We’re already get into Week 3, dress rehearsal time for the NFL preseason, and our first college regular season football game will be this Friday when California meets Hawaii in Sydney, Australia.
Let us take a little look at some of the moves last week in the NFL. One of the biggest moves took place last Friday with the Dolphins/Cowboys game. Dallas opened up as a -3.5 point favorite and the game closed at pick em. The Cowboys and the books got the cash as the Cows crushed the Fish, 41-14.
On the same day the Chargers opened up as a -1.5 point favorite and the line moved to the Cardinals -1. The Chargers and the books got the money as San Diego was a convincing 19-3 winner.
On Saturday the Denver Broncos opened up as a -4.5 point favorite and this game moved all the way up to -6.5 with a few -7’s lurking in the woods. Talking to some bookies around town, all the parlays were on the Broncos, but the 49ers got the job done again for the books winning outright, 31-24.
Not so good for the books was the Chiefs/Rams matchup. Los Angeles opened as a 3-point favorite and the game went to a pick em. The Rams did win but only by 1 and it was a high diddle-diddle caught in the middle for the books. Parlay card damage was averted with the Broncs going down.
There are some very interesting preseason games this week in addition to the college opener in Australia.
Thursday, Aug. 25
Atlanta travels to Miami and the play is on the FALCONS. The Dolphins have gone 0-7 ATS as a favorite the last four years while the Falcons are 10-1 ATS in this situation in past preseasons. We will take Atlanta at a pick ‘em or plus any available points.
We get a good game with the Cowboys traveling to Seattle. This bettor will be all over Seattle as we note Pete “I just hate to lose” Carroll has gone 10-0 in preseason when coming off a loss of 4 points or more – they lost last week, 18-11. Also, the Cowboys have gone 1-8 ATS in preseason when coming off a win. SEAHAWKS are the play.
Friday, Aug. 26
New England visits the Panthers and if you think this will be just another preseason game for Mr. Hood and his Pats, well think again. Belichick has not been in a good frame of mind and his Pats are out to make a point. They won their first two preseason games and would love nothing more than to beat the Panthers in this, their first road game. Carolina has gone 0-8 ATS when coming off a double digit win – they beat the Titans last Saturday, 26-16. PATRIOTS is the play.
The Steelers travel to the Big Easy to take on the Saints. You would think in dress rehearsal week Big Ben would be the play but not so. If the Saints come the favorite we note Mike Tomlin has gone just 1-9 the last 5 years as a preseason dog and 0-4 versus the NFC South. The Saints are 7-2 SU and ATS in their last nine Week 3 preseason games. We will be on the SAINTS as they come marching in!
Saturday, Aug. 27
Buffalo heads to Washington to face the Redskins. This will be the Bills’ first road game and they have gone 3-0 ATS the last three years in their first roadie. The Buffalo defense has been looking good and we love them as a dog. Take the BILLS.
We take a little trip Down Under where the Golden Bears from Berkeley take on the traveling Rainbow Warriors from Honolulu. From Honolulu to Sydney the flight time is around 10 hours and from Los Angeles about 15. First year Hawaii head coach Nick Rolovich gets 52 returners with nine starters back on offense alone. He will really want to start off strong heading to Michigan the following week, another 10,000 mile trip.
As for the Golden Bears and fourth-year head coach Sonny Dykes, he will need to fill a lot of holes in his dykes. Dykes lost his big gun QB Jared Goff and has concerns on both sides of the ball. HAWAII keeps this game within the pointspread and we will take the +21.
This bettor will also need to fill some holes after my visit to Del Mar last week. Four days and, to put it bluntly, the pockets are empty; I had one too many $11 beers. But visiting with Tom Quigley, Vic Salerno and the legendary Roxy (Roxborough) was well worth the trip, not to mention the great weather and the beautiful ladies, and a few winners. I was truly walking around lucky and this time I knew it.
Also, thank you to Dave Valento from Track Phantom for taking my place on “Race Day Las Vegas” this past Wednesday and his great pick in the 5th at Saratoga. The horse Stone won and paid $28.60.