As we enter the final week of the NFL’s 2021-22 regular season, seven teams will be vying for three remaining playoff spots. Odds from the betting market can help us decipher those teams’ chances to advance to the postseason.
In the NFC, San Francisco and New Orleans will battle for the final wild-card position. Things are more muddled in the AFC. The Colts are the most likely candidate to advance to the postseason. Indy just needs a win against Jacksonville in the season finale. The final playoff spot will go to the winner of the Chargers-Raiders game on Sunday night, but the Steelers and Ravens are technically still alive heading into their matchup this weekend.
What do futures odds say about a team’s chances to make the playoffs? We leaned on our friends at DraftKings this week to provide the numbers and consulted our odds calculator to convert the prices into probabilities. Keep in mind, the true probabilities are slightly less than the implied probabilities because of the house edge bookmakers build into their numbers.
Here’s a look at NFL teams still in the playoff mix heading into Week 18 and current futures prices from DraftKings, with the implied probability listed alongside betting odds.
Editor’s Note: We’ll be updating these odds on a weekly basis, so stay tuned to see how your team’s chances increase (or decrease) during the final weeks of the NFL’s regular season.
NFL Teams Still In Playoff Contention for 2021-2022
|Team||DraftKings Odds (current as of 1/4/2022)||Implied Probability to Make Playoffs|
|Baltimore Ravens||Yes +4000 No N/A||2.4%|
|L.A. Chargers||Yes -150, No +120||60%|
|New Orleans Saints||Yes +110, No -140||47.6%|
|San Francisco 49ers||Yes -145, No +110||59.2%|
|Las Vegas Raiders||Yes +105, No -125||48.8%|
|Pittsburgh Steelers||Yes +1400, No -5000||6.7%|
|Indianapolis Colts||Yes -1200, No +650||92.3%|
Odds To Win NFL Divisions
As we head into Week 18, two of the NFL’s eight division titles are still up for grabs. Here are the odds to win those divisions from FanDuel.
Odds To Win AFC East
Odds To Win NFC West