With the third week of the 2022 season complete, here’s a look at the updated NFL power rankings heading into Week 4. Below, we list the league’s 32 teams in order of their chances to win the Super Bowl in February.
Power Rankings Ahead of NFL Week 4
1. Buffalo Bills (+500 FanDuel, PointsBet)
(Previous week No. 1)
You bet, even after their 21-19 loss in Miami last week, the Bills are still atop the rankings, with their odds to win Super Bowl 57 barely lengthening from last week’s +450. Despite playing without five defensive starters, Buffalo outgained Miami by 285 yards and ran 90 offensive plays to the Dolphins’ 39, a gap of 51 snaps. Last year, the biggest margin in any game was 37. And CB Tre’Davious White, a two-time Pro Bowler, is eligible to come off the PUP list next week.
2. Philadelphia Eagles (+8500 FanDuel, BetMGM, PointsBet)
(Previously No. 4)
Philly gets out of the gate faster than any other team, averaging 321.7 yards in the first half during their 3-0 start. That’s better than eight teams’ average for entire games this season. QB Jalen Hurts came off his breakout win against Minnesota on MNF in Week 2 with a solid road outing on short rest vs. the Commanders. But he’s rushed 37 times, tied for 20th in the league. Can he stay healthy with that workload? Plus, defensively, the Eagles are yielding 5.4 yards a rush. So far, that hasn’t hurt them.
3. Kansas City Chiefs (+750 DraftKings, PointsBet)
(Previously No. 3)
Indianapolis didn’t beat KC last week, the Chiefs beat themselves, 20-17. A muffed punt on their 4 led to the first of two Colts TDs. And with PK Harrison Butker (ankle, week to week) out, week to week), his backup missed a PAT try and a chip-shot FG. And, worst of all, DL Chris Jones got a taunting penalty that kept Indy’s late game-winning TD drive alive. Also, the usually high-octane offense was held to 17 points with KC’s only two TDs coming thanks to short fields. The Chiefs need to snap to attention.
4. Green Bay Packers (+1000 FanDuel, BetMGM)
(Previously No. 9)
The Packers vault up the ranking thanks to winning at Tampa Bay, 14-12. They were on the verge of making it a potential blowout with TDs on their first two possessions before fumbling on the Bucs’ 1 on drive three. Green Bay benefited from having both of their standout OTs in the lineup, with All-Pro David Bakhtiari back on the left side. And here’s a soft schedule alert: Over the next four weeks, GB is the only team that doesn’t have a foe with a win expectancy of more than 8.5.
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5. Baltimore Ravens (+1800 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 11)
QB Lamar Jackson has been stupendous the past two weeks, with his second straight 100-yard rushing game and four TD throws vs. New England in a 37-26 win. And now RB J.K. Dobbins (knee), who averaged 6 yards a carry in 2020 before being sidelined, has made his return. He’s a fine complement to leading receiver Mark Andrews and mega-speedy WR Rashod Bateman (28.3 per catch on eight receptions). But that secondary has to tighten up to threaten Buffalo or KC.
6. Miami Dolphins (+1800 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 10)
Miami didn’t blow the doors off the Bills (getting outgained 497 yards to 212) and in the process, Miami QB Tua Tagovailoa was knocked silly after unloading a pass. Is he really OK? At least the Dolphins have a successful veteran backup in Teddy Bridgewater, albeit without a lot of mobility. Now Miami and rookie head coach Mike McDaniel head to Cincinnati on short rest for a Thursday game.
7. Tampa Bay Bucs (+1000 DraftKings, BetMGM)
(Previously No. 2)
Sure, the Bucs were only a missed 2-point conversion from sending last week’s game to OT against Green Bay, but it’s puzzling why a team with many of its top receivers playing hurt or out entirely would essentially disregard its running game, with only 14 rushes and 34 yards. And to compound the Bucs’ troubles as they prep for Kansas City this week, a powerful hurricane is taking aim at the Tampa area. The team has uprooted and headed to Miami for drills.
