NFL Playoff Odds 2024: Are the Chargers and Steelers Good Value?

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NFL playoff odds to make the postseason or not are up to date based on eight weeks of action. Compare them across top sports betting apps.

Search for the team mascot below to view a team’s specific odds. Click on the odds you like to sign up and place your bet.

 

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NFL Playoff Odds: Top Contenders to Make 2024 Postseason

With eight of 18 weeks of the 2023-24 NFL season behind us, nine teams’ odds to earn one of 14 playoff spots are -350 or shorter across the board: the Chiefs, Eagles, 49ers, Lions, Dolphins, Cowboys, Ravens, Jaguars, and Seahawks.

Oddsmakers consider five other teams favorites (but not quite locks) to reach the postseason: the Bills, Falcons, Saints, Bengals, and Browns all have odds between -225 and -125. 

The top favorites include:

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia survived a tough challenge from the Commanders in Week 8 in a 38-31 win. The Eagles’ next game, Sunday at home against Dallas, will be another difficult division matchup. The Cowboys have been impressive since getting blown out by San Francisco in Week 5, with wins on the road against the Chargers and at home over the Rams last Sunday.

An Eagles win on Sunday would give them a two-game advantage over Dallas in the loss column, while a Cowboys win would have both teams tied with two losses on the year.

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Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens controlled Sunday’s game against the 1-7 Cardinals but were never able to pull away. Still, Baltimore enters a difficult upcoming stretch with momentum from having won three in a row, and no team in the AFC has a better record than the Ravens, who are one of four teams that are currently 6-2.

Baltimore’s next three opponents (the Seahawks, Browns, and Bengals) all have winning records, but all three of those games are at home.

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City was upset by the Broncos in Week 8, but the Chiefs remain one of the safest bets in the league to make the playoffs. Patrick Mahomes and Co. turned it over five times in the loss to Denver, and they’ll need to be much sharper in Week 9 against the Dolphins. Sunday’s game in Germany looks like one of the best NFL games to ever take place overseas.

Who’s Worth Betting “No” On?

We don’t recommend placing money on the teams above missing the playoffs. 

The Browns aren’t outstanding value at +105 across the board not to make the playoffs, but that’s still a solid play given the yet-to-be-resolved issues this team has at QB. P.J. Walker had three turnovers (two picks and a lost fumble) on the road in his team’s last-minute loss to Seattle.

After hosting Arizona this weekend, the Browns visit the Ravens in Week 10 and host the Steelers a week later. They’ll likely need Deshaun Watson to not only suit up, but play well, to win either or both of those games.

The Falcons, whose “no playoffs” odds are as long as +155 at Caesars, remain a good value play after their loss to Tennessee last Sunday.

Coach Arthur Smith gave Taylor Heinicke his first appearance of the season in that game, and he sparked Atlanta, but the Falcons’ second-half rally ultimately came up short. Regardless of what happens at quarterback for the Falcons, they’ll probably remain in contention thanks to the fact that the NFC South is weak and their remaining schedule is manageable. Of Atlanta’s final nine opponents, just one — the 4-3 Jets — currently has a winning record.

That being said, if this team doesn’t get better play from the QB position, its recent struggles (it’s gone 2-4 since starting 2-0) could continue, even against teams with bad records.

NFL Playoff Odds: Teams with the Best Value

Let’s look at some teams with near-plus odds or greater to make the postseason. Minnesota looked like good value until recently, but that changed with Kirk Cousins’ season-ending injury in his team’s win over the Packers in Week 8. Another team that offered solid value the last couple of weeks, the Bengals, are now favored after their impressive road win over the 49ers.

Los Angeles Chargers

The Chargers are probably the most talented of the teams that are currently plus-money to make the playoffs. At just 3-4 on the season, they have a ton of ground to make up, but they’re an intriguing long shot despite a tough upcoming schedule — three of their next four opponents (the Jets, Lions, and Ravens) currently have a winning record.

Pittsburgh Steelers 

Pittsburgh’s offense doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence, especially with Kenny Pickett possibly set to miss his team’s Week 9 matchup against the Titans on Thursday Night Football. No matter who starts at QB, though, it’s hard to bet against coach Mike Tomlin keeping his team in the playoff mix, at the very least.

New York Jets 

Speaking of teams that could find a way into the playoffs despite up-and-down quarterback play, there’s something about the Jets. Their defense keeps them in every game, and if Zach Wilson can just avoid mistakes, RB Breece Hall and WR Garrett Wilson could make enough plays to keep this team in the playoff picture well into December.

Another reason to keep an eye on the Jets here is their upcoming schedule: four of their next six games are against teams that are currently .500 (the Falcons) or worse (the Chargers, Raiders, and Texans).

Best Sportsbooks for Betting on the NFL

Here is a list of top US sportsbooks offering futures odds on the NFL.

What Other NFL Futures Bets Can I Make?

Futures odds are offered throughout the calendar year on teams to win the Super Bowl.

You can also find and bet on futures odds on season win totals for all 32 NFL teams. Here, you’re betting over or under a fixed total of wins with these bets.

Always be sure to shop around at multiple sportsbooks before making your bets. There’s more variance in futures odds compared to spreads and totals.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who has the best chance to make the 2024 NFL Playoffs?

The San Francisco 49ers have the best chance to make the postseason. The best odds available are at -8000 on FanDuel Sportsbook.

 

Who has the worst chance to make the NFL Playoffs?

The Carolina Panthers have the worst chance to make the postseason. The best odds are +1800 on Caesars Sportsbook.

Which sportsbook offers the best futures odds on the NFL?

When it comes to getting the best futures odds for the NFL, Gaming Today has a rundown of the best online football betting sites to help guide you through the process. No single sportsbook has the best odds on every futures bet. That’s why it is critical to compare odds at different books before making your bets. It always pays to shop around in the long run.

What's the theoretical hold at sportsbooks?

The theoretical hold is the amount of money a sportsbook expects to keep from a betting market. A lower theoretical hold means higher odds and payouts for bettors. A higher theoretical hold means the book keeps more of the handle, therefore returning less to the players.

Should I consider using an illegal sportsbook for NFL futures bet?

No. Illegal or offshore sportsbooks have no regulatory oversight and answer to nobody. Legal and licensed sportsbooks are regulated by state gaming commissions that help protect the interests of bettors.

About the Author
Tyler Everett

Tyler Everett

Writer
Tyler Everett has been a sports writer since joining the student newspaper at his alma mater, NC State, back in 2008. He's covered sports and sports business for a number of newspapers and websites, including the Denver Broncos, Charlotte Observer, High Press Soccer, and Sports Business Journal, where he currently works full-time.

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