Quarterbacks are typically the star of the show in the NFL, but it’s the pass catchers who must make contested catches and run for big yardage. Today’s list of talented receivers may be longer than it’s ever been, making for a highly competitive NFL receiving props market, including the player to lead the league in receiving yards.
With the 2022 regular season approaching, odds are available at sportsbooks on receiving futures and props. Over/under receiving totals for individual players are also available.
NFL Receiving Odds & Props
|Player||Receiving Yards Leader Odds (DraftKings)||Receiving Yards Leader Odds (Caesars, Use Code TODAY15)||Receiving Yards Leader Odds (BetMGM, Use Code TODAY)||Over/Under Receiving Yards (DraftKings)|
|Michael Pittman Jr.||+3500||+6500||+6600||1025.5|
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Vikings All-Pro wide receiver Justin Jefferson – priced at +800 across the betting market – and reigning receiving champion Cooper Kupp – priced between +750 and +900 – have the shortest odds to lead the league in receiving yards and have the highest receiving yardage over-under totals.
Receiving Yards Leader Favorites
Justin Jefferson (+800, BetMGM)
23-year-old Justin Jefferson has already established himself as one of the most talented receivers in the sport, and based on his career trajectory, his ceiling in 2022 is through the roof.
The third-year receiver out of LSU made his mark in the NFL with 1,400 receiving yards as a rookie (fourth most in the league) and then reached a higher level by racking up 1,616 yards in his second season (second most). His 3,016 total receiving yards are the most in a player’s first two seasons in league history.
Jefferson is beyond excited to play under first-time head coach Kevin O’Connell. O’Connell’s pass-first style had just helped Cooper Kupp achieve an historic receiving season, and Jefferson cannot wait to thrive in his team’s new-look offense.
Cooper Kupp (+900, DraftKings)
Los Angeles Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp is fresh off of one of the greatest receiving seasons in history, which understandably places him as one of the betting favorites the following season. Kupp achieved the rare receiving triple crown last season, leading the NFL in receptions (145), receiving yards (1,947), and receiving touchdowns (16).
The 2021 Offensive Player of the Year was so dominant that he accumulated more receiving yards than the next three Rams players (1,918) combined. The Rams won the Super Bowl with the offense going through Kupp, so there’s no reason why the star wideout can’t be the focal point of the offense again next year.
The offense may look a bit different with Liam Coen as the new offensive coordinator, but head coach Sean McVay is still calling the plays and quarterback Matt Stafford is still throwing the ball, setting Kupp up for another possible league-leading campaign.
Bear in mind that the last time we saw a player win back-to-back receiving yardage titles was 2011-2012 with Calvin Johnson.
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Ja’Marr Chase (+1200, Caesars)
After being selected over an offensive linemen in the 2021 Draft, Ja’Marr Chase silenced all Bengals fans and critics with a 1,455 receiving-yard – fourth most in the league – a rookie campaign that contributed to a Super Bowl run.
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It’s no surprise to see Chase among the favorites for the receiving crown after the explosiveness he exhibited last season. The 2021 Offensive Rookie of the Year caught a respectable 81 balls, but it was his 18.0 yards per catch – second highest in the league – that helped him rack up a ton of yards in an instant. He frightened opposing cornerbacks with his burst and ability to make contested catches, but he was most dangerous with the ball already in his hands, having ranked third in yards after the catch.
Receiving Yards Leader Sleeper
Deebo Samuel (+2500, DraftKings)
Before San Francisco 49ers wide receiver Deebo Samuel turned into a wide receiver-running back hybrid during the season, he was one of the most productive receivers in the league. Through the first eight games of the season, Samuel had the second most receiving yards in the league with 882 (110.3 yards per game), which was on pace for 1,874 over 17 games.
His sudden increase in carries halfway through the season came at the expense of his receiver work, and he ultimately finished with 1,405 receiving yards for the season – fifth most in the league.
While his versatility helped him earn First Team All-Pro honors and will likely earn him a generous payday, the 49ers’ “wide back” reportedly doesn’t want to be used as a running back going forward. If his wishes are granted, then he should see numbers similar to the first half of last season and will contend for the most receiving yards in the league.
Betting & Statistical Trends From Past Leaders
Unlike NFL passing props and rushing props, the receiving leader race produces a ton of winning longshots. Just last season, Cooper Kupp won the receiving title at +3500 odds in the preseason – tied for the 19th shortest odds at BetMGM. In 2020, winner Stefon Diggs – +5000 at Caesars Sportsbook – had the 25th shortest odds to take home the award. In 2016, TY Hilton beat out the entire betting field at +2600 odds. The average price of the past eight receiving leaders was +1884, which is in the same ballpark as Travis Kelce’s, Tyreek Hill’s, and Samuel’s odds to win the award this season.
Many players are capable of recording 1,000, 1,200, or even 1,400 receiving yards in a single season. However, winning the receiving title requires a certain statistical ceiling that only a handful of players possess. Every receiving leader since 2007 has amassed 1,448-plus yards, and that was mostly in a 16-game season. With an added 17th game, the bare minimum of yards just to enter the conversation is 1,500, while 1,700 yards gives a player a realistic shot of winning, as seven of the last 10 leaders had 1,646-plus yards.
Best Bets for Over/Under Receiving Totals
We’ve selected a handful of over/under receiving yardage props for your consideration.
Cooper Kupp Over 1,300.5 Yards (-115, DraftKings)
Regression is always expected after a monstrous statistical season, but the notion that Kupp will all of a sudden fall to mediocrity is foolish when you consider his numbers in the latter half of last season. The star receiver averaged 118.3 receiving yards in his last six regular-season contests and averaged 119.5 receiving yards in four postseason contests, which translates to 2,011 yards and 2,032 yards, respectively, in a 17-game season.
Opponents had a ton of film on Kupp, but no one was able to slow him down – let alone take him out of games – towards the end of the season. A 600-yard drop-off from last year doesn’t seem likely.
Travis Kelce Over 1,100.5 Yards (-110, DraftKings)
Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is one of the most dominant tight ends in NFL history, but what has made his career so impressive is his yearly consistency. He has posted 1,000-plus receiving yards in each of his last six seasons, including five seasons with at least 1,100 yards.
The six-time All-Pro selection has had the advantage of receiving balls from Patrick Mahomes, but he’s also had to share the field with Tyreek Hill. To give bettors some understanding of how Kelce performs without Hill, they can look at a particular four-game stretch in 2019, when the tight end averaged 87.8 yards per game – 1,492 yards per 17 games. Now that Hill is out of Kansas City for good, Kelce can expect to see a ton more targets and consequently more yards.
While he is on the wrong side of 30, he’s missed just two games since the start of the 2018 season – and one of them was in a season finale when all starters were benched.
NFL Receiving Futures & Props FAQs
Justin Jefferson and Cooper Kupp are joint favorites – depending on the sportsbook – to lead the league in receiving yards this upcoming season. Jefferson’s price is +800 across all sportsbooks, while Kupp is priced between +750 (BetMGM) and +900 (DraftKings).
Cooper Kupp led the league in receiving yards last season with 1,947 yards – 331 yards clear of Justin Jefferson with the second most.
Bettors can place bets on receiving props at all top sportsbooks until the end of the NFL regular season, as long as legal wagering is available in your state. Check our sports betting page for the legal status of your state.