8. Minnesota Vikings (+1800 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 8)
That’s more like it for the Vikings, who let RB Dalvin Cook be part of the attack in Week 3’s 28-24 win over Detroit. He had 96 yards on 17 carries after getting a career-low six rushes in Week 2. But star WR Justin Jefferson is still in a funk. After getting 184 yards vs. Green Bay in Week 1, he’s totaled 62 yards the past two. Now the Vikes head to London to face the 1-2 Saints. It’s the 31st regular-season game there and the 31st time there won’t be a meeting of teams with winning records.
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9. Los Angeles Rams (+1500 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 7)
The Rams were heralded for holding Arizona without a TD in a 20-12 win last week, but they dropped in the rankings because the defense couldn’t get off the field in the second half, allowing drives of 16, 17, and 19 plays before the Cardinals stalled and settled for FGs. That’s the only time the past nine seasons anyone had three drives of 16-plus plays in a game. And considering the Cardinals have the worst defensive passer rating, QB Matthew Stafford should have had at least one passing TD.
10. San Francisco 49ers (+2500 PointsBet)
(Previously No. 6)
San Francisco (1-2), which has arguably the best defensive front in the NFL, is the highest-ranked team with a losing record, in large part because of the shortcomings of its NFC West rivals. QB Jimmy Garoppolo’s return to the starting lineup was a great disappointment, especially with TE George Kittle (groin) back. That 11-10 loss in Denver was the 49ers’ second one-point loss this season. And now San Fran will be without star OLT Trent Williams (high ankle sprain) for more than a month.
Also read: NFL Week 4 odds
11. Jacksonville Jaguars (+6000 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 21)
The team that had the league’s worst record in each of the past two seasons walloped the Chargers in LA, 38-10. The AFC South-leading Jags have benefited from the blossoming of QB Trevor Lawrence. Plus, Jax has the league’s best turnover margin of plus-7 after going a league-worst minus-20 last year, a 27-turnover swing. (FYI: the NFL record for turnover improvement from one year to the next is 44 when Washington went from minus-22 in 1963 to plus-22 in 1964).
12. Dallas Cowboys (+4000 PointsBet)
(Previously No. 15)
Backup QB Cooper Rush has come to the rescue for the Cowboys by leading the team to two upset victories since the thumb injury (and surgery) to starter Dak Prescott. Yet their Super Bowl odds entering Week 2 of +5000 have hardly dropped. There’s a chance Prescott might return next week to face Washington. Also, that Dallas defense was dynamic Monday night with 24 QB pressures of NYG’s Daniel Jones. And was that Zeke Elliott breaking off a 27-yard run vs. NYG? Wow!
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13. Los Angeles Chargers (+1600 BetMGM)
(Previously No. 4)
How much of that 38-10 home loss to Jacksonville in Week 3 was because of the fractured rib cartilage for Chargers QB Justin Herbert, who needed a pain-killing shot to play and still looked to be in agony at various stages? But his injury can’t be blamed for the Chargers giving up 38 points, the first time the Jaguars hit 30 in three seasons. LA’s ground game has been miserable, too, averaging a league-low 2.6 yards a carry. And now they’ve lost Pro Bowl OLT Joe Slater to a biceps injury. Maybe they should be ranked lower.
14. Denver Broncos (+2500 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 13)
A round of applause for the Broncos’ 11-10 home upset victory over San Francisco on Monday night and for actually scoring a TD when getting near the enemy goal line for the first time this year. Not sure they even did so during training camp, either, when they had similar problems. Despite being 2-1 and tied for first in the AFC West, QB Russell Wilson and the offense have generated only three TDs, tied for fewest in the league. But that’s what the defense has allowed, too.
