, AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, and D’Andre Swift should be able to generate enough offense for Philadelphia to outgun Arizona.
As the Eagles proved with their narrow 33-28 triumph over the New York Giants at -14, there are no more cakewalks for them.
But this is the easy part of the schedule they should capitalize on to win the NFC East.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Oh no, the 8-7 Bucs on a parlay and a bet in the NFC South?
You have to take a stand some place.
The Bucs devoured the Jacksonville Jaguars, 30-12, for their fourth straight triumph last week.
On one hand, it figures that nobody in a division with an 8-7 leader is good enough to win five straight games.
It may also seem improbable that one team can win twice against a foe in this division twice in one year. Tampa Bay humbled New Orleans, 26-9, on the road earlier this year.
Taking the mediocrity argument, the 7-8 Saints would therefore be due.
But the Bucs just humbled Trevor Lawrence and the highly-heralded, albeit sputtering Jacksonville Jaguars. It was a beatdown, evidence of a team coming together.
I’ll take Baker Mayfield, Mike Evans, and the emerging Chris Godwin over the assemblage of Derek Carr, Chris Olave, Alvin Kamara, and Co.
Tampa Bay can win the division with a victory and an Atlanta Falcons loss to the Chicago Bears.
BetMGM NFL Parlay Picks Overview
Here are the BetMGM odds for the parlay we’ve created. Use BetMGM bonus code TODAY to get a welcome offer of $1,500 in Bonus Bets if you don’t win. More details are below.
- Buffalo Bills (-700)
- Philadelphia Eagles (-600)
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-160)
Other Substitute Third Pieces
Using Philadelphia and Buffalo as the anchor:
- The Cleveland Browns over the New York Jets as the third team is -116
- The Denver Broncos against the Chargers is +105
- The Jacksonville Jaguars over the Carolina Panthers is -129
Top Optional Side Piece
If the Bucs-Saints look too risky, you could select Cleveland on Thursday night.
The Browns played their most complete game in several seasons, thrashing a good Houston Texans team, 36-22.
Joe Flacco looks reborn, throwing for 1,307 yards over the last four weeks. That’s more than anybody in football.
The Browns can clinch their first postseason berth with a victory.
Yet, there is also reason for hesitation.
The 6-9 Jets do have playmakers in Breece Hall and even Dalvin Cook, their disgruntled offseason acquisition star running back.
The Jets do exactly what you think they won’t.
They beat the Buffalo Bills in overtime. They rallied with a late defensive score to stun the Eagles. They ran roughshod over the Houston Texans. All three teams have winning records and may be in the playoffs. The Jets were dogs in all three games.
Conversely, they laid an egg against the Chargers and Falcons, in home losses. They also blew a 20-0 third-quarter lead before rallying to kick a game-winning field goal against the Washington Commanders last week.
None of these teams have a winning record or playoff expectations.
Now it’s a Thursday, prime-time game.
The Jets show up against top teams.
That’s why this is tricky.
With the Browns, you know what you will get. With the Jets, it’s Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde.
DraftKings Boss Weighs in on Parlay Strategy
“People are flocking to the moneyline parlays a lot, especially over the last couple of years,” Johnny Avello, the director of race and sportsbook operations for DraftKings, told Gaming Today.
“The people have been riding the chalk and are often doing well, but you are going to get burned on occasion if one of these teams don’t show up.
“You can really make some money if there are some dogs that you like.”
Remember to check our implied win probability calculator to see whether this seems like the right deal for you. And shop till you drop at the books, which have different opinions about how props should be priced.
That can be an edge for you, depending on the prop.