Odds to Make 2023 NFL Playoffs: What Are Your Team’s Chances?

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The Raiders are offered at +200 odds to make the 2023 NFL Playoffs (AP Photo/Jeff Bottari)

Betting on your favorite NFL team to make the playoffs this season? We’ve got you covered with futures odds from FanDuel on all 32 NFL teams.

Based on FanDuel’s -600 odds, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have the best chance to make the NFL Playoffs with an implied probability of 85.71% to advance to the postseason. The Houston Texans, at +1400, have the smallest chance to make the playoffs at 6.67%.

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These odds are fluid and will shift throughout the course of the NFL season based on how teams perform week to week.

While we show FanDuel numbers here, it’s important to compare the odds being offered across the sports betting industry to ensure you find the best price for your wager.

FanDuel Odds on NFL Teams’ Playoff Chances

TeamFanDuel oddsImplied Probability
Browns +13842.02%
Falcons +75011.76%
Jets +70012.5%

NFL Contenders to Advance to Postseason

Buccaneers (-600)

Tom Brady is back for yet another season in Tampa Bay. The Bucs won’t have the pass-catching services of TE Rob Gronkowski (retired), and WR Chris Godwin (ACL) is iffy to start the season. But Brady still has WR Mike Evans as a primary receiving target and RB Leonard Fournette out of the backfield.

Tampa Bay is the undisputed leader of the NFC South with -300 odds to win the division at DraftKings. It’s hard to envision the Bucs not making the playoffs.

Bills (-490)

Josh Allen is the headliner here, but the Bills’ defense follows as a close second. Buffalo bolstered the defensive unit this offseason by signing pass-rushing ace Von Miller.

Buffalo’s weakness can be found along the offensive line. Allen was sacked 26 times last season, and the Bills haven’t addressed that need so far. Buffalo still has one of the NFL’s most prolific offenses, and Stefon Diggs remains an elite receiver.

That’s a lot of juice to lay on the Bills making the playoffs, but you’ve got to like Buffalo’s chances of crashing the postseason party again.

Packers (-410)

Two-time reigning NFL MVP Aaron Rodgers is becoming Brady-esque as he gets older. Rodgers, at 38, is playing the best football of his life.

Top target Davante Adams has moved on to Las Vegas, and Allen Lazard is listed as the No. 1 WR on Green Bay’s depth chart. The oft-inured Sammy Watkins and aging Randall Cobb round out the wide receiving corps. Does it matter?

Rodgers does a remarkable job of finding different receivers in his progressions. Unless he goes down with an injury, expect the Packers to be back in the playoffs.

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Betting Plus-Money Teams to Make NFL Playoffs

There’s much more satisfaction — and profit — in identifying a team that should improve this season and betting on them to make the NFL Playoffs at plus-money odds. Here are three teams at varying odds that could fill that bill.

Dolphins (+140)

Miami’s addition of WR Tyreek Hill was one of the NFL’s biggest offseason moves not involving a quarterback. “Cheetah” is the definition of a game-breaking wide receiver, and Miami’s prospects only improve if he develops a chemistry with  QB Tua Tagovailoa.

Hill ruffled some feathers when he compared his former QB Patrick Mahomes to his current signal caller. Then, he went a step further on an episode of the “It Needed to be Said” podcast by likening this year’s team in Miami to KC’s Super Bowl-winning team in 2019.

“Oh, the 2019 offense with the Chiefs was stupid, bro,” Hill said. “But when I go back to practice each and every day like I say, ‘Bro, I see the same exact team, bro.’ I swear. As far as explosive, as far as dynamic, bro, we have the same weapons, bro. Maybe even more, bro.”

Pro tip: Take the Over on “bro” for any of Hill’s interviews — and bet on Miami to make the playoffs after missing them the past five seasons.

Raiders (+200)

Derek Carr has elevated his play at QB, and he now has former Fresno State teammate Davante Adams to throw to in Las Vegas. The Raiders made the playoffs last year for the first time in five years, losing in the opening round to the Cincinnati Bengals.

New coach Josh McDaniels brings a winning pedigree to Las Vegas from New England. The Raiders also added DE Chandler Jones, who has more than 100 sacks in a distinguished NFL career.
Vegas, baby, Vegas. Back the Raiders to make the postseason again, and double your money in the process.

Panthers (+410)

Full disclosure: Some personal bias might be clouding my professional judgment here. As a hard-bitten Carolina fan who lives in the Charlotte metro area, perhaps this is just wishful thinking on my part after three straight five-win seasons.
But the Panthers’ recent addition of Baker Mayfield has Carolina backers cautiously optimistic. Is he Brady or Mahomes? No, but he’s a definite upgrade over Sam Darnold.
Christian McCaffrey needs to stay healthy and play a full regular season for this futures bet to have any chance of cashing. Barring injuries, the Panthers now have what they need to contend for a wild-card spot. At +410, it’s a risk worth taking.

Best Sportsbooks for Betting on the NFL

Here is a list of top US sportsbooks offering futures odds on the NFL.

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What Other NFL Futures Bets Can I Make?

Futures odds are offered throughout the calendar year on teams to win the Super Bowl. DraftKings had the Bills as the +600 betting favorite to win Super Bowl 57 as of this writing.

You can also find and bet on futures odds on season win totals for all 32 NFL teams. Here, you’re betting over or under a fixed total of wins with these bets.

Always be sure to shop around at multiple sportsbooks before making your bets. There’s more variance in futures odds compared to spreads and totals.

Frequently Asked Questions

Who has the best chance to make the 2022 NFL Playoffs?

Tampa Bay, at odds of -600, has the best chance to make the NFL Playoffs. That translates to an implied probability of 85.71%.


Who has the worst chance to make the NFL Playoffs?

Per futures odds of +1400, the Houston Texans have the worst chance to make the playoffs at 6.67%.


Which sportsbook offers the best futures odds on the NFL?

No single sportsbook has the best odds on every futures bet. That’s why it is critical to compare odds at different books before making your bets. It always pays to shop around in the long run.

What's the theoretical hold at sportsbooks?

The theoretical hold is the amount of money a sportsbook expects to keep from a betting market. A lower theoretical hold means higher odds and payouts for bettors. A higher theoretical hold means the book keeps more of the handle, therefore returning less to the players.

Should I consider using an illegal sportsbook for NFL futures bet?

No. Illegal or offshore sportsbooks have no regulatory oversight and answer to nobody. Legal and licensed sportsbooks are regulated by state gaming commissions that help protect the interests of bettors.

When do the 2023 NFL Playoffs start?

The NFL Playoffs begin on January 14, 2023, with the Wildcard Round. The playoffs conclude with Super Bowl 57 on February 12, 2023.

About the Author
Kris Johnson

Kris Johnson

Writer & Contributor
Kris Johnson is a Senior Writer at Gaming Today with more than 15 years of experience as a sports journalist. Kris' work has appeared in Sports Business Daily, Sports Business Journal, NASCAR Illustrated, and more. Kris also authored a sports betting novel entitled The Endgame.

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