15. Cincinnati Bengals (+3000 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 12)
Cincinnati, which opened the season with Super Bowl odds of +2200 and then saw the number climb to +3500 after losing its first two, broke through against the Jets last week, 27-12. And most notably gave up only two sacks on Joe Burrow, quite the improvement over 13 the first two weeks. But the running game remains stagnant. RB Joe Mixon, the league’s third-leading rusher in 2021, is averaging a below-pedestrian 2.8 yards on 58 carries.
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16. Cleveland Browns (+5000 DraftKings, PointsBet)
(Previously No. 19)
Nick Chubb (the league’s leading rusher) along with cohort Kareem Hunt (who won the rushing title in 2017 while with Kansas City) head the league’s top ground-gaining team — even with assorted bumps and bruises along the offensive line. And QB Jacoby Brissett is playing like he’s THE man behind center and not a fill-in until suspended Deshaun Watson returns in December. Also, those are pretty nice Super Bowl odds for a team tied for first place.
17. Detroit Lions (+10000 FanDuel, BetMGM, PointsBet)
(Previously No. 20)
The Lions are proving they are a legitimate threat to earn a wild-card berth thanks largely to the running game, which ranks third on the charts. But the bad news is leading RB D’Andre Swift (243 yards), aiming to be the team’s first Detroit back to hit the 1,000 mark since 2013, likely will sit out the next two games with shoulder/ankle injuries. And there’s more. Leading receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown might miss this week’s game vs. Seattle with an ankle injury.
18. Tennessee Titans (+8000 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 26)
The ranking would be higher except for the Titans having such a troubled secondary. Tennessee has the league’s second-worst defensive passer rating after being No. 9 last year in its run to the top seed in the AFC. Tennessee did, though, avoid its first 0-3 start since 2009 with its 24-22 win over Las Vegas last week with the defense coming through in the clutch by holding the Raiders to 1-for-12 on conversions on third down. And, RB Derrick Henry averaged 4.3 yards on 20 carries. That’s big news.
19. Indianapolis Colts (+3500 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 22)
Even a last-minute win over Kansas City didn’t warrant the Colts moving up more than three spots in the rankings. As mentioned in the Kansas City comments, the Colts were the beneficiary of KC gaffes or Indy would be 0-3. Particularly troublesome is QB Matt Ryan’s penchant for fumbles. He’s had seven, losing two. And when is standout LB Shaquille Leonard returning from offseason back surgery? He’s listed as questionable.
20. Arizona Cardinals (+7000 DraftKings, FanDuel)
(Previously No. 14)
The Cardinals’ ability to generate long drives against the Rams offers hope for Arizona, which faces losing teams three times in the next four weeks — but wrapped around a home game vs. Philadelphia, which is ranked No. 2 on this chart but No. 1 elsewhere. But until the Cardinals clean up their ineffective pass defense, they are vulnerable against any foe.
21. New Orleans Saints (+7000 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 18)
The talk this week before New Orleans’ game vs. Minnesota in London on Sunday is whether QB Jameis Winson would remain at quarterback after awful starts the past two weeks vs. Tampa Bay and Carolina. He had five INTs in those outings. But, nope, it appears Andy Dalton can keep holding the clipboard. What’s also hurting the Saints is a pass rush that is tied for 29th with only four sacks. In 2021, N.O. was eighth with 46.
22. Las Vegas Raiders (+10000 BetMGM)
(Previously No. 16)
Winless Vegas, which was 4-0 in the preseason, has been outscored by only 13 points in its three defeats and has a better squad than several teams rated ahead of it, but this is about the teams with the best chance to win the Super Bowl. And since no squad has ever overcome a 0-3 start to win a league title in history, the Raiders’ title chances are bleak. In fact, dating to 1999, there have been 112 teams that started 0-3. Only one qualified for the postseason (Houston in 2018).
23. Atlanta Falcons (+40000 PointsBet)
(Previously No. 29)
The Falcons are one of the surprise teams in the league, for Atlanta is one of three squads with a perfect record against the spread after five straight years of finishing at .500 or worse. RB/WR Cordarrelle Patterson has been a dynamo, especially last week with 141 yards in a road win at Seattle as the Falcons improved to 1-2. But now, for the second time in three weeks, they’ll face a team off an extended break after a Thursday game (Cleveland). Boo! Hiss!
24. Carolina Panthers (+15000 BetMGM, PointsBet)
(Previously No. 28)
Well, Carolina’s running game is holding up its end of the bargain, with Christian McCaffrey coming off back-to-back 100-yard games, but in neither of those outings was QB Baker Mayfield able to complete even half his passes. Although the Panthers got to celebrate last week’s 22-14 win over New Orleans, the defense had issues in allowing late TD drives covering 89 and 90 yards.
25. Pittsburgh Steelers (+150 (DraftKings, BetMGM)
(Previously No. 25)
QB Mitch Trubisky did air the ball out more last Thursday in Cleveland for the Steelers and their 31st-ranked offense, but it still left Pittsburgh a 29-17 loser. On the defensive side, the Steelers already were without last year’s leader sacker in T.J. Watt (pec). Now top DB Minkah Fitzpatrick is in concussion protocol.
26. Chicago Bears (+25000 DraftKings)
(Previously No. 32)
The Bears have the longest odds on the board for any team with a winning record. The good news is Chicago’s running game has been sensational, especially Khalil Herbert, who had 157 yards in last week’s comeback win over Houston. That’s the most ground yards for anyone in the past two weeks. On the other hand, QB Justin Fields is at the bottom of the passer-rating chart and last week had a rating of 27.7, the worst for any starter in a victory the past two seasons.
27. NY Giants (+11000 FanDuel)
(Previously No. 17)
The air sure went out of the balloon fast for the Giants, who dropped to 2-1 after their 23-16 home loss to Dallas on Monday Night Football. QB Daniel Jones was under relentless pressure from the Cowboys and even lost leading WR Sterling Shepard to a torn ACL. On defense, it was apparent the absence of RDE Leonard Williams (knee, questionable) enabled the Cowboys’ ground game to gash the Giants for big gains.
28. New England Patriots (+10000 DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM)
(Previously No. 24)
With QB Mac Jones out for a while with a high ankle sprain, it’s up to journeyman backup Brian Hoyer, almost 37, to carry the load. He’s 0-11 as a starter dating to 2016. And it doesn’t appear the defense is capable of bailing out the offense, having given up 37 points to Baltimore last week.
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29. Washington Commanders (+15000 DraftKings, BetMGM)
(Previously No. 23)
The Commanders, who showed spunk in rallying past Jacksonville in Week 1 and battling back against Detroit in Week 2, are down to their third-team center and it showed last week in yielding nine sacks of Carson Wentz to the Eagles. It doesn’t help that Washington’s defense has been reported to be in disarray.
30. Seattle Seahawks (+55000 FanDuel)
(Previously No. 30)
Since their adrenaline-fueled upset of Denver in Week 1, the Seahawks have been battered by San Francisco and then lost at home to Atlanta, which had the second-lowest expected-win total this season at five. With the departure of longtime QB Russell Wilson, the Seahawks were expected to count on their rushing game. But, that unit ranks 29th in yards.
31. NY Jets (+39000 FanDuel)
(Previously No. 31)
The Jets will get back QB Zach Wilson (knee) this week barring a setback in practice, and he will start against the Steelers. In the meantime, backup Joe Flacco has been averaging more than 51 throws a game (a league-high) but ranks 29th among passers with a 58.7 completion percentage. At least they’ll play against the short-handed Pittsburgh defense this week.
No. 32 Houston Texans (+75000 BetMGM, PointsBet)
(Previously No. 27)
The Texans, operating in the weak AFC South, probably have a better chance than some teams to reach the postseason, however remote, but since they lost to the 32nd-ranked Bears last week, they have to be placed here.